{"id":16810,"date":"2017-10-30T10:21:39","date_gmt":"2017-10-30T09:21:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=16810"},"modified":"2022-05-31T18:30:06","modified_gmt":"2022-05-31T16:30:06","slug":"signaux-tour-discussions-irakien-forces-kurde-peshmerga-pr%c3%a9sident-barzani-steps-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/30\/signals-round-talks-iraqi-forces-kurdish-peshmerga-president-barzani-steps-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Les signaux : Pourparlers entre les forces irakiennes et les Peshmerga kurdes ; le pr\u00e9sident Barzani se retire ; l'Iran..."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Impact sur les enjeux \u279a ? \u2783 Court terme - Volont\u00e9 de l'Irak de capitaliser davantage sur sa victoire militaire contre les Kurdes, notamment en capturant les champs p\u00e9trolif\u00e8res kurdes (incertitude) ? Moyen et long terme - capacit\u00e9 de l'Irak \u00e0 gouverner l\u00e9gitimement sa population multisectaire et multiethnique (incertitude critique).ethnique (incertitude critique) \u279a \u2783 \/\u2784 Force de l'Irak et soutien international \u2798\u2798\u2798 \u2782 L\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 des autorit\u00e9s et des partis politiques kurdes d'Irak partis\u2798\u2798\u2798 Perspectives d'ind\u00e9pendance voire d'autonomie des Kurdes irakiens \u279a\u279a \u2783 Influence de l'Iran en Irak et dans la r\u00e9gion\u2798 \u2799 Influence de l'Arabie saoudite\u2798 ? Tensions entre l'Arabie Saoudite et l'Iran \u279a ? \u2783 L'influence de la Russie\u2798\u2798 \u2783 L'influence des \u00c9tats-Unis \u2798 \u2784 Les perspectives des Kurdes syriens \u279a \u2783 L'essai d'influence de la Russie en Syrie\u2798\u279a ? \u2783 Tension au Moyen-Orient Alors que la communaut\u00e9 internationale abandonne l'Irak, les Kurdes semblent avoir, au moins temporairement, non seulement perdu leur pari sur ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/30\/signals-round-talks-iraqi-forces-kurdish-peshmerga-president-barzani-steps-iran\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Signaux : Pourparlers entre les forces irakiennes et les peshmergas kurdes ; le pr\u00e9sident Barzani quitte le pouvoir ; l'Iran... \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=16810\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Impact sur les enjeux \u279a ? \u2783 Court terme - Volont\u00e9 de l'Irak de capitaliser davantage sur sa victoire militaire contre les Kurdes, notamment en capturant les champs p\u00e9trolif\u00e8res kurdes (incertitude) ? Moyen et long terme - capacit\u00e9 de l'Irak \u00e0 gouverner l\u00e9gitimement sa population multisectaire et multiethnique (incertitude critique).ethnique (incertitude critique) \u279a \u2783 \/\u2784 Force de l'Irak et soutien international \u2798\u2798\u2798 \u2782 L\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 des autorit\u00e9s et des partis politiques kurdes d'Irak partis\u2798\u2798\u2798 Perspectives d'ind\u00e9pendance voire d'autonomie des Kurdes irakiens \u279a\u279a \u2783 Influence de l'Iran en Irak et dans la r\u00e9gion\u2798 \u2799 Influence de l'Arabie saoudite\u2798 ? Tensions entre l'Arabie Saoudite et l'Iran \u279a ? \u2783 L'influence de la Russie\u2798\u2798 \u2783 L'influence des \u00c9tats-Unis \u2798 \u2784 Les perspectives des Kurdes syriens \u279a \u2783 L'essai d'influence de la Russie en Syrie\u2798\u279a ? \u2783 Tension au Moyen-Orient Alors que la communaut\u00e9 internationale abandonne l'Irak, les Kurdes semblent avoir, au moins temporairement, non seulement perdu leur pari sur ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/30\/signals-round-talks-iraqi-forces-kurdish-peshmerga-president-barzani-steps-iran\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Signaux : Pourparlers entre les forces irakiennes et les peshmergas kurdes ; le pr\u00e9sident Barzani quitte le pouvoir ; l'Iran... \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=16810\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21227,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,1335,3243,2544,1078,3315,2499,2498],"tags":[2560,2549],"class_list":["post-16810","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-energy-security","category-future-wars","category-horizon-scanning-board","category-new-paradigm","category-kurds-and-kurdistan","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-russia","tag-open-access","tag-signal","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Signals: Talks between Iraqi forces and Kurdish Peshmerga; President Barzani Steps Down; Iran... &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/30\/signaux-tour-discussions-irakien-forces-kurde-peshmerga-pr\u00e9sident-barzani-steps-iran\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Signals: Talks between Iraqi forces and Kurdish Peshmerga; President Barzani Steps Down; Iran... &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Impact on Issues \u279a ? \u2783\u00a0\u00a0Short term \u2013 Willingness of Iraq to capitalize further on their military victory against the Kurds, notably capturing Kurdish oilfields (uncertainty)? Medium to longer term \u2013 capacity of Iraq to govern legitimately over its multi-sectarian multi-ethnic population (critical uncertainty) \u279a\u00a0\u2783 \u00a0\/\u2784\u00a0Iraq strength and international support \u2798\u2798\u2798\u00a0\u2782\u00a0Legitimacy of Iraqi Kurdish political &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Signals: Talks between Iraqi forces and Kurdish Peshmerga; President Barzani Steps Down; Iran&#8230;\u00a0\u00bbThis content is restricted to members only. 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