{"id":3240,"date":"2012-11-16T13:22:08","date_gmt":"2012-11-16T12:22:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=3240"},"modified":"2021-10-08T16:01:53","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T14:01:53","slug":"mod%c3%a8le-vers-polarisation-dans-le-monde-occidental","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/11\/16\/pattern-towards-polarization-in-the-western-world\/","title":{"rendered":"Pattern - Vers une polarisation dans le monde occidental ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le sch\u00e9ma qui se dessine depuis au moins le d\u00e9but de la deuxi\u00e8me d\u00e9cennie du XXIe si\u00e8cle est une polarisation croissante au sein de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 - ou des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s - occidentale. Dans cet article, nous avons identifi\u00e9 et analys\u00e9 cette tendance \u00e0 travers le signal correspondant - les gr\u00e8ves du 14 novembre 2012. Nous avons \u00e9valu\u00e9 l'\u00e9volution vers la polarisation comme probable. Nous avons ensuite \u00e9valu\u00e9 que nous verrons probablement davantage de manifestations et de protestations dans un avenir proche, qui s'\u00e9tendront probablement en termes de participation, de port\u00e9e g\u00e9ographique et de contenu des revendications. Le licenciement - facilement interpr\u00e9t\u00e9 comme du m\u00e9pris - l'absence de r\u00e9ponse satisfaisante et le sentiment d'injustice vont tr\u00e8s probablement renforcer la tension, ouvrant la porte \u00e0 la violence sous diverses formes.<\/p>\n

La dynamique et les \u00e9v\u00e9nements ult\u00e9rieurs et actuels ont prouv\u00e9 que notre estimation \u00e9tait correcte. Nous ne voyons pas de fin \u00e0 cette tendance dans un avenir proche (oct. 2017).<\/p>\n

Analyse<\/h1>\n

Suite aux r\u00e9ponses apport\u00e9es par les gouvernements \u00e0 la crise des institutions financi\u00e8res et de la dette souveraine, aux politiques d'aust\u00e9rit\u00e9, les protestations se sont r\u00e9pandues dans le monde occidental depuis mars 2011. Le 14 novembre 2012, une gr\u00e8ve \u00e0 l'\u00e9chelle europ\u00e9enne a \u00e9t\u00e9 organis\u00e9e et a vu des millions de manifestants descendre dans la rue avec des variations selon les pays. Cette manifestation montre une coordination croissante entre les pays et une mobilisation des citoyens. Elle reste cependant majoritairement pacifique malgr\u00e9 des violences sporadiques.<\/p>\n

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#14N : des millions de personnes rejoignent la plus grande gr\u00e8ve europ\u00e9enne jamais organis\u00e9e, Jerome Roos, Reflections on a Revolution ROAR<\/a>: Des combats de rue \u00e9clatent et de grandes parties de l'Europe sont paralys\u00e9es alors que des millions de travailleurs quittent leur emploi dans le cadre de la plus grande...<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n

La manifestation g\u00e9n\u00e9rale a eu lieu alors que la zone euro n'\u00e9tait pas encore consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme \u00e9tant en r\u00e9cession. Cependant, comme la r\u00e9cession est maintenant officielle et qu'elle devrait durer, les causes de la mobilisation demeurent, ce qui nous laisse esp\u00e9rer d'autres protestations \u00e0 venir.<\/p>\n

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La zone euro s'enfonce dans la r\u00e9cession avec les difficult\u00e9s de l'Allemagne<\/a>Robin Emmot, BRUXELLES, 15 novembre (Reuters) : L'\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise est consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme stagnante ; l'Allemagne ne conna\u00eetra qu'une croissance de 0,2 pct ; la zone euro a probablement d\u00e9rap\u00e9 en...<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Si les protestations pacifiques sont toutefois consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme inutiles, notamment par l'establishment financier conservateur et lib\u00e9ral, alors il est fort probable que les revendications ne seront pas entendues, et pire, que les manifestations pacifiques seront rejet\u00e9es. Cela peut \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme la v\u00e9ritable r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 la manifestation, en fait un durcissement de la position. Comme la r\u00e9cession peut \u00e9galement accro\u00eetre la crainte d'une diminution des profits, un adoucissement de la position est peu probable. En outre, on peut \u00e9galement imaginer qu'une r\u00e9cession continue, ajout\u00e9e \u00e0 l'\u00e9chec des efforts des manifestants pour provoquer un changement, serait une occasion d'augmenter les profits - et le pouvoir - \u00e0 court et moyen terme en brisant toute opposition, et donc en modifiant l'\u00e9quilibre des forces li\u00e9 \u00e0 la seconde moiti\u00e9 du 20e si\u00e8cle. Cela impliquerait \u00e9galement une tendance \u00e0 adopter une position plus dure.<\/p>\n

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Les grandes gr\u00e8ves europ\u00e9ennes ont peu d'effet<\/a>Wall Street Journal : Des gr\u00e8ves g\u00e9n\u00e9rales et des violences sporadiques contre les programmes d'aust\u00e9rit\u00e9 des gouvernements ont secou\u00e9 l'Espagne, le Portugal et la Gr\u00e8ce, mais il semblait peu probable qu'elles...<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u00a0<\/a><\/div>\n
Image en vedette : Manifestation \u00e0 Madrid le 14 novembre 2012 d'apr\u00e8s #14N : des millions de personnes se joignent \u00e0 la plus grande gr\u00e8ve europ\u00e9enne jamais organis\u00e9e par J\u00e9r\u00f4me Roos.<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le sch\u00e9ma qui se dessine depuis au moins le d\u00e9but de la deuxi\u00e8me d\u00e9cennie du XXIe si\u00e8cle est une polarisation croissante au sein de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 - ou des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s - occidentale. Dans cet article, nous avons identifi\u00e9 et analys\u00e9 cette tendance \u00e0 travers le signal correspondant - les gr\u00e8ves du 14 novembre 2012. Nous avons \u00e9valu\u00e9 l'\u00e9volution vers la polarisation comme ... <\/p>\n

Continuer la lecture \" Pattern - Vers une polarisation du monde occidental ? \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13876,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,1206,2502,1078,35],"tags":[443,1327,1325,88,2560,37,1108,112,113,115,1374,1326],"class_list":["post-3240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-analyse","category-europe","category-new-paradigm","category-protest-movements","tag-austerity","tag-establishment","tag-financial-institutions-crisis","tag-government","tag-open-access","tag-paradigm","tag-polarization","tag-power","tag-protest","tag-revolution","tag-sovereign-debt-crisis","tag-western-world","entry"],"yoast_head":"\nPattern - Towards Polarization in the Western World? • The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/11\/16\/mod\u00e8le-vers-polarisation-dans-le-monde-occidental\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pattern - Towards Polarization in the Western World? • The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The pattern that has been emerging over at least the beginning of the second decade of the twenty-first century is a rising polarization within Western society – or societies. 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