The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly No125, 7 November 2013

The Million Mask March organized by Anonymous on 5 November as a day of global protest received little attention in the media and mobilized, according to photos, less than what could be seen previously with Occupy. However, it can nevertheless be taken as an indication of a generalized discontent, even if it is neither mobilized nor really fully expressed, as well as a weak signal of a rising crisis of legitimacy. People are not immune to the wavering and doubts displayed by their governments and administrations. If legitimacy were starting to be seriously questioned, then those governments could discover that policies would become very difficult to implement indeed, which may be critically lethal considering the impact, present and future, of environmental changes. It is no less dangerous when being faced with countries that do not have to deal with similar problems, that are not beset with public deficit and austerity and that know how to dare taking strategic advantage of changes, while making sure it is known and publicized. Worse still, in turn, unfavorable international exchanges  – more bluntly, signals indicating a weak or potentially weaker influence – also further impact negatively domestic legitimacy. Could it be that we are still living in the midst of a crisis, actually a very deep one?

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The Red Team Analysis  Society, Startegic Warning, anticipatory intelligence, horizon scanning, weak signal

Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix, PhD Lond (International Relations), is the President/CEO of The Red Team Analysis Society. She is specialised in strategic foresight and warning for international relations, national and international security issues. Her current focus is on the war in Ukraine, international order and the rise of China, the overstepping of planetary boundaries and international relations, the methodology of SF&W, radicalisation as well as new tech and security.

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