{"id":310,"date":"2011-12-04T10:42:29","date_gmt":"2011-12-04T09:42:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=310"},"modified":"2021-10-01T20:03:15","modified_gmt":"2021-10-01T18:03:15","slug":"revisiting-influence-analysis-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e9examen de l'analyse d'influence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Une fois que les variables (\u00e9galement appel\u00e9es facteurs et d\u00e9terminants selon les auteurs) ont \u00e9t\u00e9 identifi\u00e9es - et dans notre cas <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2011\/11\/13\/creer-le-modele-de-la-carte-a-reseau-dynamique-partie-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mapp\u00e9<\/a>La plupart des m\u00e9thodes de pr\u00e9vision visent \u00e0 r\u00e9duire leur nombre, c'est-\u00e0-dire \u00e0 ne conserver que quelques-unes de ces variables.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">En effet, compte tenu des limites cognitives, ainsi que des ressources limit\u00e9es, on essaie d'obtenir un certain nombre de variables qui peuvent \u00eatre facilement et relativement rapidement combin\u00e9es par le cerveau humain.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Le probl\u00e8me auquel nous sommes confront\u00e9s ici sur le plan m\u00e9thodologique est de savoir comment r\u00e9duire au mieux ce nombre de variables, en s'assurant que nous ne r\u00e9introduisons pas de biais et\/ou que nous simplifions notre mod\u00e8le au point qu'il devienne inutile ou sous-optimal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">En outre, compte tenu \u00e9galement des r\u00e9actions ind\u00e9sirables potentielles des praticiens \u00e0 des mod\u00e8les complexes, il est le plus souvent n\u00e9cessaire de pouvoir pr\u00e9senter un mod\u00e8le correctement simplifi\u00e9 ou r\u00e9duit (tout en restant fid\u00e8le au mod\u00e8le initial).<\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=310\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Une fois que les variables (\u00e9galement appel\u00e9es facteurs et d\u00e9terminants selon les auteurs) ont \u00e9t\u00e9 identifi\u00e9es - et dans notre cas <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2011\/11\/13\/creer-le-modele-de-la-carte-a-reseau-dynamique-partie-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mapp\u00e9<\/a>La plupart des m\u00e9thodes de pr\u00e9vision visent \u00e0 r\u00e9duire leur nombre, c'est-\u00e0-dire \u00e0 ne conserver que quelques-unes de ces variables.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">En effet, compte tenu des limites cognitives, ainsi que des ressources limit\u00e9es, on essaie d'obtenir un certain nombre de variables qui peuvent \u00eatre facilement et relativement rapidement combin\u00e9es par le cerveau humain.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Le probl\u00e8me auquel nous sommes confront\u00e9s ici sur le plan m\u00e9thodologique est de savoir comment r\u00e9duire au mieux ce nombre de variables, en s'assurant que nous ne r\u00e9introduisons pas de biais et\/ou que nous simplifions notre mod\u00e8le au point qu'il devienne inutile ou sous-optimal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">En outre, compte tenu \u00e9galement des r\u00e9actions ind\u00e9sirables potentielles des praticiens \u00e0 des mod\u00e8les complexes, il est le plus souvent n\u00e9cessaire de pouvoir pr\u00e9senter un mod\u00e8le correctement simplifi\u00e9 ou r\u00e9duit (tout en restant fid\u00e8le au mod\u00e8le initial).<\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=310\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3237],"tags":[188,208,1031,1032,216,98,354,165,215,190,123,212,139,1033,196],"class_list":["post-310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-scenario-building","tag-analysis","tag-criteria","tag-driver","tag-factor","tag-futurism","tag-mapping","tag-modern-nation-state","tag-political-science","tag-politics","tag-scenarios","tag-strategic-foresight","tag-strategic-foresight-and-warning","tag-the-chronicles-of-everstate","tag-uncertainty","tag-variable","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Revisiting influence analysis &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Revisiting influence analysis &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Once variables (also called factors and drivers according to authors) have been identified \u2013 and in our case mapped, most foresight methodologies aim at reducing their number, i.e. keeping only a few of those variables. Indeed, considering cognitive limitations, as well as finite resources, one tries obtaining a number of variables that can be easily and relatively quickly combined by the human brain. The problem we here face methodologically is how to reduce this number of variables at best, making sure we do not reintroduce biases or\/and simplify our model so much it becomes useless or suboptimal. Furthermore, considering also the potential adverse reactions of practitioners to complex models, being able to present a properly simplified or reduced model (however remaining faithful to the initial one) is most often necessary.This content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-12-04T09:42:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-01T18:03:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\/To8PL7DLJ_I\/AAAAAAAAAb4\/RPzZfdfrtnI\/s640\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Revisiting influence analysis\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-12-04T09:42:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-01T18:03:15+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1416,\"commentCount\":3,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\\\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\\\/To8PL7DLJ_I\\\/AAAAAAAAAb4\\\/RPzZfdfrtnI\\\/s640\\\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"analysis\",\"criteria\",\"driver\",\"factor\",\"Futurism\",\"mapping\",\"modern nation-state\",\"political science\",\"politics\",\"scenarios\",\"strategic foresight\",\"strategic foresight and warning\",\"The Chronicles of Everstate\",\"uncertainty\",\"variable\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Methodology of Scenario building\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"Revisiting influence analysis &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\\\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\\\/To8PL7DLJ_I\\\/AAAAAAAAAb4\\\/RPzZfdfrtnI\\\/s640\\\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-12-04T09:42:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-01T18:03:15+00:00\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/04\\\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\\\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\\\/To8PL7DLJ_I\\\/AAAAAAAAAb4\\\/RPzZfdfrtnI\\\/s640\\\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\\\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\\\/To8PL7DLJ_I\\\/AAAAAAAAAb4\\\/RPzZfdfrtnI\\\/s640\\\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"description\":\"Strategic Foresight &amp; Early Warning \uff65 Political &amp; Geopolitical Risk \u00b7 Scenarios\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/pages\\\/Red-Team-Analysis\\\/341280995886057\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/helenelavoix\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5403964\\\/admin\\\/dashboard\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\",\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"description\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Retour sur l'analyse d'influence \u2022 Le Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Revisiting influence analysis &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"Once variables (also called factors and drivers according to authors) have been identified \u2013 and in our case mapped, most foresight methodologies aim at reducing their number, i.e. keeping only a few of those variables. Indeed, considering cognitive limitations, as well as finite resources, one tries obtaining a number of variables that can be easily and relatively quickly combined by the human brain. The problem we here face methodologically is how to reduce this number of variables at best, making sure we do not reintroduce biases or\/and simplify our model so much it becomes useless or suboptimal. Furthermore, considering also the potential adverse reactions of practitioners to complex models, being able to present a properly simplified or reduced model (however remaining faithful to the initial one) is most often necessary.This content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2011-12-04T09:42:29+00:00","article_modified_time":"2021-10-01T18:03:15+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\/To8PL7DLJ_I\/AAAAAAAAAb4\/RPzZfdfrtnI\/s640\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"7 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/"},"author":{"name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4"},"headline":"Revisiting influence analysis","datePublished":"2011-12-04T09:42:29+00:00","dateModified":"2021-10-01T18:03:15+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/"},"wordCount":1416,"commentCount":3,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\/To8PL7DLJ_I\/AAAAAAAAAb4\/RPzZfdfrtnI\/s640\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg","keywords":["analysis","criteria","driver","factor","Futurism","mapping","modern nation-state","political science","politics","scenarios","strategic foresight","strategic foresight and warning","The Chronicles of Everstate","uncertainty","variable"],"articleSection":["Methodology of Scenario building"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/","name":"Retour sur l'analyse d'influence \u2022 Le Red Team Analysis Society","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\/To8PL7DLJ_I\/AAAAAAAAAb4\/RPzZfdfrtnI\/s640\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg","datePublished":"2011-12-04T09:42:29+00:00","dateModified":"2021-10-01T18:03:15+00:00","inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\/To8PL7DLJ_I\/AAAAAAAAAb4\/RPzZfdfrtnI\/s640\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/-NMHF9nHuZlA\/To8PL7DLJ_I\/AAAAAAAAAb4\/RPzZfdfrtnI\/s640\/2alltimeeigenselectedcriteria.png.jpg"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","description":"Prospective strat\u00e9gique et alerte pr\u00e9coce \uff65 Risques politiques et g\u00e9opolitiques \u00b7 Sc\u00e9narios","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Red Team Analysis Society"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/helenelavoix\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5403964\/admin\/dashboard\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4","name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","description":"est pr\u00e9sidente et fondatrice de The Red Team Analysis Society. Elle est titulaire d'un doctorat en \u00e9tudes politiques et d'une ma\u00eetrise en politique internationale de l'Asie (avec distinction) de la School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), Universit\u00e9 de Londres, ainsi que d'une ma\u00eetrise en finance (major de promotion, Grande \u00c9cole, France).\r\n\r\nExperte en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte pr\u00e9coce, notamment pour les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale, elle combine 30 ans d'exp\u00e9rience en relations internationales et pr\u00e8s de 20 ans en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte. Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/310","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=310"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/310\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}