{"id":1295,"date":"2012-03-04T10:02:24","date_gmt":"2012-03-04T09:02:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=1295"},"modified":"2024-11-13T08:13:07","modified_gmt":"2024-11-13T07:13:07","slug":"2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/","title":{"rendered":"2212 EVT - Sc\u00e9nario 1 - Mamominarch : Off avec l'\u00c9tat"},"content":{"rendered":"

R\u00e9sum\u00e9 des derniers \u00e9pisodes :<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/span>En 2212 EVT,\u00a0Everstate<\/a>\u00a0(l'id\u00e9al-type correspondant \u00e0 nos pays bien r\u00e9els cr\u00e9\u00e9s pour\u00a0pr\u00e9voir<\/a>\u00a0le\u00a0l'avenir de la gouvernance et de l'\u00c9tat-nation moderne<\/a>) conna\u00eet un m\u00e9contentement croissant de sa population.\u00a0<\/em>En proie \u00e0 un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire croissant et \u00e0 un besoin accru de liquidit\u00e9s, \u00e0 une appropriation rampante des ressources alors que la force du pouvoir public central s'affaiblit au profit de divers groupes d'\u00e9lite et \u00e0 une vision du monde d\u00e9pass\u00e9e qui favorise l'incompr\u00e9hension, la d\u00e9connexion et, partant, des actions inad\u00e9quates, l'Union europ\u00e9enne est confront\u00e9e \u00e0 un d\u00e9fi de taille,\u00a0<\/em>les autorit\u00e9s politiques sont de moins en moins en mesure d'assurer la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 que les citoyens recherchent. Les risques pour la l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 de l'ensemble du syst\u00e8me augmentent donc. Alarm\u00e9es par les difficult\u00e9s croissantes et le m\u00e9contentement g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9, les autorit\u00e9s gouvernementales d\u00e9cident de faire quelque chose. Trois sc\u00e9narios ou histoires possibles seront racont\u00e9s : \"Mamominarch : L'\u00c9tat s'en va\", \"Panglossy : La m\u00eame chose, la m\u00eame chose\" et \"La gen\u00e8se de l'histoire\".<\/em> Nous entamons ici le premier sc\u00e9nario : \"Mamominarch : L'\u00c9tat au rancart\".<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(Le lecteur peut cliquer sur chaque photo pour en voir une version plus grande dans un nouvel onglet - a carte de navigation des postes<\/a> est disponible pour faciliter la lecture).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Commission Mamominarche<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Compte tenu de la difficult\u00e9 des probl\u00e8mes \u00e0 r\u00e9soudre et de la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d'un consensus parmi les \u00e9lites puissantes, ainsi que les acteurs r\u00e9gionaux et internationaux, pour voir l'ensemble des mesures appliqu\u00e9es, une fois qu'elles auront \u00e9t\u00e9 identifi\u00e9es, le gouvernement de Everstate convoque une commission de haut niveau charg\u00e9e de d\u00e9terminer ce qu'il convient de faire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le niveau le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 du gouvernement choisit donc sur le volet les personnes qui participeront aux travaux : haut niveau des repr\u00e9sentants du gouvernement et de l'\u00c9tat, ces derniers repr\u00e9sentant les fonctionnaires, les repr\u00e9sentants parlementaires des principaux partis, qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 au pouvoir alternativement au cours des sept derni\u00e8res d\u00e9cennies, <\/span>de c\u00e9l\u00e8bres \u00e9conomistes Everstatan et \u00e9trangers, le directeur de l'Everstatan School of Liberal Politics, des experts en gestion, des chefs d'entreprise, notamment les PDG de Novstate<\/a> et de ses entreprises amies, les PDG des plus grandes banques et des plus grands fonds financiers, les consultants en affaires, les experts en nouvelles technologies, les hauts fonctionnaires du FMI, de l'OMC et de l'Union r\u00e9gionale. Tous d\u00e9fendent avec force la ordre normatif<\/a><\/span> \u00e0 laquelle appartient le Everstate et pour la les principaux groupes d'\u00e9lite enracin\u00e9s<\/a><\/span>. \u00c0 titre d'exception \u00e0 cette r\u00e8gle, le PDG d'une entreprise Everstatan de haute technologie tr\u00e8s performante, Evernet, est \u00e9galement invit\u00e9 \u00e0 repr\u00e9senter le groupe d'\u00e9lite \u00e9mergent li\u00e9 \u00e0 l'informatique et \u00e0 la mise en r\u00e9seau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apr\u00e8s deux mois de d\u00e9bats et de travaux intenses, le plus souvent effectu\u00e9s par le personnel des personnalit\u00e9s qui participent au groupe de travail de haut niveau, la Commission Mamominarch, comme on l'appelle maintenant, arrive \u00e0 la conclusion que la cause premi\u00e8re des probl\u00e8mes est l'impossibilit\u00e9 de faire correspondre les d\u00e9penses publiques aux revenus publics, m\u00eame en p\u00e9riode de croissance \u00e9conomique, et que la solution \u00e9vidente est donc de r\u00e9duire radicalement les d\u00e9penses publiques.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Structure<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Bien s\u00fbr, cette solution est con\u00e7ue en termes de d\u00e9penses et non de besoins, mais est-ce vraiment un probl\u00e8me ? Le mod\u00e8le normatif de l'\u00e9poque, qui a si bien r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 apporter richesse et croissance, d\u00e9fend le libre entreprenariat, le libre \u00e9change et le libre march\u00e9 comme id\u00e9aux. Dans le m\u00eame temps, l'\u00c9tat et en particulier sa bureaucratie tendent \u00e0 \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9s comme co\u00fbteux et inefficaces, manifestement incapables de s'adapter aux nouvelles conditions, comme le prouve la d\u00e9t\u00e9rioration de la situation, et en outre incapables de contribuer \u00e0 assurer sa mission premi\u00e8re, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de sa population, comme le montrent, une fois encore, les protestations et la tension croissante. Il est donc tout \u00e0 fait logique de pousser l'ordre normatif un peu plus loin et de l'appliquer enfin pleinement : s'en remettre aux forces entrepreneuriales libres et au march\u00e9 pour fournir les biens et les services autant que possible, travailler toujours dans cette direction, tandis que l'\u00c9tat doit s'effacer. Apr\u00e8s une courte p\u00e9riode d'adaptation, tout le monde sera heureux et certainement mieux loti, car l'\u00e9quilibre aura \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9tabli, et cette fois-ci de mani\u00e8re permanente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ce qui sera plus d\u00e9licat \u00e0 mettre en place, c'est l'avenir \u00e0 court terme, lorsque des efforts suppl\u00e9mentaires en termes de revenus seront demand\u00e9s \u00e0 la population, car les dettes existantes doivent \u00eatre rembours\u00e9es et les int\u00e9r\u00eats pay\u00e9s. Mais les difficult\u00e9s ne dureront que tr\u00e8s peu de temps, car la reprise de la croissance se traduira par une augmentation de l'emploi. rapidement<\/span> <\/span>faire en sorte que l'effort ne soit pas p\u00e9nible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Certains fonctionnaires devront \u00eatre licenci\u00e9s, mais comme les services seront repris par le secteur priv\u00e9, ils retrouveront certainement du travail tr\u00e8s rapidement, sur le mod\u00e8le de Novstate. Leur carri\u00e8re pourrait m\u00eame s'en trouver am\u00e9lior\u00e9e, car l'\u00e9conomie sera certainement fortement stimul\u00e9e par ce nouveau syst\u00e8me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De plus, la vente de pans entiers de l'\u00c9tat, comme cela a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 entrepris, rapportera plus d'argent qui servira \u00e0 rembourser les dettes, ce qui contribuera \u00e0 stabiliser les imp\u00f4ts. Il n'y aura pas besoin de trouver des imp\u00f4ts vraiment nouveaux, sauf peut-\u00eatre pour une courte p\u00e9riode, et surtout pas besoin d'entamer une v\u00e9ritable r\u00e9flexion sur les moyens de rendre le budget de l'Etat plus attractif. le lien entre les pr\u00eateurs<\/a> payer plus d'imp\u00f4ts - ce qui est, de toute fa\u00e7on, quelque chose de tr\u00e8s difficile \u00e0 \u00e9laborer \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 que l'ensemble du syst\u00e8me financier est devenu si complexe, et demanderait des trait\u00e9s internationaux, ce qui prendrait trop de temps \u00e0 obtenir, \u00e0 supposer que cela soit possible*.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/a>
Le syst\u00e8me bancaire parall\u00e8le, conceptualis\u00e9, con\u00e7u et cr\u00e9\u00e9 par Zoltan Pozsar, Banque f\u00e9d\u00e9rale de r\u00e9serve de New York, novembre 2009.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Enfin, comme le soulignent de nombreux membres de la Commission, cela sera bon pour les affaires, attirera les investissements et permettra \u00e0 Everstate de rivaliser avec les principales places financi\u00e8res et commerciales du monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seule une arm\u00e9e et une police minimales resteront au niveau de l'\u00c9tat. L'essentiel des forces de police sera d\u00e9sormais sous la responsabilit\u00e9 des villes locales, car, de toute fa\u00e7on, la criminalit\u00e9 doit \u00eatre r\u00e9solue par des actions de proximit\u00e9, sur le terrain, et par une meilleure compr\u00e9hension des criminels. Les op\u00e9rations contre les menaces nationales existantes seront partag\u00e9es entre ce qui reste des forces de d\u00e9fense, avec un recours croissant aux contractants priv\u00e9s. Le PDG de Novstate s'est engag\u00e9 lors des d\u00e9bats \u00e0 ce que sa soci\u00e9t\u00e9 et ses entreprises amies fassent tout leur possible pour r\u00e9pondre aux besoins de Everstate en la mati\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Des sp\u00e9cialistes des relations publiques, de la communication et de la publicit\u00e9, ainsi que des lobbyistes, sont d\u00e9sormais charg\u00e9s de veiller \u00e0 ce que les conclusions et le message de la commission Mamominarch soient transmis au mieux afin qu'ils deviennent des d\u00e9cisions politiques adopt\u00e9es par les organes directeurs de Everstate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tout se passe en effet tr\u00e8s bien et toutes les conclusions de Mamominarch sont adopt\u00e9es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A suivre<\/a>...<\/p>\n\n\n\n

--<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u00e9f\u00e9rences<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* Zoltan Pozsar, Tobias Adrian, Adam Ashcraft et Hayley Boesky, <\/span>Banque parall\u00e8le<\/a><\/em>Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, no. 458, juillet 2010 ; \"Selon une mesure de la taille du syst\u00e8me bancaire parall\u00e8le, celui-ci a connu une croissance rapide avant la crise, passant d'un montant estim\u00e9 \u00e0 1T9T27 trillions en 2002 \u00e0 1T9T60 trillions en 2007, et est rest\u00e9 \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s au m\u00eame niveau en 2010.\" Conseil de stabilit\u00e9 financi\u00e8re (CSF), Banque parall\u00e8le : Renforcer la surveillance et la r\u00e9glementation<\/a><\/em>, octobre 2011, p.1 ; Brook Masters (2011-10-27). \"Le syst\u00e8me bancaire parall\u00e8le d\u00e9passe le niveau d'avant la crise\".<\/a>. Le Financial Times<\/a>. consult\u00e9 le 2012-02-10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

R\u00e9sum\u00e9 des derniers \u00e9pisodes : En 2212 EVT, Everstate (l'id\u00e9al-type correspondant \u00e0 nos pays bien r\u00e9els cr\u00e9\u00e9 pour pr\u00e9voir l'avenir de la gouvernance et de l'Etat-nation moderne) conna\u00eet un m\u00e9contentement croissant de sa population. En proie \u00e0 un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire qui se creuse et \u00e0 un besoin croissant de liquidit\u00e9s, une appropriation rampante des ressources alors que la force du pouvoir public central s'affaiblit au profit de diverses \u00e9lites... <\/p>\n

Continuer la lecture \"2212 EVT - Sc\u00e9nario 1 - Mamominarch : Off with the State \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1374,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[484],"tags":[434,322,205,2062,354,224,561,474,473,505,506,190,123,139,503],"class_list":["post-1295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mamominarch","tag-elite-group","tag-fiscal-crisis","tag-governance","tag-mamominarch","tag-modern-nation-state","tag-monitoring","tag-neo-liberalism","tag-normative-order","tag-norms","tag-public-expenses","tag-public-income","tag-scenarios","tag-strategic-foresight","tag-the-chronicles-of-everstate","tag-ultra-liberalism","entry"],"yoast_head":"\n2212 EVT - Scenario 1 - Mamominarch: Off with the State • The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2212 EVT - Scenario 1 - Mamominarch: Off with the State • The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Last episodes\u2019 summary:\u00a0In 2212 EVT,\u00a0Everstate\u00a0(the ideal-type\u00a0corresponding to our very real countries\u00a0created to\u00a0foresee\u00a0the\u00a0future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population.\u00a0Plagued with\u00a0a deepening budget deficit and an increasing need for liquidity, a creeping appropriation of\u00a0resources while the strength of central public power weakens to the profit of various elite groups … Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a02212 EVT – Scenario 1 – Mamominarch: Off with the State\u00a0\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-03-04T09:02:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-13T07:13:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Garden_delights-4_3-e1329922546410.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"601\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/04\\\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/04\\\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"2212 EVT – Scenario 1 – Mamominarch: Off with the State\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-03-04T09:02:24+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-13T07:13:07+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/04\\\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1142,\"commentCount\":3,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/04\\\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/Garden_delights-4_3-e1329922546410.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"elite group\",\"fiscal crisis\",\"governance\",\"Mamominarch\",\"modern nation-state\",\"monitoring\",\"neo-liberalism\",\"normative order\",\"norms\",\"public expenses\",\"public income\",\"scenarios\",\"strategic foresight\",\"The Chronicles of Everstate\",\"ultra-liberalism\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Mamominarch\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/04\\\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/04\\\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2012\\\/03\\\/04\\\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\\\/\",\"name\":\"2212 EVT - 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She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"2212 EVT - Sc\u00e9nario 1 - Mamominarch : \u00c0 bas l'\u00c9tat \u2022 Le Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"2212 EVT - Scenario 1 - Mamominarch: Off with the State • The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"Last episodes\u2019 summary:\u00a0In 2212 EVT,\u00a0Everstate\u00a0(the ideal-type\u00a0corresponding to our very real countries\u00a0created to\u00a0foresee\u00a0the\u00a0future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population.\u00a0Plagued with\u00a0a deepening budget deficit and an increasing need for liquidity, a creeping appropriation of\u00a0resources while the strength of central public power weakens to the profit of various elite groups … Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a02212 EVT – Scenario 1 – Mamominarch: Off with the State\u00a0\u00bb","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2012-03-04T09:02:24+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-11-13T07:13:07+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":601,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Garden_delights-4_3-e1329922546410.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/"},"author":{"name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4"},"headline":"2212 EVT – Scenario 1 – Mamominarch: Off with the State","datePublished":"2012-03-04T09:02:24+00:00","dateModified":"2024-11-13T07:13:07+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/"},"wordCount":1142,"commentCount":3,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Garden_delights-4_3-e1329922546410.jpg","keywords":["elite group","fiscal crisis","governance","Mamominarch","modern nation-state","monitoring","neo-liberalism","normative order","norms","public expenses","public income","scenarios","strategic foresight","The Chronicles of Everstate","ultra-liberalism"],"articleSection":["Mamominarch"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2012\/03\/04\/2012-evt-scenario-1-mamominarch-off-with-the-state\/","name":"2212 EVT - 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Elle est titulaire d'un doctorat en \u00e9tudes politiques et d'une ma\u00eetrise en politique internationale de l'Asie (avec distinction) de la School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), Universit\u00e9 de Londres, ainsi que d'une ma\u00eetrise en finance (major de promotion, Grande \u00c9cole, France).\r\n\r\nExperte en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte pr\u00e9coce, notamment pour les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale, elle combine 30 ans d'exp\u00e9rience en relations internationales et pr\u00e8s de 20 ans en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte. Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Garden_delights-4_3-e1329922546410.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1295","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1295"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1295\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40334,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1295\/revisions\/40334"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1374"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}