Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals…

”Shock:  A violent collision, impact, tremor; a sudden, disturbing effect on the emotions, physical reaction; an acute state of prostration following a wound, pain; a disturbance in stability causing fluctuations in an organization.” The Concise Oxford dictionary, 8th edition.

Considering the amazing number of articles related to the 2016 U.S. Presidential election or more exactly to now President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, we decided to show most of them on the front page (however after other burning topics such as Turkey and the war against the Islamic State, which will interact with the changed political situation in the U.S. and the world, considering American power). Indeed, the sheer number of articles on the new American President’s victory and the content of these items is indicating first how much media, polls and pundits, which have been again proven wrong in their ‘predictions’, as well as those who listened to and sided with them, are shocked. The content of the articles, with so much negative tone, also shows how much the U.S. society has become polarized. Meanwhile it points out that crowdsourcing, from Twitter notably, tends to represent mainly only one type of actors, those who thought that Hillary Clinton would win.

The evolution of this polarization, which, everything being equal, does resemble what happened and still happens with the Brexit (see Lessons from and for the Brexit), must be closely watched out as tension may spread (outside the U.K. and the U.S.) and escalate.

This quite long first series of articles is followed by perspectives on international positioning following incoming President Trump’s victory, which are also extremely interesting, as they outline possible and, or likely international changes. Then a couple of news article will document the financial, commodity, and bonds markets’ reactions.

In general, in the Weekly, each section focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics); economy; science; analysis, strategy and futures; technology and weapons; energy and environment. However, in a complex world, categories are merely a convenient way to present information, when facts and events interact across boundaries.

Read the 10 November 2016 scan

The Weekly is the scan of The Red (Team) Analysis Society and it focuses on national and international security issues. It was started as an experiment with Paper.li as a way to collect ideas, notably through Twitter. Its success and usefulness led to its continuation.

The information collected (crowdsourced) does not mean endorsement but points to new, emerging, escalating or stabilizing problems and issues.

If you wish to consult the scan after the end of the week period, use the “archives” directly on The Weekly.

Featured image: “C-band Radar-dish Antenna”. Licensed under Public domain via Wikimedia Commons.

Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix, PhD Lond (International Relations), is the President/CEO of The Red Team Analysis Society. She is specialised in strategic foresight and warning for international relations, national and international security issues. Her current focus is on the war in Ukraine, international order and the rise of China, the overstepping of planetary boundaries and international relations, the methodology of SF&W, radicalisation as well as new tech and security.

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