{"id":13228,"date":"2016-11-14T11:10:31","date_gmt":"2016-11-14T10:10:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=13228"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:36:14","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:36:14","slug":"scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationaliste-libya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/14\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\/","title":{"rendered":"Sc\u00e9narios pour l'avenir de la Libye - Sc 3.2 Une Libye nationaliste"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cet article se concentre sur le deuxi\u00e8me des sc\u00e9narios d\u00e9crivant une victoire totale d'une faction libyenne, o\u00f9 la coalition nationaliste - loyale \u00e0 un gouvernement non islamiste et nationaliste - est victorieuse et guide la Libye vers un \u00c9tat la\u00efque et nationaliste o\u00f9 la charia n'est pas une source de gouvernance. Dans notre sc\u00e9nario pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, nous avons d\u00e9taill\u00e9 le sc\u00e9nario d'une victoire islamiste o\u00f9 le nouveau gouvernement met progressivement, avec des chemins diff\u00e9rents selon la vitesse, en \u0153uvre la charia et met la Libye sur la voie d'un \u00c9tat islamique. Note : Compte tenu des futurs noms des factions potentielles qui r\u00e9sulteraient d'une nouvelle scission du gouvernement d'unit\u00e9, nous utiliserons le label nationaliste pour ceux qui ont soutenu le Conseil des repr\u00e9sentants (COR) domin\u00e9 par les nationalistes... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/14\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Sc\u00e9narios pour l'avenir de la Libye - Sc 3.2 Une Libye nationaliste \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13228\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cet article se concentre sur le deuxi\u00e8me des sc\u00e9narios d\u00e9crivant une victoire totale d'une faction libyenne, o\u00f9 la coalition nationaliste - loyale \u00e0 un gouvernement non islamiste et nationaliste - est victorieuse et guide la Libye vers un \u00c9tat la\u00efque et nationaliste o\u00f9 la charia n'est pas une source de gouvernance. Dans notre sc\u00e9nario pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, nous avons d\u00e9taill\u00e9 le sc\u00e9nario d'une victoire islamiste o\u00f9 le nouveau gouvernement met progressivement, avec des chemins diff\u00e9rents selon la vitesse, en \u0153uvre la charia et met la Libye sur la voie d'un \u00c9tat islamique. Note : Compte tenu des futurs noms des factions potentielles qui r\u00e9sulteraient d'une nouvelle scission du gouvernement d'unit\u00e9, nous utiliserons le label nationaliste pour ceux qui ont soutenu le Conseil des repr\u00e9sentants (COR) domin\u00e9 par les nationalistes... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/14\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Sc\u00e9narios pour l'avenir de la Libye - Sc 3.2 Une Libye nationaliste \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13228\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":13296,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[312,2499,3247],"tags":[1789,170,1949,2317,2329,2163,345,190,2342,522],"class_list":["post-13228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-libya","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","tag-featured","tag-geopolitics","tag-haftar","tag-libya","tag-libyan-scenario","tag-libyan-tribes","tag-oil","tag-scenarios","tag-uncertainties","tag-war","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/14\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationaliste-libya\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article focuses on the second of the scenarios depicting a total victory for one Libyan faction, where the nationalist coalition \u2013 loyal to a non-Islamist and nationalist government \u2013 is victorious and guides Libya towards a secular and nationalist state where Sharia is not a source of governance. In our previous scenario we detailed &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya\u00a0\u00bbThis content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/14\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationaliste-libya\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-11-14T10:10:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-08T10:36:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/Sc-Nationalist-Libya-featured.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1038\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@jbmitchell1212\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"19 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/14\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/14\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/51268d86724cf8a939cfc4f20643ccd6\"},\"headline\":\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-11-14T10:10:31+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-08T10:36:14+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/14\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":3784,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/14\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/Sc-Nationalist-Libya-featured.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"featured\",\"geopolitics\",\"Haftar\",\"Libya\",\"Libyan scenario\",\"Libyan tribes\",\"oil\",\"scenarios\",\"uncertainties\",\"war\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Libya and Scenarios\",\"Middle-East and North Africa\",\"Real World Examples of Scenarios\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/14\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/14\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/14\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\\\/\",\"name\":\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya &#8226; 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