{"id":13338,"date":"2016-12-05T10:35:39","date_gmt":"2016-12-05T09:35:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=13338"},"modified":"2022-02-01T17:03:51","modified_gmt":"2022-02-01T16:03:51","slug":"le%c3%a7ons-conflit-ukraine-g%c3%a9opolitique-incertitudes-affaires-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/12\/05\/lessons-conflict-ukraine-geopolitics-uncertainties-business-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Les le\u00e7ons du conflit en Ukraine - G\u00e9opolitique, incertitudes et affaires (4)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Cet article identifie les le\u00e7ons que nous pouvons tirer de l'impact du conflit en Ukraine sur les entreprises, tel que pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 dans le <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/28\/impact-conflit-en-ukraine-geopolitique-incertitudes-et-affaires-3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">premi\u00e8re partie<\/a>pour continuer \u00e0 am\u00e9liorer notre compr\u00e9hension de la mani\u00e8re dont les entreprises et le monde des affaires peuvent utilement anticiper ou pr\u00e9voir les risques et incertitudes g\u00e9opolitiques et politiques.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">De la mani\u00e8re d'identifier les crises et les incertitudes g\u00e9opolitiques qui peuvent pr\u00e9occuper - parfois de mani\u00e8re inattendue - une entreprise (le\u00e7on 1) au meilleur moment pour lancer le processus d'anticipation (le\u00e7on 2), en passant par la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de penser en dehors du cadre id\u00e9ologique (le\u00e7on 3) et de mani\u00e8re multidimensionnelle (le\u00e7on 4) et de comprendre \"l'int\u00e9r\u00eat national\" et son \u00e9volution (le\u00e7on 5), les impacts de la guerre en Ukraine nous apportent une grande richesse de compr\u00e9hension et nous indiquent de nombreuses am\u00e9liorations n\u00e9cessaires, voire cruciales, qui peuvent \u00eatre entreprises. Celles-ci s'ajouteront donc aux points pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment identifi\u00e9s dans \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/07\/lecons-brexit-geopolitique-incertitudes-affaires\/\">Le\u00e7ons de et pour les Brexit - G\u00e9opolitique, incertitudes et entreprises<\/a>\u00a0(2)\", apr\u00e8s qu'un cadre g\u00e9n\u00e9ral ait \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9fini dans \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/10\/17\/entreprises-g%c3%a9opolitique-pris-tourbillons\/\">Entreprises et g\u00e9opolitique : Pris dans la tourmente ?<\/a>\u201d (1).<\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13338\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Cet article identifie les le\u00e7ons que nous pouvons tirer de l'impact du conflit en Ukraine sur les entreprises, tel que pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 dans le <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/28\/impact-conflit-en-ukraine-geopolitique-incertitudes-et-affaires-3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">premi\u00e8re partie<\/a>pour continuer \u00e0 am\u00e9liorer notre compr\u00e9hension de la mani\u00e8re dont les entreprises et le monde des affaires peuvent utilement anticiper ou pr\u00e9voir les risques et incertitudes g\u00e9opolitiques et politiques.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">De la mani\u00e8re d'identifier les crises et les incertitudes g\u00e9opolitiques qui peuvent pr\u00e9occuper - parfois de mani\u00e8re inattendue - une entreprise (le\u00e7on 1) au meilleur moment pour lancer le processus d'anticipation (le\u00e7on 2), en passant par la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de penser en dehors du cadre id\u00e9ologique (le\u00e7on 3) et de mani\u00e8re multidimensionnelle (le\u00e7on 4) et de comprendre \"l'int\u00e9r\u00eat national\" et son \u00e9volution (le\u00e7on 5), les impacts de la guerre en Ukraine nous apportent une grande richesse de compr\u00e9hension et nous indiquent de nombreuses am\u00e9liorations n\u00e9cessaires, voire cruciales, qui peuvent \u00eatre entreprises. Celles-ci s'ajouteront donc aux points pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment identifi\u00e9s dans \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/11\/07\/lecons-brexit-geopolitique-incertitudes-affaires\/\">Le\u00e7ons de et pour les Brexit - G\u00e9opolitique, incertitudes et entreprises<\/a>\u00a0(2)\", apr\u00e8s qu'un cadre g\u00e9n\u00e9ral ait \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9fini dans \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/10\/17\/entreprises-g%c3%a9opolitique-pris-tourbillons\/\">Entreprises et g\u00e9opolitique : Pris dans la tourmente ?<\/a>\u201d (1).<\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13338\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13369,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1206,31,2502,2457,1784],"tags":[27,1789,795,1132,2410,220,190,2175,2409],"class_list":["post-13338","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyse","category-communication","category-europe","category-geopolitics-uncertainty-and-business","category-ukraine","tag-bias","tag-featured","tag-france","tag-mali","tag-national-interest","tag-russia","tag-scenarios","tag-u-s","tag-ukraine","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lessons from the Conflict in Ukraine - Geopolitics, Uncertainties and Business (4) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/12\/05\/le\u00e7ons-conflit-ukraine-g\u00e9opolitique-incertitudes-affaires-4\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lessons from the Conflict in Ukraine - Geopolitics, Uncertainties and Business (4) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article identifies\u00a0lessons we can learn from the impact of the conflict in Ukraine on businesses, as presented in the first part, to continue\u00a0enhancing our understanding of the way businesses and the corporate world could usefully anticipate or foresee geopolitical and political risks and\u00a0uncertainties. From the way to identify which crises and geopolitical uncertainties can be - sometimes unexpectedly - of concern to a company (Lesson 1) to the best timing for starting the\u00a0anticipation \u00a0process\u00a0(Lesson 2), the need to think outside the ideological box (Lesson 3) and multi-dimensionally (Lesson 4) and to understand &quot;national interest&quot; and its evolution (Lesson 5), the impacts of the war in Ukraine bring us a wealth of understanding and points out many necessary if not crucial improvements that may be endeavoured. These will thus be added to the points\u00a0previously identified in\u00a0&quot;Lessons from and for the Brexit \u2013 Geopolitics, Uncertainties, and Business\u00a0(2)&quot;, after a general framework was defined in\u00a0&quot;Businesses and Geopolitics: Caught up in the Whirlwinds?&quot; (1).This content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/12\/05\/le\u00e7ons-conflit-ukraine-g\u00e9opolitique-incertitudes-affaires-4\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-12-05T09:35:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-02-01T16:03:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/2015-03-17._\u0412\u0435\u0447\u0435\u0440-\u0440\u0435\u043a\u0432\u0438\u0435\u043c_\u043f\u043e_\u043f\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0431\u0448\u0438\u043c_\u0434\u0435\u0442\u044f\u043c_\u0414\u043e\u043d\u0431\u0430\u0441\u0441\u0430_067-1038.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1038\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"14 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/zh\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/05\\\/%e6%95%99%e8%ae%ad-%e5%86%b2%e7%aa%81-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e4%b8%8d%e7%a1%ae%e5%ae%9a%e5%9b%a0%e7%b4%a0-%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a-4\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/zh\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/05\\\/%e6%95%99%e8%ae%ad-%e5%86%b2%e7%aa%81-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e4%b8%8d%e7%a1%ae%e5%ae%9a%e5%9b%a0%e7%b4%a0-%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a-4\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Lessons from the Conflict in Ukraine &#8211; 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She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. 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From the way to identify which crises and geopolitical uncertainties can be - sometimes unexpectedly - of concern to a company (Lesson 1) to the best timing for starting the\u00a0anticipation \u00a0process\u00a0(Lesson 2), the need to think outside the ideological box (Lesson 3) and multi-dimensionally (Lesson 4) and to understand \"national interest\" and its evolution (Lesson 5), the impacts of the war in Ukraine bring us a wealth of understanding and points out many necessary if not crucial improvements that may be endeavoured. These will thus be added to the points\u00a0previously identified in\u00a0\"Lessons from and for the Brexit \u2013 Geopolitics, Uncertainties, and Business\u00a0(2)\", after a general framework was defined in\u00a0\"Businesses and Geopolitics: Caught up in the Whirlwinds?\" (1).This content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2016\/12\/05\/le\u00e7ons-conflit-ukraine-g\u00e9opolitique-incertitudes-affaires-4\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2016-12-05T09:35:39+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-02-01T16:03:51+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1038,"height":576,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/2015-03-17._\u0412\u0435\u0447\u0435\u0440-\u0440\u0435\u043a\u0432\u0438\u0435\u043c_\u043f\u043e_\u043f\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0431\u0448\u0438\u043c_\u0434\u0435\u0442\u044f\u043c_\u0414\u043e\u043d\u0431\u0430\u0441\u0441\u0430_067-1038.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD 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