{"id":33653,"date":"2022-02-28T12:30:44","date_gmt":"2022-02-28T11:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=33653"},"modified":"2022-02-28T12:42:55","modified_gmt":"2022-02-28T11:42:55","slug":"la-chine-avec-ou-contre-la-russie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/28\/china-with-or-against-russia\/","title":{"rendered":"La Chine, avec ou contre la Russie ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-right alignright wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:16.5px\">(Conception artistique : <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/%E2%9C%B8-jean-dominique-lavoix-carli-359958181\/\" target=\"_blank\"> Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli)<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L'attaque de la Russie contre l'Ukraine le 24 f\u00e9vrier 2022 modifie profond\u00e9ment l'ordre international. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le choc est particuli\u00e8rement dur pour des pays qui, comme les membres de l'Union europ\u00e9enne, pensaient \u00eatre en paix pour toujours. Soudain, ces pays, leurs acteurs \u00e9conomiques et leurs citoyens red\u00e9couvrent la guerre et la pertinence de la g\u00e9opolitique. C'est aussi le fondement id\u00e9ologique de la cr\u00e9ation et de la promotion de l'Union europ\u00e9enne, selon lequel elle a apport\u00e9 et apporte la paix, qui est menac\u00e9 (voir Union europ\u00e9enne, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/european-union.europa.eu\/priorities-and-actions\/achievements_en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Principales r\u00e9alisations de l'Union europ\u00e9enne et avantages tangibles<\/a>\u201c, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/european-union.europa.eu\/principles-countries-history\/principles-and-values\/aims-and-values_en#:~:text=The%20aims%20of%20the%20European,and%20prevent%20and%20combat%20crime\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Objectifs et valeurs<\/a>\"). Le paradigme lib\u00e9ral des relations internationales est lui aussi profond\u00e9ment remis en question (parmi beaucoup d'autres, Jonathan Cristol, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordbibliographies.com\/view\/document\/obo-9780199743292\/obo-9780199743292-0060.xml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Lib\u00e9ralisme<\/a>\u201c, <em>Oxford Bibliographies<\/em>, novembre 2019).<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/10\/16\/rtas-expertise-italian-television-channel-la7\/\">L'expertise de RTAS mise en avant sur la cha\u00eene de t\u00e9l\u00e9vision italienne LA7<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">Les Houthis, Bab el-Mandeb et le transport maritime<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/07\/15\/mystery-bolivia-lithium-reserves\/\">L'\u00e9trange myst\u00e8re des r\u00e9serves de lithium de la Bolivie<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/04\/09\/beyond-geopolitics-critical-pressures\/\">Au-del\u00e0 de la g\u00e9opolitique : Comprendre les pressions critiques qui remod\u00e8lent notre monde.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">VIGILANCE - La guerre en Iran, l'Arabie Saudite et les Houthis<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/02\/09\/golden-dome-technological-frontier\/\">SIGNAL - Le d\u00f4me d'or, une nouvelle fronti\u00e8re technologique<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/02\/06\/watch-out-yemen-saudi-arabia\/\">VIGILANCE - Y\u00e9men et Arabie Saoudite<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le spectre de la guerre nucl\u00e9aire et de la MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction), c'est-\u00e0-dire  la doctrine de dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire, est de nouveau \u00e0 l'ordre du jour, suite au discours du pr\u00e9sident russe selon lequel il \"fait passer la force de dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire de la Russie en \"alerte sp\u00e9ciale\"\" (par exemple, Britannica, The Editors of Encyclopaedia, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/topic\/mutual-assured-destruction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">destruction mutuelle assur\u00e9e<\/a>\u201c, <em>Encyclopedia Britannica<\/em>, 20 d\u00e9c. 2021 ; Nota : au moment de la r\u00e9daction, il \u00e9tait impossible d'acc\u00e9der normalement au site web du Pr\u00e9sident de la Russie, nous avons donc d\u00fb nous appuyer sur des sources secondaires, BBC News, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ty1NHNbL1n4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Putin puts nuclear deterrent on \u2018special alert\u2019 during Ukraine conflict<\/a>\", 27 f\u00e9vrier 2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En fait, ces changements internationaux se sont lentement mis en place (par exemple, Helene Lavoix, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2012\/11\/27\/vers-un-nouveau-paradigme\/\">Vers un nouveau paradigme ?<\/a>, <em>The Red Team Analysis Society<\/em>, 2012 ; Graham Allison, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.belfercenter.org\/thucydides-trap\/overview-thucydides-trap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides\u2019s Trap?<\/a>\u201c, <em>Harvard<\/em> <em>Projet du Centre Belfer<\/em>, 2015 ; H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix, \" Le paradoxe du d\u00e9clin am\u00e9ricain \", <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/09\/25\/nous-d%c3%a9cliner-voir-nous-national-renseignement-conseil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">partie 1<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-declin-power-view-us-national-intelligence-council\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2017\/11\/06\/paradoxe-nous-d%c3%a9clin-tensions-cor%c3%a9e-du-nord\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">3<\/a>, <em>The Red Team Analysis Society<\/em>, octobre et novembre 2017). Pourtant, pour la plupart, des changements aussi tragiques et profond\u00e9ment bouleversants n'\u00e9taient pas imaginables. Ils restent probablement, en r\u00e9alit\u00e9, impossibles \u00e0 appr\u00e9hender v\u00e9ritablement, malgr\u00e9 les postures et les discours. Au fond, beaucoup pensent que rien ne changera et que nous reviendrons au monde ante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La fa\u00e7on dont la Chine r\u00e9agit \u00e0 la guerre russe en Ukraine et g\u00e8re l'\u00e9volution est un \u00e9l\u00e9ment cl\u00e9 de ce qui nous attends ensuite. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le 25 f\u00e9vrier, la Chine s'est abstenue mais n'a pas oppos\u00e9 son veto \u00e0 un projet de r\u00e9solution parrain\u00e9 par les \u00c9tats-Unis et l'Albanie au Conseil de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de l'ONU \"visant \u00e0 mettre fin \u00e0 l'offensive militaire de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie\" (ONU, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/press\/en\/2022\/sc14808.doc.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Security Council Fails to Adopt Draft Resolution on Ending Ukraine\u00a0Crisis, as Russian Federation Wields Veto<\/a>\u201c, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/press\/en\/security-council\">Conseil de s\u00e9curit\u00e9<\/a>, 8979e r\u00e9union, SC\/14808 ; William Mauldin, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/livecoverage\/russia-ukraine-latest-news-2022-02-26\/card\/XJlVHxQds71mOYm0pkYr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Russia Blocks U.N. Bid to End Ukraine Conflict; China Abstains From Vote<\/a>\u201c, <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em>, 25 f\u00e9vrier 22). L'Inde et les E.A.U. se sont \u00e9galement abstenus, tandis que la Russie a \u00e9videmment oppos\u00e9 son veto au projet de r\u00e9solution (voir par exemple Zainab Fattah, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-02-26\/uae-abstained-in-un-vote-on-ukraine-to-put-emphasis-on-diplomacy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">UAE Joined China, India in Abstaining on UN Ukraine Vote<\/a>, <em>Bloomberg,<\/em>, 26 Feb 22, <a href=\"https:\/\/indianexpress.com\/article\/explained\/explained-india-abstains-unsc-vote-russia-invasion-ukraine-7791712\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Indian express<\/a>). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les \u00c9tats-Unis et leurs alli\u00e9s, par analyse m\u00e9diatique interpos\u00e9e, se sont empress\u00e9s de saluer le vote de la Chine comme une victoire et comme une preuve de l'isolement croissant de la Russie : \"un geste que les pays occidentaux consid\u00e8rent comme une victoire pour montrer l'isolement international de la Russie\" (Michelle Nichols et Humeyra Pamuk, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/russia-vetoes-un-security-action-ukraine-china-abstains-2022-02-25\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Russia vetoes U.N. Security action on Ukraine as China abstains<\/a>\u201c, <em>Reuters<\/em>, 26 f\u00e9vrier 2022 ; Mauldin, <em>WSJ,<\/em> Ibid.).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vous trouverez ci-dessous deux courtes vid\u00e9os expliquant la position actuelle de la Chine sur l'Ukraine et la Russie. La premi\u00e8re consiste en des r\u00e9ponses donn\u00e9es par le porte-parole du minist\u00e8re chinois des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res aux m\u00e9dias apr\u00e8s l'invasion, le 25 f\u00e9vrier 22. La seconde, non moins importante, publi\u00e9e le 23 f\u00e9vrier 22, montre la perception de l'\u00e9volution de la tension, telle qu'elle est exprim\u00e9e par le m\u00e9dia international Global Times, sponsoris\u00e9 par le gouvernement chinois. C'est cette vision que la Chine transmet au monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed alignwide is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2PVlaYzyAmk?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><figcaption>\"Regardez comment la porte-parole du minist\u00e8re chinois des affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res, Hua Chunying, a r\u00e9agi \u00e0 l'avalanche de questions sur les tensions en Ukraine lors d'une conf\u00e9rence de presse. C'est la premi\u00e8re fois que Hua Chunying organise une conf\u00e9rence de presse r\u00e9guli\u00e8re depuis qu'elle a \u00e9t\u00e9 promue ministre adjointe des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res.\" - 25 f\u00e9vrier 2022 - Global Times<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed alignwide is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Gq2UMrEQC2o?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><figcaption>\"La cause profonde de la confrontation aigu\u00eb au niveau strat\u00e9gique mondial est les \u00c9tats-Unis. Les \u00c9tats-Unis ont adopt\u00e9 une politique agressive \u00e0 l'\u00e9gard de la Chine et de la Russie, ce qui a entra\u00een\u00e9 des divisions mondiales. C'est ainsi que va le monde aujourd'hui\" - Global Times - 23 f\u00e9vrier 22.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ces vid\u00e9os montrent qu'il est imprudent de penser que la Chine tourne le dos \u00e0 la Russie. Pour la Chine, les \u00c9tats-Unis sont les v\u00e9ritables responsables de l'\u00e9volution tragique en Ukraine. La Chine souligne \u00e9galement les similitudes de strat\u00e9gie entre la fa\u00e7on dont les \u00c9tats-Unis traitent l'Ukraine et la Russie d'une part, la Chine et Ta\u00efwan d'autre part, tout en veillant \u00e0 souligner les diff\u00e9rences entre les deux situations. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Par cons\u00e9quent, il est fort probable que les changements dans l'ordre international et les tensions qui en d\u00e9coulent ne s'arr\u00eateront pas \u00e0 l'Ukraine. En termes d'influence, il n'est pas certain que les \u00c9tats-Unis et l'UE voient leur position relative s'am\u00e9liorer. <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Conception graphique : Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) L'attaque de la Russie contre l'Ukraine le 24 f\u00e9vrier 2022 modifie profond\u00e9ment l'ordre international. Le choc est notamment difficile pour certains pays, par exemple les membres de l'Union europ\u00e9enne, qui pensaient \u00eatre en paix pour toujours. Soudain, ces pays, leurs acteurs \u00e9conomiques et leurs citoyens red\u00e9couvrent la guerre et la ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/28\/china-with-or-against-russia\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" La Chine, avec ou contre la Russie ? \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33658,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2497,2860,3243,1078,2498,1784],"tags":[61,1967,1789,2560,220,2175,2409],"class_list":["post-33653","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-china","category-featured","category-future-wars","category-new-paradigm","category-russia","category-ukraine","tag-china","tag-eu","tag-featured","tag-open-access","tag-russia","tag-u-s","tag-ukraine","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China, With or Against Russia? &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/28\/la-chine-avec-ou-contre-la-russie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China, With or Against Russia? &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Russia&#8217;s attack on Ukraine on 24 February 2022 is profoundly changing the international order. The shock is notably hard for countries such as the members of the European Union, who thought they would be at peace for ever. Suddenly, these countries, their economic actors and their citizens rediscover war and the &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0China, With or Against Russia?\u00a0\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2022\/02\/28\/la-chine-avec-ou-contre-la-russie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-02-28T11:30:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-02-28T11:42:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/China-and-Russia-Version-C.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"941\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/28\\\/china-with-or-against-russia\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/28\\\/china-with-or-against-russia\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"China, With or Against Russia?\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-02-28T11:30:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-02-28T11:42:55+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/28\\\/china-with-or-against-russia\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":787,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/28\\\/china-with-or-against-russia\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/China-and-Russia-Version-C.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"China\",\"EU\",\"featured\",\"Open Access\",\"Russia\",\"U.S\",\"Ukraine\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China\",\"Featured\",\"Future Wars\",\"International Order and New Paradigm\",\"Russia\",\"Ukraine\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/28\\\/china-with-or-against-russia\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/28\\\/china-with-or-against-russia\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/28\\\/china-with-or-against-russia\\\/\",\"name\":\"China, With or Against Russia? 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