{"id":32428,"date":"2022-02-07T13:44:58","date_gmt":"2022-02-07T12:44:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=32428"},"modified":"2024-02-19T19:07:33","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T18:07:33","slug":"le-belarus-et-larmement-de-la-migration-anthropocene-guerre-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/","title":{"rendered":"La Bi\u00e9lorussie et la militarisation des migrations - Les guerres de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne (1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-right alignright wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:16.5px\">(Direction artistique<a href=\"https:\/\/jdlavoixcarli.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli)<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"belarus-borders-theatre-of-operations\">Fronti\u00e8res du Belarus : th\u00e9\u00e2tre d'op\u00e9rations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(Traduction fran\u00e7aise par IA) Depuis juillet 2021, le gouvernement bi\u00e9lorusse projette litt\u00e9ralement des migrants aux fronti\u00e8res de la Pologne, de la Lettonie et de la Lituanie. Ces personnes viennent de Syrie, d'Irak, du Liban, d'Iran, du Kurdistan, d'Afghanistan, d'Alg\u00e9rie, du Maroc, de la R\u00e9publique du Congo, du Cameroun et du Venezuela (Yuras Karmanau, \"Explainer : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/world\/articles\/2021-11-11\/explainer-whats-behind-the-crisis-at-belarus-poland-border\">Ce qui se cache derri\u00e8re la crise frontali\u00e8re entre le Belarus et la Pologne<\/a> ?\", <em>AP,<\/em>, 11 novembre 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ces migrants viennent tous de pays ravag\u00e9s par la guerre, la crise \u00e9conomique, la pand\u00e9mie de Covid-19 et le changement climatique. Le gouvernement bi\u00e9lorusse les \u00e9quipe pour franchir les cl\u00f4tures de la fronti\u00e8re. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/WGny3zlR8CI?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Entre autres r\u00e9ponses, la Pologne, la Lettonie et la Lituanie construisent actuellement des murs et des cl\u00f4tures g\u00e9antes sur leurs fronti\u00e8res communes avec le Belarus. Ils re\u00e7oivent \u00e9galement l'aide et le soutien de l'UE, de l'OTAN et de l'Ukraine. Le gouvernement polonais mobilise plus de 15.000 hommes des forces de police et des unit\u00e9s sp\u00e9ciales \u00e0 sa fronti\u00e8re (\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2022\/01\/26\/poland-starts-construction-of-350-million-border-fence-with-belarus\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">La Pologne commence \u00e0 construire une cl\u00f4ture frontali\u00e8re de 350 millions de dollars avec le Belarus<\/a>\u201d, <em>Euronews avec AFP<\/em>, 26\/01\/2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Par cette \"offensive migratoire\", les autorit\u00e9s bi\u00e9lorusses d\u00e9clenchent une crise politique interne massive dans ces pays ainsi que dans l'Union europ\u00e9enne et avec l'OTAN. Cela se produit dans le contexte plus large des tensions de la crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique entre la Russie, l'Ukraine, l'OTAN et l'Union europ\u00e9enne (H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/ukraine-crisis-package-understand-the-roots-of-the-crisis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dossier sur la crise ukrainienne - Comprendre les racines de la crise<\/a>\u201d, <em>The Red Team Analysis Society<\/em>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/ahXAVjv7gHA?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div data-block-name=\"woocommerce\/product-new\" data-columns=\"1\" data-content-visibility=\"{&quot;title&quot;:true,&quot;price&quot;:false,&quot;rating&quot;:false,&quot;button&quot;:false}\" data-rows=\"1\" class=\"wc-block-grid wp-block-product-new wp-block-woocommerce-product-new wc-block-product-new has-1-columns\"><ul class=\"wc-block-grid__products\"><li class=\"wc-block-grid__product\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/product\/gephi-tutorials-for-strategic-modelling-scenario-building-update-package-alumni\/\" class=\"wc-block-grid__product-link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wc-block-grid__product-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-woocommerce_thumbnail size-woocommerce_thumbnail\" alt=\"Tutoriels Gephi pour la mod\u00e9lisation strat\u00e9gique + kit de mise \u00e0 jour pour l&#039;\u00e9laboration de sc\u00e9narios (Alumni)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/tutoriel-redesign-03-1568-300x180.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wc-block-grid__product-title\">Tutoriels Gephi pour la mod\u00e9lisation strat\u00e9gique + kit de mise \u00e0 jour pour l'\u00e9laboration de sc\u00e9narios (Alumni)<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En outre, cette situation strat\u00e9gique extr\u00eamement \u00e9trange doit \u00eatre comprise comme un signal de l'\u00e9mergence de nouvelles mani\u00e8res de faire la guerre. En effet, ce nouvel \"art de la guerre\" est inh\u00e9rent aux cons\u00e9quences g\u00e9opolitiques de la condition plan\u00e9taire actuelle connue sous le nom d'Anthropoc\u00e8ne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans cet article, nous verrons comment les strat\u00e8ges de Minsk con\u00e7oivent et instrumentalisent une \"polycrise\" qui est tout \u00e0 fait inh\u00e9rente aux conditions de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"weaponizing-the-war-and-climate-crisis-of-the-middle-east\">Armement de la guerre et de la crise climatique du Moyen-Orient<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"engineering-migration\">Migration des ing\u00e9nieurs<\/h3>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/10\/16\/rtas-expertise-italian-television-channel-la7\/\">L'expertise de RTAS mise en avant sur la cha\u00eene de t\u00e9l\u00e9vision italienne LA7<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">Les Houthis, Bab el-Mandeb et le transport maritime<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/07\/15\/mystery-bolivia-lithium-reserves\/\">L'\u00e9trange myst\u00e8re des r\u00e9serves de lithium de la Bolivie<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/04\/09\/beyond-geopolitics-critical-pressures\/\">Au-del\u00e0 de la g\u00e9opolitique : Comprendre les pressions critiques qui remod\u00e8lent notre monde.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">VIGILANCE - La guerre en Iran, l'Arabie Saudite et les Houthis<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/02\/09\/golden-dome-technological-frontier\/\">SIGNAL - Le d\u00f4me d'or, une nouvelle fronti\u00e8re technologique<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/02\/06\/watch-out-yemen-saudi-arabia\/\">VIGILANCE - Y\u00e9men et Arabie Saoudite<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/02\/02\/threat-greenland-us-eu-trade-deal\/\">Impacts de la menace am\u00e9ricaine contre le Groenland : l'accord commercial entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l'UE, le Parlement europ\u00e9en et l'avenir de l'Europe<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En 2020, l'UE, le Royaume-Uni, le Canada et les \u00c9tats-Unis ont refus\u00e9 de reconna\u00eetre la (sixi\u00e8me) r\u00e9\u00e9lection du pr\u00e9sident bi\u00e9lorusse Loukachenko. Apr\u00e8s la r\u00e9pression des manifestations politiques \u00e0 Minsk en 2021, l'UE a impos\u00e9 des sanctions \u00e9conomiques au B\u00e9larus. Dans un mouvement inverse, le gouvernement bi\u00e9lorusse a lanc\u00e9 un flux constant de migrants aux fronti\u00e8res de la Pologne, de la Lettonie, de la Lituanie, tous membres de l'UE (Karmanau, ibid).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ce flux soudain de migrants vise tr\u00e8s probablement \u00e0 d\u00e9stabiliser l'UE. En effet, depuis 2015 et l'afflux d'un million de r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s, les questions migratoires d\u00e9clenchent de violents d\u00e9bats politiques entre les \u00c9tats membres (Aida Sanchez Alonso et Christopher Pitchers, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2021\/12\/29\/migrants-at-the-belarusian-border-one-of-the-2021-conflicts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">La migration revient au premier plan de la politique europ\u00e9enne en 2021<\/a>\u201d, <em>Euronews avec AFP<\/em>, 29\/12\/21).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"air-bridge\">Pont a\u00e9rien<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Depuis juin 2021, le gouvernement bi\u00e9lorusse a lanc\u00e9 une offensive m\u00e9diatique, notamment sur les r\u00e9seaux sociaux. Son objectif est d'attirer en Bi\u00e9lorussie des personnes originaires du Moyen-Orient, du Maghreb, d'Afrique, d'Asie centrale et d'Am\u00e9rique latine. Ces publicit\u00e9s promettent d'offrir des moyens d'entrer dans l'UE.  Par exemple, selon le r\u00e9cit de la publicit\u00e9, les migrants pourraient demander le statut de r\u00e9fugi\u00e9 ou atteindre l'Allemagne pour y trouver du travail (\"<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2021%E2%80%932022_Belarus%E2%80%93European_Union_border_crisis\">2021-2022 Crise frontali\u00e8re entre le Belarus et l'Union europ\u00e9enne<\/a>\u201d, <em>Wikipedia<\/em>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Au cours des semaines et des mois suivants, le nombre de vols de compagnies a\u00e9riennes bi\u00e9lorusses, syriennes et irakiennes en provenance du Moyen-Orient, d'Afrique et d'Asie centrale a nettement augment\u00e9. Pr\u00e8s de 17 000 personnes originaires de ces r\u00e9gions sont arriv\u00e9es dans des camps forestiers en Bi\u00e9lorussie. De l\u00e0, elles ont tent\u00e9 d'infiltrer l'UE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pendant ce temps, les forces de police polonaises, lettones et lituaniennes les traquent en. A partir du 21 novembre, une \u00e9trange et longue gu\u00e9rilla s'est d\u00e9roul\u00e9e dans les for\u00eats des fronti\u00e8res. Celles-ci sont devenues un th\u00e9\u00e2tre d'op\u00e9rations, o\u00f9 les forces polonaises, lettones et lituaniennes bloquent et traquent les migrants. Ces forces frontali\u00e8res utilisent des drones, des gaz lacrymog\u00e8nes, des barri\u00e8res, des canons \u00e0 eau pour les emp\u00eacher d'atteindre le territoire de l'UE (Wikipedia, ibid).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/y67uvAINmks?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"importing-the-geopolitical-and-climate-crisis\">Importer la crise g\u00e9opolitique et climatique<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"war-and-climate-change-as-commons\">La guerre et le changement climatique en tant que biens communs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cependant, cela pose la question de savoir ce qui motive les personnes venant d'un autre continent \u00e0 accepter de prendre de tels risques. Pour r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 cette question, nous devons comprendre les conditions qui fa\u00e7onnent leur d\u00e9cision. Par exemple, dans le cas des Syriens, Irakiens, Iraniens, Kurdes et Libanais, ils partagent l'exp\u00e9rience collective de la guerre et des cons\u00e9quences du changement climatique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En effet, l'ensemble de la r\u00e9gion du Moyen-Orient et de l'Asie centrale est en train de s'a\u00e9rer (Jean-Michel Valantin, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/11\/30\/y-aura-t-il-des-guerres-civiles-climatiques\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Y aura-t-il des guerres civiles climatiques ?<\/a>\u201d, <em>The Red Team Analysis Society<\/em>30 novembre 2021). En outre, en 2021, la Syrie, l'Irak et l'Iran ont d\u00fb subir une \"nouvelle\" s\u00e9cheresse historique (\"<a href=\"https:\/\/phys.org\/news\/2021-11-syria-reservoir-dries.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Le r\u00e9servoir de la Syrie s'ass\u00e8che pour la premi\u00e8re fois<\/a>\u201d, <em>Phys.org<\/em>, 11 novembre 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Sok8bAcuuYk?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette super s\u00e9cheresse fait suite aux autres cycles \"historiques\" pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents de 2006 et 2016. Pour rappel, le cycle de s\u00e9cheresse de 2006-2012 a contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 ravager les campagnes syriennes. Il se trouve que les raisons de cette vuln\u00e9rabilit\u00e9 \u00e0 la s\u00e9cheresse prennent racine dans la politique agricole du r\u00e9gime Assad depuis les ann\u00e9es 1990. (Aden W. Hassan et alii, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/12\/09\/le-fosse-persan-entre-pouvoir-et-effondrement\/\">L'impact des politiques alimentaires et agricoles sur l'utilisation des eaux souterraines en Syrie<\/a>\", Journal of Hydrology, 29 mars 2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 cette \u00e9poque, le r\u00e9gime a d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 par la force la culture du coton pour l'exportation vers le march\u00e9 international. La culture du coton est tr\u00e8s gourmande en eau. Ainsi, le nombre de puits a doubl\u00e9 entre 1998 et 2006, surexploitant ainsi les r\u00e9serves d'eau syriennes plut\u00f4t limit\u00e9es (Asan, ibid). Ainsi, la Syrie souffrait d\u00e9j\u00e0 d'un manque d'eau aigu lorsque la longue s\u00e9cheresse de 2006 a commenc\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-proliferation-of-super-drought\">La prolif\u00e9ration de la super s\u00e9cheresse<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Face \u00e0 cette catastrophe, l'\u00c9tat syrien et ses autorit\u00e9s politiques \u00e9taient fondamentalement impuissants. Cette crise \u00e9tait d'autant plus profonde qu'elle s'est d\u00e9roul\u00e9e dans le contexte plus large du lien climat-politique des printemps arabes de 2011. Ainsi, la guerre civile et internationale qui a suivi s'est d\u00e9roul\u00e9e dans un contexte d'\u00e9puisement et d'aridification de l'eau. Pendant ce temps, les infrastructures de base syriennes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 mises \u00e0 mal par la guerre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ainsi, lorsque les s\u00e9cheresses de 2016 et 2021 ont touch\u00e9 la Syrie, l'Irak et le Kurdistan, elles ont profond\u00e9ment bless\u00e9 des pays que la guerre avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 affaiblis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"welcome-to-the-anthropocene\">Bienvenue dans l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En l'occurrence, le double renforcement de l'aridification du Moyen-Orient et la multiplication des cycles de super-s\u00e9cheresse sont un signal fort de l'\u00e9volution des param\u00e8tres g\u00e9ophysiques. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les moteurs de cette alt\u00e9ration plan\u00e9taire sont les formes modernes du d\u00e9veloppement humain. Ainsi, ce processus et cette p\u00e9riode g\u00e9ophysique sont qualifi\u00e9s d'\"\u00e8re de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne\". (J.R McNeil, Peter Engelke,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.hup.harvard.edu\/catalog.php?isbn=9780674545038\">La grande acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration, une histoire environnementale de l'anthropoc\u00e8ne depuis 1945<\/a>, <em>Belknap Press<\/em>, 2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/xhrP1hZuW0M?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les pays du Moyen-Orient sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 litt\u00e9ralement \"immerg\u00e9s\" dans les nouvelles conditions g\u00e9ophysiques d\u00e9favorables qui les assaillent. (Jean-Michel Valantin \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/03\/31\/hyper-siege-changement-de-climat-contre-u-s-securite-nationale\/\">Hyper si\u00e8ge : Changement climatique et s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale des \u00c9tats-Unis<\/a>\u201d,&nbsp;<em>The Red Team Analysis Society<\/em>Le 31 mars 2014, et Clive Hamilton,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.allenandunwin.com\/browse\/books\/general-books\/popular-science\/Defiant-Earth-Clive-Hamilton-9781760295967\">Terre de d\u00e9fi, Le sort des humains dans l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne<\/a>, 2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"degradation-and-despair\">D\u00e9gradation et d\u00e9sespoir<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Au Moyen-Orient, les cons\u00e9quences du changement climatique et du d\u00e9r\u00e8glement du cycle de l'eau s'aggravent \u00e0 cause des strat\u00e9gies turques. En effet, Ankara utilise ses barrages en amont pour abaisser les d\u00e9bits en aval du Tigre et de l'Euphrate, ainsi que leurs r\u00e9seaux de rivi\u00e8res de surface.<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/04\/29\/strategic-intelligence-assessment-for-syria-3-state-of-play-part-ii\/\">Les Kurdes dans la guerre en Syrie<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/11\/04\/facing-the-fog-of-war-in-syria-the-tragedy-of-kurdistan-update-july-nov-2013\/\">Face au brouillard de la guerre en Syrie : La trag\u00e9die du Kurdistan<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/02\/10\/creating-rojava\/\">Les Kurdes et la Rojava, la construction de l'\u00c9tat dans la guerre de Syrie<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/11\/25\/portal-islamic-state-war\/\">Portail sur la guerre contre l'\u00c9tat islamique<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/11\/02\/at-war-against-the-islamic-state-from-syria-to-the-region\/\">En guerre contre l'\u00c9tat islamique - De la Syrie \u00e0 la r\u00e9gion<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/05\/02\/the-battle-of-raqqa-the-kurds-and-turkey\/\">La bataille de Raqqa, les Kurdes et la Turquie<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/05\/22\/the-kurds-in-syria-state-building-new-model-and-war\/\">Les Kurdes en Syrie - Construction de l'\u00c9tat, nouveau mod\u00e8le et guerre<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/06\/12\/the-middle-east-powder-keg-and-the-great-battle-for-raqqa\/\">Le Powder Keg du Moyen-Orient et la grande bataille de Raqqa<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette r\u00e9tention d'eau fait partie de la guerre men\u00e9e par Ankara en Syrie contre les Kurdes. Par cons\u00e9quent, depuis 2003 et l'invasion am\u00e9ricaine de l'Irak, la d\u00e9gradation des conditions de vie en Syrie, en Irak, en Iran et dans les zones kurdes entra\u00eene une crise des r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s de grande ampleur. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En d'autres termes, les conditions de vie dans cette partie du monde sont \u00e0 la limite d'une transition de phase vers des conditions de mort (Jean-Michel Valantin, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2019\/02\/11\/changement-climatique-devons-nous-vivre-ou-mourir-sur-notre-plan%c3%a8te-changeante\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Vivrons-nous ou mourrons-nous sur notre plan\u00e8te en mutation ?<\/a>\u201d, <em>The Red Team Analysis Society<\/em>Le 11 f\u00e9vrier 2019 et Harald Welzer, <em>Les guerres du climat : ce pourquoi les gens seront tu\u00e9s dans le 21e si\u00e8cle<sup>st<\/sup> si\u00e8cle,<\/em> 2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans la seule r\u00e9gion kurde d'Irak (KRI), un million de personnes sur les 6 millions que compte la r\u00e9gion sont des r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s qui ont fui l'Irak entre 1991 et les attaques chimiques de Saddam Hussein et 2014 et la menace d'ISIS. Parmi eux, au moins 4.000 \u00e0 8.000 font partie des 17.000 migrants que le Belarus projette aux fronti\u00e8res europ\u00e9ennes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ils tentent de fuir vers l'Europe via la Bi\u00e9lorussie afin d'avoir une chance d'\u00e9chapper aux conditions de mort qui bouleversent leur existence. (Benas Gerdziunas, \"Interview : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euractiv.com\/section\/justice-home-affairs\/interview\/interview-why-did-so-many-kurds-go-to-belarus\/\">Pourquoi de nombreux Kurdes sont-ils all\u00e9s en Bi\u00e9lorussie ?<\/a>\", Euractiv, 4 janvier 2022 et Bekir Aydogan, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/amwaj.media\/article\/why-iraqi-kurds-seek-to-take-a-refuge-in-europe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Pourquoi les Kurdes irakiens cherchent-ils refuge en Europe ?<\/a>\", Amjjaj Media, 23 novembre 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hybridation-of-hybrid-war\">Hybridation de la guerre hybride<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hybrid-offensive\">Offensive hybride<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En d'autres termes, l'armement des r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s du Moyen-Orient contre l'Europe par les autorit\u00e9s politiques bi\u00e9lorusses r\u00e9v\u00e8le une imbrication profonde entre les strat\u00e9gies g\u00e9opolitiques et le changement plan\u00e9taire. En effet, la strat\u00e9gie bi\u00e9lorusse appara\u00eet comme une \"offensive hybride\" contre l'Union europ\u00e9enne.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les moyens de ce nouveau mode de guerre sont la \"continuation de la politique\" par l'utilisation strat\u00e9gique de moyens non militaires, tels que la diplomatie, le droit, les m\u00e9dias, l'\u00e9conomie... Dans le cas de la Bi\u00e9lorussie, c'est le m\u00e9lange de l'utilisation des m\u00e9dias sociaux et de l'importation-exportation de r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s (Lawrence Freedman, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.penguin.com.au\/books\/the-future-of-war-9780141975603\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">L'avenir de la guerre : une histoire,<\/a> 2017). Ce \" mix \" constitue alors les voies et moyens utilis\u00e9s pour d\u00e9clencher une crise politique dans l'Union europ\u00e9enne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"weaponizing-despair-and-migration\">Armement du d\u00e9sespoir et de la migration<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cependant, l'efficacit\u00e9 m\u00eame de cette strat\u00e9gie r\u00e9side dans les cons\u00e9quences de la combinaison de la guerre et des signaux de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne au Moyen-Orient. C'est \u00e0 cause de la catastrophe g\u00e9opolitique-g\u00e9ophysique que, au milieu de la pand\u00e9mie de Covid-19, les gens sont suffisamment d\u00e9sesp\u00e9r\u00e9s pour devenir des \"r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s de guerre et climatiques\" en Bi\u00e9lorussie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u00e0, ils deviennent des \u00e9l\u00e9ments de \" l'arme de la migration massive \" que le r\u00e9gime vise aux fronti\u00e8res de l'UE (Kelly M. Greenhill, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/calhoun.nps.edu\/handle\/10945\/11515\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Armes de migration massive, D\u00e9placement forc\u00e9 comme instrument de coercition<\/a>\u201d, <em>Aper\u00e7us strat\u00e9giques<\/em>, vol.9, num\u00e9ro 1, printemps-\u00e9t\u00e9 2010).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hybridizing-strategy-and-the-anthropocene\">Strat\u00e9gie d'hybridation et l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En d'autres termes, Minsk peut d\u00e9velopper son offensive gr\u00e2ce aux cons\u00e9quences sociales des guerres du Moyen-Orient et des catastrophes climatiques. Ainsi, ils \"hybrident\" leur \"offensive hybride\" avec les conditions inh\u00e9rentes \u00e0 l'\u00e8re de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nous devons maintenant voir comment cette situation est li\u00e9e \u00e0 la crise actuelle autour de l'Ukraine impliquant les \u00c9tats-Unis, l'UE et l'OTAN d'une part, et la Russie d'autre part.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Direction artistique Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Fronti\u00e8res bi\u00e9lorusses : th\u00e9\u00e2tre des op\u00e9rations Depuis juillet 2021, le gouvernement bi\u00e9lorusse projette litt\u00e9ralement des migrants aux fronti\u00e8res de la Pologne, de la Lettonie et de la Lituanie. Ces personnes viennent de Syrie, d'Irak, du Liban, d'Iran, du Kurdistan, d'Afghanistan, d'Alg\u00e9rie, du Maroc, de la R\u00e9publique du Congo, du Cameroun et du Venezuela (Yuras Karmanau, \"Explainer : Qu'est-ce qui se cache derri\u00e8re la crise frontali\u00e8re entre le Belarus et la Pologne ? <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" La Bi\u00e9lorussie et l'armement de la migration - Guerres de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne (1) \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":38577,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1722,2860],"tags":[1616,1789,2078,2560,2058,446],"class_list":["post-32428","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environmental-geostrategy","category-featured","tag-belarus","tag-featured","tag-migrants","tag-open-access","tag-syria-issues","tag-turkey","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/07\/le-belarus-et-larmement-de-la-migration-anthropocene-guerre-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Art direction Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Belarus borders: theatre of operations Since July 2021, the Belarusian government literally projects migrants to the borders of Poland, Latvia and Lithuania. Those people come from Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Iran, Kurdistan, Afghanistan, Algeria, Morocco, the Republic of Congo, Cameroon and Venezuela (Yuras Karmanau, \u201cExplainer: What\u2019s behind the Belarus-Poland border crisis ?\u201d, &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1)\u00a0\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/07\/le-belarus-et-larmement-de-la-migration-anthropocene-guerre-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-02-07T12:44:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-19T18:07:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/migrants-belarus.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1536\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b840ac3537c3f891b6e61a6e559775fe\"},\"headline\":\"Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1)\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-02-07T12:44:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-19T18:07:33+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1596,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/migrants-belarus.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Belarus\",\"featured\",\"migrants\",\"Open Access\",\"Syria issues\",\"Turkey\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Environmental Geostrategy\",\"Featured\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/\",\"name\":\"Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/migrants-belarus.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-02-07T12:44:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-19T18:07:33+00:00\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/07\\\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/migrants-belarus.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/migrants-belarus.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1536},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"description\":\"Strategic Foresight &amp; Early Warning \uff65 Political &amp; Geopolitical Risk \u00b7 Scenarios\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/pages\\\/Red-Team-Analysis\\\/341280995886057\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/helenelavoix\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5403964\\\/admin\\\/dashboard\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b840ac3537c3f891b6e61a6e559775fe\",\"name\":\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\",\"description\":\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) is a guest contributor. Views expressed are their own. He is specialised in strategic studies and defense sociology with a focus on environmental geostrategy. He is the author of \\\"Menace climatique sur l\u2019ordre mondial\\\" (Climatic threat on the world order), \\\"Ecologie et gouvernance mondiale\\\" (Ecology and world governance), \\\"Guerre et Nature, l\u2019Am\u00e9rique pr\u00e9pare la guerre du climat, \\\"(War and nature: America gets ready for climate war) and of \\\"Hollywood, the Pentagon and Washington\\\".\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/author\\\/jeanmichelvalantin\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"La Bi\u00e9lorussie et l'utilisation de la migration comme arme \u2013 Les guerres de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne (1) \u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/07\/le-belarus-et-larmement-de-la-migration-anthropocene-guerre-1\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"(Art direction Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Belarus borders: theatre of operations Since July 2021, the Belarusian government literally projects migrants to the borders of Poland, Latvia and Lithuania. Those people come from Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Iran, Kurdistan, Afghanistan, Algeria, Morocco, the Republic of Congo, Cameroon and Venezuela (Yuras Karmanau, \u201cExplainer: What\u2019s behind the Belarus-Poland border crisis ?\u201d, &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1)\u00a0\u00bb","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/07\/le-belarus-et-larmement-de-la-migration-anthropocene-guerre-1\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2022-02-07T12:44:58+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-02-19T18:07:33+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1536,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/migrants-belarus.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"8 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/"},"author":{"name":"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/b840ac3537c3f891b6e61a6e559775fe"},"headline":"Belarus and the Weaponization of Migration \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (1)","datePublished":"2022-02-07T12:44:58+00:00","dateModified":"2024-02-19T18:07:33+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/"},"wordCount":1596,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/migrants-belarus.jpg","keywords":["Belarus","featured","migrants","Open Access","Syria issues","Turkey"],"articleSection":["Environmental Geostrategy","Featured"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/","name":"La Bi\u00e9lorussie et l'utilisation de la migration comme arme \u2013 Les guerres de l'Anthropoc\u00e8ne (1) \u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/migrants-belarus.jpg","datePublished":"2022-02-07T12:44:58+00:00","dateModified":"2024-02-19T18:07:33+00:00","inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/migrants-belarus.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/migrants-belarus.jpg","width":2560,"height":1536},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","description":"Prospective strat\u00e9gique et alerte pr\u00e9coce \uff65 Risques politiques et g\u00e9opolitiques \u00b7 Sc\u00e9narios","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Red Team Analysis Society"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/helenelavoix\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5403964\/admin\/dashboard\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/b840ac3537c3f891b6e61a6e559775fe","name":"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)","description":"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) est un contributeur invit\u00e9. Les opinions exprim\u00e9es sont les siennes. Il est sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans les \u00e9tudes strat\u00e9giques et la sociologie de la d\u00e9fense, et plus particuli\u00e8rement dans la g\u00e9ostrat\u00e9gie environnementale. Il est l'auteur de \"Menace climatique sur l'ordre mondial\", \"Ecologie et gouvernance mondiale\", \"Guerre et Nature, l'Am\u00e9rique pr\u00e9pare la guerre du climat\" et de \"Hollywood, le Pentagone et Washington\".","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/jeanmichelvalantin\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/migrants-belarus.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32428","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32428"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32428\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38578,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32428\/revisions\/38578"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32428"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32428"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32428"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}