{"id":17494,"date":"2018-01-16T17:25:52","date_gmt":"2018-01-16T16:25:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=17494"},"modified":"2022-05-31T18:08:56","modified_gmt":"2022-05-31T16:08:56","slug":"signaux-nous-parrain%c3%a9-kurde-dirig%c3%a9-fronti%c3%a8re-arm%c3%a9e-syrie-r%c3%a9ponses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/01\/16\/signals-u-s-sponsored-kurdish-led-border-army-syria-responses\/","title":{"rendered":"Les signaux : L'arm\u00e9e frontali\u00e8re dirig\u00e9e par les Kurdes en Syrie, parrain\u00e9e par les \u00c9tats-Unis, et les r\u00e9ponses"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Impacts et cons\u00e9quences La principale incertitude critique li\u00e9e \u00e0 la d\u00e9cision am\u00e9ricaine concerne d'abord le niveau de cet engagement, puis sa coh\u00e9rence dans le temps. En cons\u00e9quence, la survie de la r\u00e9gion autonome syrienne, la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration du Nord de la Syrie dirig\u00e9e par les Kurdes, est \u00e9galement devenue plus incertaine.  Le r\u00e9sultat en termes d'influence r\u00e9gionale et mondiale des \u00c9tats-Unis est \u00e9galement incertain. Les principaux autres impacts sont : Probabilit\u00e9 plus faible de voir rapidement une paix constructive s'installer en SyrieProbabilit\u00e9 plus faible de voir la cr\u00e9ation d'une Syrie f\u00e9d\u00e9raleRenforcement des tensions au Moyen-OrientRenforcement des tensions mondiales, notamment avec les \u00c9tats-Unis d'une part, la Russie, la Chine, la Turquie et l'Iran d'autre part. (Nota : Le tableau symbolique a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9plac\u00e9 \u00e0 la fin de l'analyse et avant ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/01\/16\/signals-u-s-sponsored-kurdish-led-border-army-syria-responses\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Signaux : L'arm\u00e9e frontali\u00e8re kurde parrain\u00e9e par les \u00c9tats-Unis en Syrie et les r\u00e9ponses \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=17494\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Impacts et cons\u00e9quences La principale incertitude critique li\u00e9e \u00e0 la d\u00e9cision am\u00e9ricaine concerne d'abord le niveau de cet engagement, puis sa coh\u00e9rence dans le temps. En cons\u00e9quence, la survie de la r\u00e9gion autonome syrienne, la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration du Nord de la Syrie dirig\u00e9e par les Kurdes, est \u00e9galement devenue plus incertaine.  Le r\u00e9sultat en termes d'influence r\u00e9gionale et mondiale des \u00c9tats-Unis est \u00e9galement incertain. Les principaux autres impacts sont : Probabilit\u00e9 plus faible de voir rapidement une paix constructive s'installer en SyrieProbabilit\u00e9 plus faible de voir la cr\u00e9ation d'une Syrie f\u00e9d\u00e9raleRenforcement des tensions au Moyen-OrientRenforcement des tensions mondiales, notamment avec les \u00c9tats-Unis d'une part, la Russie, la Chine, la Turquie et l'Iran d'autre part. (Nota : Le tableau symbolique a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9plac\u00e9 \u00e0 la fin de l'analyse et avant ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/01\/16\/signals-u-s-sponsored-kurdish-led-border-army-syria-responses\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Signaux : L'arm\u00e9e frontali\u00e8re kurde parrain\u00e9e par les \u00c9tats-Unis en Syrie et les r\u00e9ponses \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=17494\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14997,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2544,3315],"tags":[2560,2549],"class_list":["post-17494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horizon-scanning-board","category-kurds-and-kurdistan","tag-open-access","tag-signal","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Signals: U.S. Sponsored Kurdish-led Border Army in Syria and Responses &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/01\/16\/signaux-nous-parrain\u00e9-kurde-dirig\u00e9-fronti\u00e8re-arm\u00e9e-syrie-r\u00e9ponses\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Signals: U.S. Sponsored Kurdish-led Border Army in Syria and Responses &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Impacts and Consequences The main critical uncertainty related to the American move is first the level of this commitment and then its consistency over time. 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Elle est titulaire d'un doctorat en \u00e9tudes politiques et d'une ma\u00eetrise en politique internationale de l'Asie (avec distinction) de la School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), Universit\u00e9 de Londres, ainsi que d'une ma\u00eetrise en finance (major de promotion, Grande \u00c9cole, France).\r\n\r\nExperte en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte pr\u00e9coce, notamment pour les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale, elle combine 30 ans d'exp\u00e9rience en relations internationales et pr\u00e8s de 20 ans en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte. Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Wrath-of-Euphrates-4th-phase-launch-1038.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17494","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17494"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17494\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34901,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17494\/revisions\/34901"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14997"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17494"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17494"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17494"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}