{"id":13774,"date":"2017-01-23T10:23:10","date_gmt":"2017-01-23T09:23:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=13774"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:35:49","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:35:49","slug":"sc%c3%a9narios-avenir-libye-sc-4-2-victoire-islamique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/01\/23\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-4-2-islamic-state-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"Sc\u00e9narios pour l'avenir de la Libye - Sc 4.2 Une victoire de l'\u00c9tat islamique"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cet article se concentre sur le deuxi\u00e8me des sc\u00e9narios d\u00e9crivant une victoire salafiste, o\u00f9 l'\u00c9tat islamique (EI) devient la force dominante sur le champ de bataille, vainc les autres acteurs et \u00e9tablit le califat. Dans notre sc\u00e9nario pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, nous avons d\u00e9taill\u00e9 le sc\u00e9nario d'une victoire d'Al-Qaida, o\u00f9 les groupes d'Al-Qaida en Libye dominent le champ de bataille et appliquent progressivement la charia par le biais d'une strat\u00e9gie de base. Note : Compte tenu des futurs noms des factions potentielles qui r\u00e9sulteraient d'une nouvelle scission du gouvernement d'unit\u00e9, nous utiliserons le label nationaliste pour ceux qui ont soutenu le Conseil des repr\u00e9sentants (COR) domin\u00e9 par les nationalistes et toutes les futures factions anti-islamistes ; islamiste pour noter ceux qui ont soutenu le Congr\u00e8s national g\u00e9n\u00e9ral (GNC) et tous les futurs mouvements islamiques pro-politiques ; et salafiste .... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/01\/23\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-4-2-islamic-state-victory\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Sc\u00e9narios pour l'avenir de la Libye - Sc 4.2 Une victoire de l'\u00c9tat islamique \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13774\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cet article se concentre sur le deuxi\u00e8me des sc\u00e9narios d\u00e9crivant une victoire salafiste, o\u00f9 l'\u00c9tat islamique (EI) devient la force dominante sur le champ de bataille, vainc les autres acteurs et \u00e9tablit le califat. Dans notre sc\u00e9nario pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, nous avons d\u00e9taill\u00e9 le sc\u00e9nario d'une victoire d'Al-Qaida, o\u00f9 les groupes d'Al-Qaida en Libye dominent le champ de bataille et appliquent progressivement la charia par le biais d'une strat\u00e9gie de base. Note : Compte tenu des futurs noms des factions potentielles qui r\u00e9sulteraient d'une nouvelle scission du gouvernement d'unit\u00e9, nous utiliserons le label nationaliste pour ceux qui ont soutenu le Conseil des repr\u00e9sentants (COR) domin\u00e9 par les nationalistes et toutes les futures factions anti-islamistes ; islamiste pour noter ceux qui ont soutenu le Congr\u00e8s national g\u00e9n\u00e9ral (GNC) et tous les futurs mouvements islamiques pro-politiques ; et salafiste .... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/01\/23\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-4-2-islamic-state-victory\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Sc\u00e9narios pour l'avenir de la Libye - Sc 4.2 Une victoire de l'\u00c9tat islamique \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13774\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":13779,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[312,2499,3247,1947],"tags":[1789],"class_list":["post-13774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-libya","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","category-the-islamic-state","tag-featured","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 4.2 An Islamic State Victory &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/01\/23\/sc\u00e9narios-avenir-libye-sc-4-2-victoire-islamique\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 4.2 An Islamic State Victory &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article focuses on the second of the scenarios depicting a Salafist victory, where the Islamic State (IS) becomes the dominant force on the battlefield, defeats the other actors, and establishes the caliphate. In our previous scenario we detailed the scenario of an Al-Qaida victory where Al-Qaida groups in Libya dominate the battlefield and gradually &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 4.2 An Islamic State Victory\u00a0\u00bbThis content is restricted to members only. 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