Comments on: COVID-19 Vaccinations, Hope or Mirage? https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hope-or-mirage/ Strategic Foresight & Early Warning ･ Political & Geopolitical Risk · Scenarios Mon, 04 Oct 2021 15:31:40 +0000 hourly 1 By: Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hope-or-mirage/#comment-16075 Mon, 08 Feb 2021 15:11:35 +0000 https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=28482#comment-16075 In reply to @Thl33.

Thank you so much Thierry. Indeed I concur as far as Manaus is concerned, and thanks again for the ref to Dr Piarroux. I had not heard what he stated.

]]> By: @Thl33 https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hope-or-mirage/#comment-16018 Fri, 05 Feb 2021 10:32:10 +0000 https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=28482#comment-16018 Excellent work as usual.
As of 05/02 update, two qualified facts can be noted that reinforce your analysis:
– the case of Manaus, where the researchers estimated that in June, about two thirds of the city had been infected and where the estimate in November was about 76%, and which is nevertheless experiencing a second epidemic peak similar to the first; which casts doubt on the herd imunity
– the remark made by Dr Renaud Piarroux, paediatrician and biologist specialising in infectious and tropical diseases, head of department at the APHP and Professor at the Sorbonne University, who said that the delay in vaccination could “lead to a selection of certain strains of the virus that are more resistant to vaccines”.

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