{"id":38096,"date":"2023-12-20T18:24:09","date_gmt":"2023-12-20T17:24:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=38096"},"modified":"2023-12-20T18:39:53","modified_gmt":"2023-12-20T17:39:53","slug":"videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2023\/12\/20\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\/","title":{"rendered":"Utilisation de vid\u00e9os pour sc\u00e9narios : L'environnement op\u00e9rationnel futur 2035-2050"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right alignright wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:16.5px\">(Screenshot from the video FOE 2035-2050<br> Army Futures Command)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once valid scenarios for the future are built, we still need to deliver them to policy-makers and decision-makers. <\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/RTAS-nb-messngr-2.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2025\/11\/28\/messenger-video\/\">Why the Messenger Still Gets Shot \u2014 And What You Can Do About It &#8211; Video<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2023\/12\/20\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\/\">Using Videos for Scenarios: The Future Operational Environment  2035-2050<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Helenus-Warm-1038x623.jpg 1038w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/07\/13\/from-seer-to-king-success-with-strategic-foresight-and-warning\/\">From Seer to King &#8211; Success with Strategic Foresight and Warning<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"warning, foresight, anticipation, early warning, strategic foresight, Cassandra, Pythia, scenario\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/RTAS-Pythie-1038x623.jpg 1038w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/05\/18\/from-cassandras-curse-to-the-pythias-success\/\">From Cassandra&#8217;s Curse to the Pythia&#8217;s Success<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Intelligence-300x180.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/04\/28\/strategic-foresight-warning-intelligence-products-and-documents\/\">Strategic Foresight, Warning and Intelligence Products and Documents<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-250x150.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-250x150.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-500x300.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-768x461.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-1536x922.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-16x10.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-1320x792.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-1038x623.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/messenger-shot-02-1-1568-941-300x180.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2021\/04\/14\/why-the-messenger-got-shot-and-how-to-avoid-this-fate\/\">Why the Messenger Got Shot and how to Avoid this Fate<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We need to understand the various challenges implied by the communication of strategic foresight products, and among them all the biases and traps that may hinder this communication, as seen in previous articles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More prosaically, we also need to find concrete means to communicate our perfectly crafted efforts. Creating a video, assuming resources are available, may be an interesting way to do so. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We present below a fascinating example of such a video, created, true enough, thanks to the means of the U.S. Army. Our purpose is not to validate or not the methodology used, nor to approve or not the content of the scenarios themselves, but to give readers an example of what can be done to communicate scenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Context of the video<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Army Futures Command was created in 2018 within the U.S. Army and its objective is to &#8220;<strong>transform the [U.S.] Army to ensure war-winning future readiness<\/strong>&#8220;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As part of its mission, it explores the future operational environment. It published in the Fall of 2020, <em>Future Operational Environment: forging the future in an uncertain world 2035-2050<\/em> (<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/download\/38098\/?tmstv=1703090362\">download pdf<\/a>), presenting four scenarios &#8211; The New Cold War; Ascending Powers; Stable Competition; Clashing Coalitions &#8211; with the related video.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Video &#8211; The Future Operational Environment (FOE) 2035-2050<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Hx-H2nh2OCI?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The U.S. Army Future Command&#8217;s Future Operational Environment (FOE) 2035-2050 Video (October 2020) &#8211; shared initially on the APAN network of the <a href=\"https:\/\/madsciblog.tradoc.army.mil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mad Scientist Laboratory<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Capture d'\u00e9cran de la vid\u00e9o FOE 2035-2050 Army Futures Command) Une fois que des sc\u00e9narios valables pour l'avenir ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9labor\u00e9s, il reste \u00e0 les transmettre aux responsables politiques et aux d\u00e9cideurs. Nous devons comprendre les diff\u00e9rents d\u00e9fis qu'implique la communication des produits de la prospective strat\u00e9gique, et parmi eux tous les biais et les pi\u00e8ges qui peuvent entraver cette communication, ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2023\/12\/20\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Utilisation de vid\u00e9os pour les sc\u00e9narios : L'environnement op\u00e9rationnel futur 2035-2050 \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":38108,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,31,2860],"tags":[1789,2560,190,2175],"class_list":["post-38096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-communication","category-featured","tag-featured","tag-open-access","tag-scenarios","tag-u-s","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Using Videos for Scenarios: The Future Operational Environment 2035-2050 &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2023\/12\/20\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Using Videos for Scenarios: The Future Operational Environment 2035-2050 &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Screenshot from the video FOE 2035-2050 Army Futures Command) Once valid scenarios for the future are built, we still need to deliver them to policy-makers and decision-makers. We need to understand the various challenges implied by the communication of strategic foresight products, and among them all the biases and traps that may hinder this communication, &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Using Videos for Scenarios: The Future Operational Environment 2035-2050\u00a0\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2023\/12\/20\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-12-20T17:24:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-12-20T17:39:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"941\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/20\\\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/20\\\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Using Videos for Scenarios: The Future Operational Environment 2035-2050\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-12-20T17:24:09+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-12-20T17:39:53+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/20\\\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":281,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/20\\\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/US-Video-FOE-2035-2050.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"featured\",\"Open Access\",\"scenarios\",\"U.S\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Americas\",\"Communication of Strategic Foresight and Early Warning\",\"Featured\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/20\\\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/20\\\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/20\\\/videos-scenarios-us-foe-2035-2050\\\/\",\"name\":\"Using Videos for Scenarios: The Future Operational Environment 2035-2050 &#8226; 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She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. 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