The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 164, 7 August 2014

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Read the 7 August scan → If you wish to consult the scan after the end of the week period, use the archives on The Weekly. The Weekly is the scan of The Red (Team) Analysis Society and it focuses on national and international security …

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 163, 31 July 2014

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Read the 31 July scan → If you wish to consult the scan after the end of the week period, use the archives on The Weekly. The Weekly is the scan of The Red (Team) Analysis Society and it focuses on national and international security issues. …

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 162, 24 July 2014

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Read the 24 July scan → If you wish to consult the scan after the end of the week period, use the archives on The Weekly. The Weekly is the scan of The Red (Team) Analysis Society and it focuses on national and international security …

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Read the current week scan → The Weekly is the scan of The Red (Team) Analysis Society and it focuses on national and international security issues. It was started as an experiment with Paper.li as a way to collect ideas, notably through Twitter. Its success …

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 160 – 10 July 2014

Horizon scanning for national and international security: identifies, through social networks’ crowdsourcing, signals that point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilizing problems and issues – This week, unsurprisingly Iran, Iraq, Israel, Syria, Ukraine… but also the very bleak OECD report on our future, among others. Click on image to read the Weekly Powered by Paper.Li.

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 159 – An Accelerating U.S. Decline?

Editorial – Horizon scanning for national and international security – What appears as most amazing this week is a perception of an accelerating American decline on the world stage. A few months ago, we warned that changes related to the dollar supremacy were in the making, even if they would, most probably, need a relatively long time before …

The Red Team Analysis Weekly 157 – Information Wars

Editorial – Information Wars – Information or more broadly belief-based wars seem to multiply right now, relayed by many official declarations, articles and analyses, although fortunately not all.  This is a worrying phenomenon because it leads to direct polarization (enhancing feelings of threat, fear, “all because of an evil other that must be fought”) and to inaccurate analyses, which in turn also fuel polarization. Information wars: propaganda, biases and conspiracy theories We can see this phenomenon at work regarding Ukraine, Iraq, or, in a lesser way because the spotlight is not right now directed at this issue, China and the various disputes in the East and South China Seas. In Iraq, the way the al-Maliki government accuses Saudi Arabia to support ISIS, when actually a more …

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The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 156 – The Caliphate, War in Syria and Beyond

Editorial – The Caliphate, War in Syria and Beyond – The victorious offensive of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) in Iraq should not come as a surprise. It has been in the making for quite a while, the “while” changing according to the perspective, starting with the 2003 invasion of Iraq by the U.S. led coalition and their destruction of the Iraqi state apparatus (see notably Paul Mutter, “Maliki’s most solemn hour“, The Arabist). Nevertheless, the impacts of the capture of Mosul are multiple and crucial. ISIS has not only expanded its territorial basis, but it has also won moral and “face”, resources, including large amount of money, becoming the wealthiest Islamist competing state actor (and not “non-state actor”, or “terrorist …

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The Red Team Analysis Weekly 155 – Narratives at War: EU-US vs Russia vs Crowdsourced?

Editorial – Narratives at war: There is a fascinating discrepancy at work between narratives found in the news. They vary according to the type of actors upon which one focuses. Actually the difference between some of them is so huge that one wonders if they describe the same world. Furthermore, if those narratives are rooted in the conflict in Ukraine they do not stop there but interact with and impact other areas and dimensions. Narrative One originates from the U.S. and Europe, with slightly varying emphases according to American or European origin. It runs somehow as follows: The conflict in Ukraine is (almost) over, thanks to legitimate democratic elections and the new Ukrainian President elect Poroshenko, who has outlined his peace plan. The next step is …

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