{"id":10495,"date":"2015-11-04T13:38:23","date_gmt":"2015-11-04T12:38:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=10495"},"modified":"2021-10-06T19:41:05","modified_gmt":"2021-10-06T17:41:05","slug":"cartographier-mentalement-moyen-oriental-morass-saoudien-arabie-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/11\/04\/mindfully-mapping-middle-eastern-morass-saudi-arabia-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Tempobs - Cartographier consciemment un marasme au Moyen-Orient - Arabie Saoudite et Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Pour r\u00e9sumer le post d'introduction d'H\u00e9l\u00e8ne, ce projet vise \u00e0 d\u00e9velopper une approche temporelle de l'anticipation et de l'alerte strat\u00e9giques, en utilisant l'\u00e9volution des relations entre l'Iran et l'Arabie Saoudite comme cadre substantiel. Mais comment entreprendre l'anticipation strat\u00e9gique dans le contexte de la politique complexe, chaotique et rapide du Moyen-Orient contemporain ? Au cours des derniers mois, nous avons assist\u00e9 \u00e0 une s\u00e9rie extraordinaire de surprises dans la r\u00e9gion ou qui l'ont fortement affect\u00e9e, comme la chute du prix du p\u00e9trole, l'intervention saoudienne au Y\u00e9men, le d\u00e9ploiement des forces russes en Syrie et, plus r\u00e9cemment, l'\u00e9mergence de craintes de guerre sectaire g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e. Se r\u00e9f\u00e9rant \u00e0 ce dernier d\u00e9veloppement, mais offrant un jugement d'application plus g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, la politique du Moyen-Orient ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/11\/04\/mindfully-mapping-middle-eastern-morass-saudi-arabia-iran\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Tempobs - Cartographier en toute conscience le marasme du Moyen-Orient - Arabie saoudite et Iran \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=10495\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pour r\u00e9sumer le post d'introduction d'H\u00e9l\u00e8ne, ce projet vise \u00e0 d\u00e9velopper une approche temporelle de l'anticipation et de l'alerte strat\u00e9giques, en utilisant l'\u00e9volution des relations entre l'Iran et l'Arabie Saoudite comme cadre substantiel. Mais comment entreprendre l'anticipation strat\u00e9gique dans le contexte de la politique complexe, chaotique et rapide du Moyen-Orient contemporain ? Au cours des derniers mois, nous avons assist\u00e9 \u00e0 une s\u00e9rie extraordinaire de surprises dans la r\u00e9gion ou qui l'ont fortement affect\u00e9e, comme la chute du prix du p\u00e9trole, l'intervention saoudienne au Y\u00e9men, le d\u00e9ploiement des forces russes en Syrie et, plus r\u00e9cemment, l'\u00e9mergence de craintes de guerre sectaire g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e. Se r\u00e9f\u00e9rant \u00e0 ce dernier d\u00e9veloppement, mais offrant un jugement d'application plus g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, la politique du Moyen-Orient ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/11\/04\/mindfully-mapping-middle-eastern-morass-saudi-arabia-iran\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Tempobs - Cartographier en toute conscience le marasme du Moyen-Orient - Arabie saoudite et Iran \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=10495\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":155,"featured_media":10522,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2499,2046],"tags":[188,260,1789,193,91,98,224,1042,788],"class_list":["post-10495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-temporal-observatory","tag-analysis","tag-bayesian-network","tag-featured","tag-graph","tag-iran","tag-mapping","tag-monitoring","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-scanning","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tempobs - Mindfully Mapping a Middle Eastern Morass - Saudi Arabia and Iran &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/11\/04\/cartographier-mentalement-moyen-oriental-morass-saoudien-arabie-iran\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tempobs - Mindfully Mapping a Middle Eastern Morass - Saudi Arabia and Iran &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"To summarize Helene\u2019s introductory post, this project aims to develop a time-sensitive approach to strategic anticipation and warning, using the evolving relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia as its substantive framework. 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