{"id":4710,"date":"2013-07-04T04:00:50","date_gmt":"2013-07-04T02:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=4710"},"modified":"2023-04-14T10:12:11","modified_gmt":"2023-04-14T08:12:11","slug":"lanalyse-de-l%c3%a9quipe-rouge-hebdomadaire-no107-4-juillet-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/07\/04\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly n\u00b0107, 4 juillet 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>L'Egypte : un changement de cap complet<\/strong> - Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements qui se sont d\u00e9roul\u00e9s en \u00c9gypte ainsi que les r\u00e9actions qu'ils ont suscit\u00e9es illustrent la fin potentielle d'une compr\u00e9hension tr\u00e8s superficielle de la d\u00e9mocratie depuis la fin de la Seconde Guerre mondiale. Cette compr\u00e9hension superficielle de la d\u00e9mocratie s'est limit\u00e9e aux \u00e9lections, donc \u00e0 la politique politicienne, au m\u00e9pris total de toutes les autres valeurs et id\u00e9aux inclus dans la d\u00e9mocratie et \u00e0 la n\u00e9gation totale des liens complexes existant entre le r\u00e9gime (la d\u00e9mocratie par exemple), l'\u00c9tat et le dirigeant (qui est actuellement \"la nation\"). Cette compr\u00e9hension superficielle est all\u00e9e de pair avec la modernisation, sa vision mat\u00e9rialiste du monde et les institutions correspondantes. Les \u00c9gyptiens ont mis fin hier \u00e0 cette approche et la vague d'articles se demandant s'il s'agissait d'un coup d'\u00c9tat - en ignorant compl\u00e8tement, voire en niant, l'effort de mobilisation r\u00e9ussi de l'opposition, le mouvement Tamarod, la perte de l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 du gouvernement Morsi et les questions li\u00e9es aux valeurs, c'est-\u00e0-dire \u00e0 l'islamisme, et \u00e0 la politique - ainsi que les r\u00e9actions similaires de gouvernements \u00e9trangers insistant uniquement sur les prochaines \u00e9lections montrent le malaise, voire la crainte que cette \u00e9volution in\u00e9dite suscite. Nous avons entam\u00e9 une nouvelle phase dans le mouvement mondial de protestation et d'efforts pour trouver des syst\u00e8mes politiques adapt\u00e9s \u00e0 notre pr\u00e9sent et \u00e0 notre avenir, qui \u00e9tait devenu \u00e9vident en 2010 mais qui pouvait d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00eatre perceptible en 2005 et peut-\u00eatre avant.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Quels pourraient \u00eatre les impacts de ce changement ? Comme le montre la Tunisie, on peut s'attendre \u00e0 une recrudescence des mouvements de protestation, dans le monde entier. S'ils \u00e9taient auparavant enferm\u00e9s dans un respect paralysant de la d\u00e9mocratie, en raison de la compr\u00e9hension sp\u00e9cifique et superficielle de sa signification, ils devraient maintenant y trouver non seulement une force et un esprit nouveaux, mais aussi des principes d'organisation et de mobilisation. Le monde dont on disait qu'il n'\u00e9tait m\u00fb que par la modernisation et le mat\u00e9rialisme pourrait bien se terminer avec des cons\u00e9quences en termes de compr\u00e9hension des \u00e9v\u00e9nements (la vision du monde ou <em>Weltanschaung<\/em>), des valeurs d\u00e9fendues autres que la cupidit\u00e9 et le profit, de la lutte contre toutes les formes d'extr\u00e9misme, qui \u00e9taient lentement accept\u00e9es par le monde mat\u00e9rialiste, et des changements dans les institutions m\u00eames qui soutenaient ce monde (notamment l'ONU et les organisations du Consensus de Washington). Cela signifie \u00e9galement une plus grande polarisation \u00e0 venir et potentiellement plus de violence, car ceux qui ont b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9 du monde pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent ne le verront pas dispara\u00eetre sans se battre. Dans le m\u00eame ordre d'id\u00e9es, les alliances et le pouvoir seraient en train de changer, ce qui aurait un impact en termes g\u00e9opolitiques et g\u00e9ostrat\u00e9giques. Enfin, et ce n'est pas le moins important, cela pourrait \u00e9galement signifier de nouvelles approches du changement climatique.<\/p>\n<p>Cliquez sur l'image ci-dessous pour lire sur Paper.Li<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/paper.li\/HLavoix\/1323337992?edition_id=8e20e970-e47e-11e2-b45b-00259071bfec\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4711\" title=\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly 107\" alt=\"s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale, renseignement anticip\u00e9, risque politique, analyse de l&#039;horizon, signal faible, alerte\" src=\"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-107.jpg\" width=\"550\" height=\"628\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-107.jpg 550w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-107-250x285.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-107-300x343.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-107-262x300.jpg 262w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Horizon Scanning for National Security - N\u00b0107 - L'Egypte : un changement complet de jeu - Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements qui se sont d\u00e9roul\u00e9s en Egypte ainsi que les r\u00e9actions qu'ils ont suscit\u00e9es illustrent la fin potentielle d'une compr\u00e9hension tr\u00e8s superficielle de la d\u00e9mocratie depuis la fin de la Seconde Guerre mondiale. Cette compr\u00e9hension superficielle de la d\u00e9mocratie s'est limit\u00e9e aux \u00e9lections, donc \u00e0 la politique politicienne, au m\u00e9pris total de toutes les autres valeurs et id\u00e9aux inclus dans la d\u00e9mocratie et \u00e0 la n\u00e9gation totale des liens complexes existant entre le r\u00e9gime (la d\u00e9mocratie par exemple), l'\u00c9tat et le dirigeant (qui est actuellement \"la nation\"). Cette compr\u00e9hension superficielle est all\u00e9e de pair avec la modernisation...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,3249],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-protest-movements","category-the-weekly-scan","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No107, 4 July 2013 &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/07\/04\/lanalyse-de-l\u00e9quipe-rouge-hebdomadaire-no107-4-juillet-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No107, 4 July 2013 &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Horizon Scanning for National Security - No107 - Egypt: a complete game-changer - The events that have been taking place in Egypt as well as the reaction to them illustrate the potential end of a very shallow understanding of democracy since the end of World War II. This shallow understanding of democracy limited it to elections, thus to politician politics, with a complete disregard for all other values and ideals included within democracy and with a complete denial of the complex links existing between regime (democracy for example), state, and ruler (which is currently &quot;the nation&quot;). This shallow understanding went hand in hand with modernization...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/07\/04\/lanalyse-de-l\u00e9quipe-rouge-hebdomadaire-no107-4-juillet-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-07-04T02:00:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-04-14T08:12:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-107.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/04\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/04\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No107, 4 July 2013\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-07-04T02:00:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-04-14T08:12:11+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/04\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":428,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/04\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-107.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Protests and Opposition Movements\",\"The Weekly Scan - Editorial Archives\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/04\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/04\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/04\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no107-4-july-2013\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No107, 4 July 2013 &#8226; 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