{"id":42941,"date":"2026-01-19T09:47:44","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T08:47:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=42941"},"modified":"2026-02-12T10:50:17","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T09:50:17","slug":"chroniques-hyperwar-ai-1-elon-mullahs-satellites","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/01\/19\/chronicles-hyperwar-ai-1-elon-mullahs-satellites\/","title":{"rendered":"Chroniques de l'hyperwar - AI : Elon, les mollahs et les satellites"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Starlink et la fermeture de l'Iran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le 8 janvier 2025, face \u00e0 l'ampleur du soul\u00e8vement populaire, les autorit\u00e9s politiques iraniennes ont coup\u00e9 la quasi-totalit\u00e9 de l'acc\u00e8s \u00e0 Internet en Iran.<br><br>Mais cette fermeture \u00e9tait diff\u00e9rente de celles impos\u00e9es lors d'autres soul\u00e8vements, y compris celui de 2022.<br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En effet, les unit\u00e9s de cybers\u00e9curit\u00e9 des gardiens de la r\u00e9volution ont \u00e9galement r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 brouiller les signaux de la constellation de satellites Starlink, qu'Elon Musk avait mis gratuitement \u00e0 la disposition des opposants au r\u00e9gime des mollahs. Pour y parvenir, des milliers d'antennes Starlink ont \u00e9t\u00e9 introduites clandestinement dans le pays.<br><br>Cependant, depuis 2022 et la guerre en Ukraine, Starlink est devenu un acteur am\u00e9ricain majeur dans ce que nous appelons l\u201c\u201dhyper-guerre\", \u00e0 savoir la transformation de la guerre par l'IA.<br><br><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2024\/04\/08\/ai-en-guerre-1-ukraine\/\">L'IA en guerre (1) : Ukraine<\/a><br><br>Le brouillage de Starlink par les autorit\u00e9s iraniennes dans le contexte de la coupure quasi-totale de l'internet qu'elles ont impos\u00e9e met en lumi\u00e8re l'\u00e9volution extr\u00eamement rapide de la port\u00e9e et des m\u00e9thodes de l'hyper-guerre et de ses cons\u00e9quences.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">I. Starlink contre la Russie et l'Iran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis 2022, Elon Musk a d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de d\u00e9ployer des constellations de satellites Starlink au-dessus de l'Ukraine pour maintenir la connexion du pays malgr\u00e9 l'offensive russe.<br><br>C'est alors que Starlink a r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 toute sa puissance strat\u00e9gique, devenant l'infrastructure qui assurait l'acc\u00e8s de l'\u00c9tat ukrainien \u00e0 l'internet, en particulier pour l'arm\u00e9e ukrainienne.<br><br>En effet, dans les premi\u00e8res 24 heures du conflit, Elon Musk a positionn\u00e9 une constellation de satellites au-dessus de l'Ukraine, tout en d\u00e9ployant des dizaines de milliers d'antennes portables.<br><br><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2024\/04\/08\/ai-en-guerre-1-ukraine\/\">L'IA en guerre (1) : Ukraine<\/a><br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>C'est cet acc\u00e8s \u00e0 Starlink qui a permis de s\u00e9curiser les donn\u00e9es administratives de l'\u00c9tat ukrainien dans le nuage Amazon Web Services. Starlink a \u00e9galement garanti des liaisons montantes pour les flottes de drones ukrainiens vers les satellites militaires am\u00e9ricains et les satellites priv\u00e9s de Palantir, charg\u00e9s d'analyser les donn\u00e9es transmises et de les traduire en solutions de tir, ainsi que pour les communications et la coordination des troupes ukrainiennes.<sup id=\"mfn-content-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-1\" class=\"modern-footnotes-footnote modern-footnotes-footnote--hover-on-desktop\" data-mfn=\"1\" data-mfn-post-scope=\"00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941\"><a href=\"javascript:void(0)\"  role=\"button\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-describedby=\"mfn-content-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-1\">1<\/a><\/sup><span role=\"tooltip\" class=\"modern-footnotes-footnote__note\" tabindex=\"0\" data-mfn=\"1\">Joscha Abels, \u201cIn the sky over Iran, Elon Musk and Starlink step into geopolitics - not for the first time\u201d, <em>The Conversation<\/em>, 26 juin 2025.<\/span><br><br>Malgr\u00e9 leurs efforts, les unit\u00e9s russes de cyberguerre et de guerre \u00e9lectronique n'ont pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 brouiller Starlink pendant tr\u00e8s longtemps. Toutefois, les premiers succ\u00e8s dans ce domaine ont \u00e9t\u00e9 enregistr\u00e9s \u00e0 partir de 2024.<br><br>En Iran, en 2022, une constellation Starlink a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9ploy\u00e9e pour soutenir le mouvement de protestation, en maintenant une communication ouverte entre les manifestants et le reste du monde. Malgr\u00e9 une r\u00e9pression prolong\u00e9e, les communications Starlink sont rest\u00e9es ouvertes.<sup id=\"mfn-content-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-2\" class=\"modern-footnotes-footnote modern-footnotes-footnote--hover-on-desktop\" data-mfn=\"2\" data-mfn-post-scope=\"00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941\"><a href=\"javascript:void(0)\"  role=\"button\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-describedby=\"mfn-content-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-2\">2<\/a><\/sup><span role=\"tooltip\" class=\"modern-footnotes-footnote__note\" tabindex=\"0\" data-mfn=\"2\">Vera Bergengruen, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6691662\/ai-ukraine-war-palantir\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Comment les g\u00e9ants de la tech ont contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 transformer l'Ukraine en un gigantesque laboratoire de guerre de l'IA<\/a>\u201d,\u00a0<em>Time Magazine<\/em>, Le 8 f\u00e9vrier 2024<\/span><br><br>SpaceX\/Starlink appara\u00eet donc autant comme un acteur industriel que comme une nouvelle infrastructure de communication, de transmission de donn\u00e9es et de traitement, jouant un r\u00f4le strat\u00e9gique en faisant passer ces situations de la \u201cguerre\u201d \u00e0 l\u201c\u201dhyper-guerre\" en les englobant dans et par ses constellations de satellites.<br><br>Ces constellations \u201ccanalisent\u201d le flux de signaux et de donn\u00e9es en amont et en aval, qui sont ainsi efficacement int\u00e9gr\u00e9s dans les strat\u00e9gies d'influence am\u00e9ricaines.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">II. La rupture strat\u00e9gique iranienne<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans ce contexte, l'extension de la coupure totale de l'internet par les autorit\u00e9s iraniennes \u00e0 Starlink repr\u00e9sente une r\u00e9volution technologique et strat\u00e9gique : les adversaires des \u00c9tats-Unis ont ainsi r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 contrer l'infrastructure Starlink, qui jouait un r\u00f4le crucial en reliant la contestation int\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la communication avec le monde ext\u00e9rieur.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Il semblerait que les Gardiens de la R\u00e9volution disposent de moyens simples et accessibles pour brouiller les signaux GPS des satellites. Les communications Starlink fonctionnent sur le principe du signal transmis d'un satellite \u00e0 l'autre par une antenne au sol.<br><br>Mais si la coordination entre les satellites est d\u00e9grad\u00e9e par le brouillage de leurs signaux GPS, la coordination n\u00e9cessaire pour maintenir la continuit\u00e9 du signal \u00e9mis depuis la Terre n'est plus assur\u00e9e, d'o\u00f9 le brouillage qui en r\u00e9sulte et qui neutralise les liaisons montantes, les VPN et m\u00eame les intranets d\u00e9di\u00e9s.<br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A l'inverse, ce brouillage permet aux Gardiens de la R\u00e9volution de combiner une r\u00e9pression arm\u00e9e ultra-violente avec l'\u00e9quivalent d'une cyberguerre contre leur propre population. Cela ne peut que conduire \u00e0 la fragmentation et \u00e0 la d\u00e9stabilisation de l'opposition, alors que, malheureusement, le r\u00e9gime conserve le monopole des moyens de violence, ainsi que de l'acc\u00e8s \u00e0 l'internet.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">III. L'avenir de Starlink et de l'hyper-guerre<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cependant, ce brouillage effectif de Starlink en janvier 2026 s'inscrit dans d'autres formes d'opposition \u00e0 l'entreprise d'Elon Musk. Ainsi, des recherches publi\u00e9es le 5 novembre 2025 par des scientifiques chinois mettent en \u00e9vidence la possibilit\u00e9 de brouiller les signaux entre les antennes terrestres et une constellation de plus de 10 000 satellites Starlink.<br><br>Il faudrait pour cela d\u00e9ployer une flotte r\u00e9partie d'au moins un millier de drones et de ballons \u00e9quip\u00e9s de brouilleurs \u00e0 moyenne altitude.<br><br>Si ce chiffre peut sembler important pour un observateur europ\u00e9en, les capacit\u00e9s de production industrielle choisies pourraient presque certainement r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 cette demande sans difficult\u00e9.<br><br><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2025\/03\/24\/lai-en-guerre-la-course-aux-drones-et-aux-robots-des-etats-unis-et-de-la-chine\/\">L'IA en guerre (4) : La course aux drones et aux robots entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et la Chine<\/a><br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ainsi, en cas de si\u00e8ge ou d'attaque de Ta\u00efwan, le d\u00e9ploiement d'une constellation Starlink au-dessus de Ta\u00efwan ne diminuerait pas l'efficacit\u00e9 de la strat\u00e9gie chinoise.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ainsi, les recherches militaires chinoises et la mise en \u0153uvre par l'Iran du brouillage Starlink d\u00e9montrent que l'avantage des \u00c9tats-Unis en termes d'hyper-guerre conna\u00eet aujourd'hui une d\u00e9gradation relative.<br><br>Il est donc essentiel de surveiller comment SpaceX\/Starlink r\u00e9agira \u00e0 cette situation, mais aussi comment les adversaires des \u00c9tats-Unis l'exploiteront.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi est-ce important pour les entreprises fran\u00e7aises et europ\u00e9ennes ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Un nombre croissant de particuliers et d'entreprises fran\u00e7aises, comme Air France, s'appuient sur les services de Starlink. Ils doivent donc contacter la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 pour \u00e9tudier comment maintenir la continuit\u00e9 de leurs activit\u00e9s malgr\u00e9 les attaques asym\u00e9triques qui ne manqueront pas de se produire dans les jours, les semaines et les mois \u00e0 venir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>SpaceX\/Starlink est en train de proc\u00e9der \u00e0 une r\u00e9orientation majeure de ses activit\u00e9s en raison de la r\u00e9volution en cours dans le d\u00e9ploiement des centres de donn\u00e9es dans l'espace. Le renforcement des \u00e9quipements spatiaux contre les risques de brouillage pourrait constituer une opportunit\u00e9 pour les entreprises fran\u00e7aises de l'\u00e9lectronique d'accompagner SpaceX\/Starlink dans la satisfaction des nouveaux besoins qu'elle exprimera.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>D'un point de vue culturel, il est urgent que les entreprises fran\u00e7aises comprennent que les infrastructures num\u00e9riques\/cyber\/AI, terrestres, sous-marines et spatiales, deviennent rapidement un champ de bataille entre les puissances mondiales et r\u00e9gionales. La formation des managers et la nomination de leaders d\u00e9di\u00e9s \u00e0 ces questions est d\u00e9sormais un imp\u00e9ratif existentiel \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme pour les entreprises.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"modern-footnotes-list-heading\">Notes<\/h2><ul class=\"modern-footnotes-list\"><li id=\"footnote-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-1\"><span>1<\/span><div>Joscha Abels, \u201cIn the sky over Iran, Elon Musk and Starlink step into geopolitics - not for the first time\u201d, <em>The Conversation<\/em>, 26 juin 2025. <a href=\"#mfn-content-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-1\" class=\"modern-footnotes-scroll-to-footnote\" aria-label=\"Retour \u00e0 la r\u00e9f\u00e9rence n\u00b0 1 dans le texte\">\u21a9\ufe0e<\/a><\/div><\/li><li id=\"footnote-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-2\"><span>2<\/span><div>Vera Bergengruen, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6691662\/ai-ukraine-war-palantir\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Comment les g\u00e9ants de la tech ont contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 transformer l'Ukraine en un gigantesque laboratoire de guerre de l'IA<\/a>\u201d,\u00a0<em>Time Magazine<\/em>, Le 8 f\u00e9vrier 2024 <a href=\"#mfn-content-00000000000047e50000000000000000_42941-2\" class=\"modern-footnotes-scroll-to-footnote\" aria-label=\"Retour \u00e0 la r\u00e9f\u00e9rence n\u00b0 2 dans le texte\">\u21a9\ufe0e<\/a><\/div><\/li><\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Starlink et l'arr\u00eat de l'Iran I. Starlink contre la Russie, l'Iran II. La rupture strat\u00e9gique iranienne III. L'avenir de Starlink et de l'hyper-guerre Pourquoi est-ce important pour les entreprises fran\u00e7aises et europ\u00e9ennes ?<\/p>","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"[]"},"categories":[2503,2568,5140,2499],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-americas","category-artificial-intelligence","category-chronicles","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chronicles of the Hyperwar - AI: Elon, The Mullahs, and the Satellites &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/01\/19\/chroniques-hyperwar-ai-1-elon-mullahs-satellites\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chronicles of the Hyperwar - AI: Elon, The Mullahs, and the Satellites &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Starlink and the Iran shutdown I. Starlink vs. Russia, Iran II. The Iranian Strategic Rupture III. On the Future of Starlink and Hyperwarfare Why is this important for French and European companies?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/01\/19\/chroniques-hyperwar-ai-1-elon-mullahs-satellites\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-19T08:47:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-12T09:50:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/lighthouse-2307273_1920signed.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"941\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/19\\\/chronicles-hyperwar-ai-1-elon-mullahs-satellites\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/19\\\/chronicles-hyperwar-ai-1-elon-mullahs-satellites\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b840ac3537c3f891b6e61a6e559775fe\"},\"headline\":\"Chronicles of the Hyperwar &#8211; 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Starlink vs. Russia, Iran II. The Iranian Strategic Rupture III. 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