{"id":3285,"date":"2012-11-19T12:31:36","date_gmt":"2012-11-19T11:31:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=3285"},"modified":"2022-03-07T16:27:46","modified_gmt":"2022-03-07T15:27:46","slug":"pattern-the-shale-fuels-bounty-higher-temperature-rise-earlier-impact-et","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/11\/19\/pattern-the-shale-fuels-bounty-higher-temperature-rise-earlier-impact-and\/","title":{"rendered":"Tendance - Temp\u00e9ratures mondiales plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es, impacts plus pr\u00e9coces et prime aux combustibles de schiste"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nous devons tr\u00e8s probablement nous pr\u00e9parer \u00e0 une hausse de temp\u00e9rature de 2\u00b0C et \u00e0 ses cons\u00e9quences d\u00e9sastreuses sur le monde relativement rapidement, car une hausse de temp\u00e9rature de 6\u00b0C - et plus - d'ici la fin du si\u00e8cle est de plus en plus probable. En effet, les int\u00e9r\u00eats, les d\u00e9fis et les tensions actuels sont tr\u00e8s susceptibles de favoriser la production et les politiques relatives aux combustibles de schiste et de nuire aux \"efforts verts\". D'autres effets \u00e9cologiques n\u00e9gatifs sur les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 mondiale, comme l'eau et la biodiversit\u00e9, peuvent \u00eatre renforc\u00e9s et doivent \u00eatre surveill\u00e9s. La mobilisation des citoyens sur ces questions peut \u00e9voluer au fur et \u00e0 mesure que des compromis seront faits et que les impacts se feront sentir.<\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=3285\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nous devons tr\u00e8s probablement nous pr\u00e9parer \u00e0 une hausse de temp\u00e9rature de 2\u00b0C et \u00e0 ses cons\u00e9quences d\u00e9sastreuses sur le monde relativement rapidement, car une hausse de temp\u00e9rature de 6\u00b0C - et plus - d'ici la fin du si\u00e8cle est de plus en plus probable. En effet, les int\u00e9r\u00eats, les d\u00e9fis et les tensions actuels sont tr\u00e8s susceptibles de favoriser la production et les politiques relatives aux combustibles de schiste et de nuire aux \"efforts verts\". D'autres effets \u00e9cologiques n\u00e9gatifs sur les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 mondiale, comme l'eau et la biodiversit\u00e9, peuvent \u00eatre renforc\u00e9s et doivent \u00eatre surveill\u00e9s. La mobilisation des citoyens sur ces questions peut \u00e9voluer au fur et \u00e0 mesure que des compromis seront faits et que les impacts se feront sentir.<\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=3285\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13873,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1206,3337,1335],"tags":[62,1332,1277,465,34,1108,728,1333,1328,2175,1334,1568,495],"class_list":["post-3285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyse","category-climate-change-and-security","category-energy-security","tag-citizens","tag-earlier-impact","tag-environmental-change","tag-global-warming","tag-mobilization","tag-polarization","tag-shale-gas","tag-shale-oil","tag-temperature-rise","tag-u-s","tag-us-oil-production","tag-water-security","tag-world-bank","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pattern - Higher Global Temperatures, Earlier Impacts and the Shale Fuels Bounty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/11\/19\/pattern-the-shale-fuels-bounty-higher-temperature-rise-earlier-impact-et\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pattern - Higher Global Temperatures, Earlier Impacts and the Shale Fuels Bounty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We most probably need to get ready for a 2C temperature rise and its harsh impact on the world relatively rapidly as a temperature rise of 6C - and above - by the end of the century is increasingly probable. Indeed, interests and current challenges and tensions are most likely to favour shale fuels&#039; production and policies and adversely affect &quot;green efforts&quot;. Other ecological adverse impacts on global security issues such as water and biodiversity may be enhanced and must be monitored. Citizens&#039; mobilization on those issues may evolve as trade-offs will be done, and as impacts will be felt.This content is restricted to members only. 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Elle est titulaire d'un doctorat en \u00e9tudes politiques et d'une ma\u00eetrise en politique internationale de l'Asie (avec distinction) de la School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), Universit\u00e9 de Londres, ainsi que d'une ma\u00eetrise en finance (major de promotion, Grande \u00c9cole, France).\r\n\r\nExperte en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte pr\u00e9coce, notamment pour les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale, elle combine 30 ans d'exp\u00e9rience en relations internationales et pr\u00e8s de 20 ans en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte. Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/11\/Turn_Down_the_heat_1038.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3285"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3285\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13873"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}