{"id":45858,"date":"2026-11-10T11:12:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T10:12:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=45858"},"modified":"2026-11-10T11:41:58","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T10:41:58","slug":"rtas-contribution-amrae-50-atout-risk-manager","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/11\/10\/rtas-contribution-amrae-50-atout-risk-manager\/","title":{"rendered":"Contribution de RTAS au num\u00e9ro historique des 50 ans d\u2019Atout Risk Manager de l'AMRAE"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Direction artistique et conception ;
Illustration cr\u00e9\u00e9e avec
AI : Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli)<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nous avons le plaisir de partager la r\u00e9cente contribution de Dr H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix au magazine Atout Risk Manager<\/strong><\/a> (N\u00b050, Automne 2026), la revue trimestrielle officielle de l'AMRAE<\/strong><\/a> (Association pour le Management des Risques et des Assurances de l\u2019Entreprise).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pour ce 50e num\u00e9ro historique,<\/strong>le comit\u00e9 de r\u00e9daction a choisi de prendre du recul par rapport \u00e0 la gestion quotidienne des risques pour se confronter \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 d\u2019un environnement d\u2019entreprise de plus en plus chaotique et volatile \u2014 fa\u00e7onn\u00e9 par les fractures g\u00e9opolitiques, les risques climatiques syst\u00e9miques et les ruptures technologiques. Afin d'aborder cette complexit\u00e9, la revue a r\u00e9uni 30 \u00ab Grands T\u00e9moins \u00bb issus de divers horizons (\u00e9conomistes, climatologues, experts en prospective strat\u00e9gique, g\u00e9opolitique, supply chain et actuariat, ainsi que des dirigeants d'entreprises de diff\u00e9rents secteurs). Ces derniers examinent la fa\u00e7on dont les organisations peuvent \u00e9voluer dans le contexte d'une incertitude mondiale croissante tout en maintenant une capacit\u00e9 de d\u00e9cision strat\u00e9gique lorsque les approches et outils traditionnels font d\u00e9faut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dans son interview (pp. 24-25), structur\u00e9e sous le th\u00e8me \u00ab Penser les risques comme un syst\u00e8me et non comme une liste \u00bb<\/em> , le Dr Lavoix aborde la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de s'\u00e9loigner des matrices de risques statiques et annuelles. Elle explique comment une approche par l'analyse structurelle \u00e0 la prospective strat\u00e9gique et syst\u00e8mes d'alerte pr\u00e9coce mod\u00e9lise les multiples encha\u00eenements causaux du monde r\u00e9el, permettant ainsi aux organisations de d\u00e9velopper des sc\u00e9narios et alertes actionnables au service de la prise de d\u00e9cision et de l'action. De plus, elle souligne pourquoi la cognition humaine reste le v\u00e9hicule essentiel pour d\u00e9crypter les interactions syst\u00e9miques, mettant en lumi\u00e8re les limites fondamentales de l'intelligence artificielle actuelle et des grands mod\u00e8les de langage (LLM) face aux surprises strat\u00e9giques in\u00e9dites ou aux signaux faibles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De la r\u00e9flexion \u00e0 la pratique<\/strong>
D\u00e9couvrez notre approche pour la construction de mod\u00e8les causaux et de sc\u00e9narios dans notre Section M\u00e9thodologie<\/a>ou explorez notre Section Formations sur Mesure<\/a> et en Ligne<\/a> pour renforcer les capacit\u00e9s de prospective strat\u00e9gique et d'alerte pr\u00e9coce de votre organisation, et donc sa r\u00e9silience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Acc\u00e9dez au num\u00e9ro sp\u00e9cial sur le site de l'AMRAE<\/strong> : Num\u00e9ro Anniversaire – Atout Risk Manager N\u00b050 – Automne 2026<\/a><\/em><\/strong> <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) We are pleased to share Dr H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix\u2019s latest contribution to Atout Risk Manager (Issue 50, Autumn 2026), the official quarterly journal of AMRAE (Association pour le Management des Risques et des Assurances de l’Entreprise). For this landmark 50th edition, the editorial board chose to … <\/p>\n

Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0RTAS Contribution to AMRAE\u2019s 50th Landmark Edition of Atout Risk Manager\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45863,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1806,2860],"tags":[5369],"class_list":["post-45858","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-events","category-featured","tag-rtas-latest-event","entry"],"yoast_head":"\nRTAS Contribution to AMRAE\u2019s 50th Landmark Edition of Atout Risk Manager • The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2026\/11\/10\/rtas-contribution-amrae-50-atout-risk-manager\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RTAS Contribution to AMRAE\u2019s 50th Landmark Edition of Atout Risk Manager • The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) We are pleased to share Dr H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix\u2019s latest contribution to Atout Risk Manager (Issue 50, Autumn 2026), the official quarterly journal of AMRAE (Association pour le Management des Risques et des Assurances de l’Entreprise). 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Elle est titulaire d'un doctorat en \u00e9tudes politiques et d'une ma\u00eetrise en politique internationale de l'Asie (avec distinction) de la School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), Universit\u00e9 de Londres, ainsi que d'une ma\u00eetrise en finance (major de promotion, Grande \u00c9cole, France).\r\n\r\nExperte en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte pr\u00e9coce, notamment pour les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale, elle combine 30 ans d'exp\u00e9rience en relations internationales et pr\u00e8s de 20 ans en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte. Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45858","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45858"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45858\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45869,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45858\/revisions\/45869"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45863"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45858"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45858"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45858"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}