{"id":31891,"date":"2021-12-18T12:44:27","date_gmt":"2021-12-18T11:44:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=31891"},"modified":"2021-12-24T11:34:34","modified_gmt":"2021-12-24T10:34:34","slug":"variant-omicron-alerte-menace-majeure-imminente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/","title":{"rendered":"Variant Omicron - Alerte: \"menace majeure et imminente\""},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-right alignright wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:16.5px\">(Conception artistique : <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/%E2%9C%B8-jean-dominique-lavoix-carli-359958181\/\" target=\"_blank\"> Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli<\/a><br> Photo : <a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/fr\/users\/geralt-9301\/?utm_source=link-attribution&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=image&amp;utm_content=4975604\">Gerd Altmann<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ce bref article est une alerte concernant la tr\u00e8s s\u00e9rieuse, voire \"majeure, menace imminente\" cr\u00e9\u00e9e par le variant Omicron, \u00e9valu\u00e9e sur des informations du 15 au 18 d\u00e9cembre 2021 (Neil Ferguson dans Emily Head, Dr Sabine L. van Elsland, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/news\/232698\/omicron-largely-evades-immunity-from-past\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Omicron largely evades immunity from past infection or two vaccine doses<\/a>\u201c, <em>ICL News<\/em>, 17 d\u00e9cembre 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/24\/omicron-variant-the-good-the-bad-and-the-intriguing-update-warning\/\">Variant Omicron - Alerte: \"le bon, la brute et 'l'intriguant'\"<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/\">Variant Omicron - Alerte: \"menace majeure et imminente\"<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/07\/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-three-scenarios\/\">Le COVID long et la cinqui\u00e8me vague - Trois sc\u00e9narios<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/11\/22\/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-the-hidden-pandemic\/\">Le COVID long et la cinqui\u00e8me vague - La pand\u00e9mie cach\u00e9e<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/11\/09\/the-fifth-wave-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-lethality\/\">La cinqui\u00e8me vague de la pand\u00e9mie de COVID-19 et sa l\u00e9talit\u00e9<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/10\/27\/towards-a-covid-19-fifth-wave\/\">Vers une cinqui\u00e8me vague de Covid-19<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Depuis que le variant Omicron a \u00e9t\u00e9 identifi\u00e9, les estimations concernant ce variant pr\u00e9occupant (VoC) sont attendues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Deux \u00e9valuations pr\u00e9coces de ce type viennent d'\u00eatre publi\u00e9es :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Centre europ\u00e9en de pr\u00e9vention et de contr\u00f4le des maladies, Assessment of the further emergence and potential impact of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant of concern in the context of ongoing transmission of the Delta variant of concern in the EU\/EEA, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecdc.europa.eu\/en\/publications-data\/covid-19-assessment-further-emergence-omicron-18th-risk-assessment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">18e mise \u00e0 jour<\/a> - 15 d\u00e9cembre 2021. ECDC : Stockholm ; 2021.<\/li><li>Neil Ferguson, Azra Ghani, et al, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis\/covid-19\/report-49-Omicron\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rapport 49<\/a> \u2013 Growth, population distribution and immune escape of Omicron in England\u201d, <em>Imperial College London<\/em>, 17 d\u00e9cembre 2021 - avec un r\u00e9sum\u00e9 par Emily Head, Dr Sabine L. van Elsland, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/news\/232698\/omicron-largely-evades-immunity-from-past\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Omicron largely evades immunity \u2026<\/a>\u201c, <em>Ibid,<\/em>).<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D'autres \u00e9tudes sont \u00e0 pr\u00e9voir, mais la probabilit\u00e9 que la situation soit tr\u00e8s grave de fa\u00e7on imminente est suffisamment \u00e9lev\u00e9e pour qu'une alerte soit lanc\u00e9e. La surveillance, et du variant et, \u00e0 notre niveau, des \u00e9valuations, doit bien entendu se poursuivre. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">R\u00e9sum\u00e9 des r\u00e9sultats actuels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les \u00e9valuations de l'Imperial College de Londres concernent le Royaume-Uni, mais, compte tenu des vagues pass\u00e9es, elles constituent d'excellentes indications de ce qui pourrait se produire ailleurs dans le monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En r\u00e9sum\u00e9, les conclusions de l'Imperial College London sont les suivantes :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Le pouvoir infectieux tr\u00e8s \u00e9lev\u00e9 d'Omicron est confirm\u00e9.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\" La proportion d'Omicron parmi tous les cas de COVID a <strong>doubl\u00e9 tous les 2 jours<\/strong> jusqu'au 11 d\u00e9cembre... <strong>Le taux de reproduction (R) d'Omicron<\/strong> \u00e9tait <strong>au-dessus de 3<\/strong> sur la p\u00e9riode \u00e9tudi\u00e9e\".<\/p><cite><meta charset=\"utf-8\">R\u00e9sum\u00e9, Imperial College London, 17 d\u00e9cembre 2021.<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les jeunes semblent \u00eatre plus vuln\u00e9rables qu'avec les variants pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\"La r\u00e9partition d'Omicron par \u00e2ge, r\u00e9gion et origine ethnique diff\u00e8re actuellement de fa\u00e7on marqu\u00e9e de celle de Delta. <strong>Les 18-29 ans<\/strong>... ayant des taux d'infection significativement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s avec Omicron par rapport \u00e0 Delta. ... les chercheurs notent qu'en raison de son \u00e9vasion immunitaire, la r\u00e9partition par \u00e2ge de l'infection par Omicron dans les semaines \u00e0 venir pourrait continuer \u00e0 diff\u00e9rer de celle de Delta.\"<\/p><cite>R\u00e9sum\u00e9 <meta charset=\"utf-8\">Imperial College London, 17 d\u00e9c. 2021<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pas d'immunit\u00e9 de groupe<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L'immunit\u00e9 naturelle ant\u00e9rieure n'offre gu\u00e8re de protection.<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>&nbsp;\"Le risque de <strong>r\u00e9infection<\/strong> avec le variant Omicron est <strong>5,4 fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9<\/strong> que celui du variant Delta... la protection contre la r\u00e9infection par Omicron offerte par une infection pass\u00e9e peut \u00eatre aussi faible que 19%.\"<\/p><cite><meta charset=\"utf-8\">R\u00e9sum\u00e9, Imperial College London, 17 d\u00e9cembre 2021.<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L'immunit\u00e9 induite par la vaccination est fortement ou l\u00e9g\u00e8rement d\u00e9grad\u00e9e<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La vaccination (sch\u00e9ma complet initial\/deux doses) n'offre pas de protection, tandis que la troisi\u00e8me dose\/booster prot\u00e8ge moins qu'avec le variant Delta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\"En fonction des estimations utilis\u00e9es pour l'efficacit\u00e9 du vaccin contre l'infection symptomatique du variant Delta, ... les estimations de l'efficacit\u00e9 du vaccin contre l'infection symptomatique par Omicron varient de <strong>0% \u00e0 20% apr\u00e8s deux doses<\/strong>, et <strong>de 55% \u00e0 80% apr\u00e8s une dose de rappel<\/strong>.\u201d<\/p><cite><meta charset=\"utf-8\">R\u00e9sum\u00e9, Imperial College London, 17 d\u00e9cembre 2021.<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Notez qu'en cons\u00e9quence, l'id\u00e9e m\u00eame d'immunit\u00e9 de groupe dispara\u00eet ou doit \u00eatre r\u00e9vis\u00e9e, selon, d'ailleurs notre alerte en ce sens du 27 janvier 2021 (cf. <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/01\/27\/covid-19-vaccinations-espoir-ou-mirage\/\">La vaccination contre le COVID-19, espoir ou mirage ?<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Gravit\u00e9<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il est peut-\u00eatre trop t\u00f4t pour \u00e9valuer compl\u00e8tement la gravit\u00e9 du variant, mais, jusqu'\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, la gravit\u00e9 ne semble pas avoir diminu\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 Delta :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>L'\u00e9tude ne trouve aucune preuve qu'Omicron ait une gravit\u00e9 moindre que Delta,...<\/p><cite><meta charset=\"utf-8\">R\u00e9sum\u00e9, Imperial College London, 17 d\u00e9cembre 2021.<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c9valuation d'alerte par l'ECDC<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette \u00e9tude renforce donc les alertes de l'ECDC, tr\u00e8s bri\u00e8vement r\u00e9sum\u00e9es comme suit :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\"...Nous \u00e9valuons donc la probabilit\u00e9 d'une nouvelle propagation de la variante Omicron dans l'UE\/EEE comme&nbsp;<strong>TRES ELEVEE<\/strong>\u201d .<\/p><p>\"...Nous \u00e9valuons donc l'impact de la propagation du VoC Omicron comme&nbsp;<strong>TRES ELEVE.<\/strong><\/p><p>\"...le niveau global de risque pour la sant\u00e9 publique associ\u00e9 \u00e0 la poursuite de l'\u00e9mergence et de la propagation du VoC du SRAS-CoV-2 Omicron dans l'UE\/EEE est \u00e9valu\u00e9 comme suit:<strong>&nbsp;TRES ELEVE.<\/strong>\u201c<\/p><cite>18\u00e8me \u00e9dition de l'ECDC<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">R\u00e9ponses et recommandations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les recommandations sont la vaccination compl\u00e8te, le rappel ou troisi\u00e8me dose, ainsi que des interventions non pharmaceutiques compl\u00e8tes (INP : \"utilisation de masques, r\u00e9duction des contacts entre groupes d'individus dans le cadre social ou professionnel, t\u00e9l\u00e9travail, tests \u00e9largis et recherche approfondie des contacts\" - ECDC, ainsi que d\u00e9sinfection des mains et \u00e9ventuellement du mat\u00e9riel, etc.) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\"La r\u00e9introduction et le renforcement rapides des INPs sont n\u00e9cessaires\".<\/p><p>\"La vaccination reste un \u00e9l\u00e9ment cl\u00e9 de l'approche \u00e0 plusieurs niveaux n\u00e9cessaire pour r\u00e9duire l'impact du VoC Omicron, tout en s'attaquant \u00e0 la circulation continue du VoC Delta.\"<\/p><cite><meta charset=\"utf-8\">18\u00e8me \u00e9dition de l'ECDC<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L'ECDC ne met pas en avant la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 \u00e9ventuelle de nouveaux confinements et pr\u00e9f\u00e8re souligner l'importance des tests et de la recherche des contacts, de l'isolement, de l'augmentation des capacit\u00e9s sanitaires et de la surveillance g\u00e9nomique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Certaines autorit\u00e9s sanitaires, comme celles des Pays-Bas, recommandent toutefois un confinement total : \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/dutch-experts-advise-government-more-measures-needed-against-omicron-nos-says-2021-12-17\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dutch health experts advise a full lockdown to slow Omicron -media<\/a>\u201d <em>Reuters<\/em>, 18 d\u00e9cembre 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Conception artistique : Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Photo : Gerd Altmann) Ce bref article est un avertissement \u00e9valu\u00e9 sur la p\u00e9riode du 15 au 18 d\u00e9cembre 2021 concernant la tr\u00e8s grave, voire \"majeure, menace imminente\" cr\u00e9\u00e9e par la variante Omicron (Neil Ferguson dans Emily Head, Dr Sabine L. van Elsland, \"Omicron largely evades immunity from past infection or two vaccine doses\", ICL ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Variante Omicron - Avertissement de \"menace majeure et imminente\" \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":31899,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2905,2860],"tags":[2883,1789,3278,2560,1134],"class_list":["post-31891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-covid19-analysis","category-featured","tag-covid-19","tag-featured","tag-omicron","tag-open-access","tag-pandemic","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Omicron Variant - &quot;Major, Imminent Threat&quot; Warning &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/18\/variant-omicron-alerte-menace-majeure-imminente\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Omicron Variant - &quot;Major, Imminent Threat&quot; Warning &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Photo: Gerd Altmann) This brief article is a warning assessed over 15 to 18 December 2021 about the very serious, indeed &#8220;major, imminent threat&#8221; created by the Omicron variant (Neil Ferguson in Emily Head, Dr Sabine L. van Elsland, &#8220;Omicron largely evades immunity from past infection or two vaccine doses&#8220;, ICL &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Omicron Variant &#8211; &#8220;Major, Imminent Threat&#8221; Warning\u00a0\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/18\/variant-omicron-alerte-menace-majeure-imminente\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-12-18T11:44:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-12-24T10:34:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Omicron-covid.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"941\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Omicron Variant &#8211; &#8220;Major, Imminent Threat&#8221; Warning\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-12-18T11:44:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-12-24T10:34:34+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":772,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/Omicron-covid.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"covid-19\",\"featured\",\"omicron\",\"Open Access\",\"pandemic\"],\"articleSection\":[\"COVID19 Analysis\",\"Featured\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/\",\"name\":\"Omicron Variant - \\\"Major, Imminent Threat\\\" Warning &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/Omicron-covid.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-12-18T11:44:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-12-24T10:34:34+00:00\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/18\\\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/Omicron-covid.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/12\\\/Omicron-covid.jpg\",\"width\":1568,\"height\":941},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"description\":\"Strategic Foresight &amp; Early Warning \uff65 Political &amp; Geopolitical Risk \u00b7 Scenarios\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/pages\\\/Red-Team-Analysis\\\/341280995886057\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/helenelavoix\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5403964\\\/admin\\\/dashboard\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\",\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"description\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Variante Omicron \u2013 Alerte : \" Menace majeure et imminente \" \u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/18\/variant-omicron-alerte-menace-majeure-imminente\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Omicron Variant - \"Major, Imminent Threat\" Warning &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Photo: Gerd Altmann) This brief article is a warning assessed over 15 to 18 December 2021 about the very serious, indeed &#8220;major, imminent threat&#8221; created by the Omicron variant (Neil Ferguson in Emily Head, Dr Sabine L. van Elsland, &#8220;Omicron largely evades immunity from past infection or two vaccine doses&#8220;, ICL &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Omicron Variant &#8211; &#8220;Major, Imminent Threat&#8221; Warning\u00a0\u00bb","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/12\/18\/variant-omicron-alerte-menace-majeure-imminente\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2021-12-18T11:44:27+00:00","article_modified_time":"2021-12-24T10:34:34+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1568,"height":941,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Omicron-covid.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/"},"author":{"name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4"},"headline":"Omicron Variant &#8211; &#8220;Major, Imminent Threat&#8221; Warning","datePublished":"2021-12-18T11:44:27+00:00","dateModified":"2021-12-24T10:34:34+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/"},"wordCount":772,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Omicron-covid.jpg","keywords":["covid-19","featured","omicron","Open Access","pandemic"],"articleSection":["COVID19 Analysis","Featured"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/","name":"Variante Omicron \u2013 Alerte : \" Menace majeure et imminente \" \u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Omicron-covid.jpg","datePublished":"2021-12-18T11:44:27+00:00","dateModified":"2021-12-24T10:34:34+00:00","inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Omicron-covid.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Omicron-covid.jpg","width":1568,"height":941},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","description":"Prospective strat\u00e9gique et alerte pr\u00e9coce \uff65 Risques politiques et g\u00e9opolitiques \u00b7 Sc\u00e9narios","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Red Team Analysis Society"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/helenelavoix\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5403964\/admin\/dashboard\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4","name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","description":"est pr\u00e9sidente et fondatrice de The Red Team Analysis Society. Elle est titulaire d'un doctorat en \u00e9tudes politiques et d'une ma\u00eetrise en politique internationale de l'Asie (avec distinction) de la School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), Universit\u00e9 de Londres, ainsi que d'une ma\u00eetrise en finance (major de promotion, Grande \u00c9cole, France).\r\n\r\nExperte en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte pr\u00e9coce, notamment pour les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale, elle combine 30 ans d'exp\u00e9rience en relations internationales et pr\u00e8s de 20 ans en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte. Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Omicron-covid.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31891","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31891"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31891\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31899"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}