{"id":16057,"date":"2017-10-09T12:44:59","date_gmt":"2017-10-09T10:44:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=16057"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:26:42","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:26:42","slug":"sources-american-declin-power-view-us-national-intelligence-council","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/","title":{"rendered":"Sources du d\u00e9clin... et du pouvoir des \u00c9tats-Unis - Le point de vue du Conseil national du renseignement am\u00e9ricain"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La question d'un d\u00e9clin des \u00c9tats-Unis est de plus en plus \u00e0 l'ordre du jour, car les signaux semblent s'accumuler pour indiquer une perte relative du statut de puissance. Le dernier exemple de cette dynamique en jeu est la visite d'\u00c9tat du 4 au 8 octobre 2017 en Russie du roi Salman d'Arabie saoudite, un proche alli\u00e9 de longue date des \u00c9tats-Unis depuis 1945. Le retour du roi a \u00e9t\u00e9 soulign\u00e9 par les autorit\u00e9s saoudiennes.<em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.arabnews.com\/node\/1174486\/saudi-arabia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> ArabNews<\/a><\/em> comme \"une visite d'\u00c9tat historique de quatre jours en Russie, qui a vu les liens entre l'Arabie saoudite et la Russie atteindre de nouveaux sommets\". Cette visite semble donc annoncer le d\u00e9but d'une nouvelle p\u00e9riode, o\u00f9 un d\u00e9clin am\u00e9ricain pourrait \u00eatre une r\u00e9alit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nous examinons cette perte m\u00eame de la puissance am\u00e9ricaine \u00e0 travers une s\u00e9rie de trois articles, qui se penchent sur trois dimensions du d\u00e9clin am\u00e9ricain tel qu'il est per\u00e7u - publiquement - par le National Intelligence Council (NIC), qui fait partie de l'Office of The Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) des \u00c9tats-Unis. <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/09\/25\/nous-d%c3%a9cliner-voir-nous-national-renseignement-conseil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment<\/a>Dans l'article pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, nous avons cherch\u00e9 \u00e0 comprendre ce que le NIC entend exactement par d\u00e9clin am\u00e9ricain et son d\u00e9but. Dans cet article, nous nous concentrerons sur les sources du d\u00e9clin et de la puissance am\u00e9ricaine, telles qu'identifi\u00e9es par le NIC, ce qui nous donnera \u00e9galement des indicateurs pour suivre ce d\u00e9clin. Enfin, dans le troisi\u00e8me article, nous soulignerons le caract\u00e8re paradoxal d'un d\u00e9clin am\u00e9ricain, et aborderons l'incapacit\u00e9 des \u00c9tats-Unis \u00e0 accepter leur disparition en tant que superpuissance.<\/p>\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"background-color:#dcdcdc\" class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\"><em>L'acc\u00e8s pour les non-membres ou pour votre forfait est limit\u00e9. Pour continuer la lecture, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"devenir membre (s&#039;ouvre dans un nouvel onglet)\">devenir membre<\/a> de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 d'analyse Red (Team). Si vous \u00eates d\u00e9j\u00e0 membre, veuillez <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-login.php\" target=\"_blank\">login<\/a>\u00a0(n'oubliez pas de rafra\u00eechir la page). Si vous souhaitez lire des articles gratuits, consultez notre rubrique <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/etiquette\/acces-libre\/\" target=\"_blank\">publications \u00e0 acc\u00e8s libre<\/a>.<\/em> <br>Article complet 2110 mots - environ 5 pages<\/p>\n\n\n<p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Image en vedette<\/strong> par Bruce Emmerling, domaine public, <a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/en\/flag-us-flag-american-flags-flags-217619\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pixabay<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bibliographie d\u00e9taill\u00e9e<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les ing\u00e9nieurs civils am\u00e9ricains, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.infrastructurereportcard.org\/making-the-grade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bulletin de l'infrastructure<\/a>\u201c, 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span style=\"text-align: justify;\">Conseil national du renseignement,&nbsp;<\/span><em style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dni.gov\/index.php\/global-trends-home\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tendances mondiales : Le paradoxe du progr\u00e8s (GT)<\/a><\/em><span style=\"text-align: justify;\">,&nbsp;<\/span><em style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bureau du directeur du renseignement national,<\/em><span style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;(pour la version publique, janvier 2017).<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La soci\u00e9t\u00e9 d'analyse (\u00e9quipe) rouge, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/02\/25\/les-signes-de-securite-pour-le-petrole-et-le-gaz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Les sigles de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole et du gaz de schiste<\/a>\", Daily Scan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Valantin, Jean-Michel, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/09\/18\/changement-climatique-bombardement-planetaire-a-long-terme\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Changement climatique : le long bombardement plan\u00e9taire<\/a>\u201c, <em>The Red Team Analysis Society<\/em>, 18 septembre 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Valse, Kenneth,&nbsp;<em>Th\u00e9orie de la politique internationale<\/em>Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, 1979.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lire un r\u00e9sum\u00e9 de la th\u00e9orie de la valse dans le Korab-Karpowicz, W. Julian, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/realism-intl-relations\/#KennWaltInteSyst\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">R\u00e9alisme politique dans les relations internationales<\/a>\u201c,&nbsp;<em>The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy&nbsp;<\/em>(\u00e9dition de l'\u00e9t\u00e9 2017), Edward N. Zalta (ed.).<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La question d'un d\u00e9clin des \u00c9tats-Unis est de plus en plus \u00e0 l'ordre du jour, car les signaux semblent s'accumuler pour indiquer une perte relative du statut de puissance. Le dernier exemple de cette dynamique en jeu est la visite d'\u00c9tat du 4 au 8 octobre 2017 en Russie du roi Salman Arabie saoudite Le roi Salman, proche alli\u00e9 de longue date de ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Sources du d\u00e9clin am\u00e9ricain... et de la puissance - Le point de vue du Conseil national du renseignement des \u00c9tats-Unis \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16312,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,1078],"tags":[1789,2543],"class_list":["post-16057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-new-paradigm","tag-featured","tag-u-s-decline","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sources of American Decline... and Power - The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-declin-power-view-us-national-intelligence-council\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sources of American Decline... and Power - The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The question of a U.S. decline is increasingly on the agenda as signals seem to pile up to indicate a relative loss of power status. The last instance of such dynamics at play is the 4 to 8 October 2017 state visit to Russia of King Salman Saudi Arabia King Salman, a long-standing close ally&nbsp;of &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Sources of American Decline&#8230; and Power &#8211; The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council\u00a0\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-declin-power-view-us-national-intelligence-council\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-10-09T10:44:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-08T10:26:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1038\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Sources of American Decline&#8230; 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She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. 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