{"id":4789,"date":"2013-07-11T03:48:19","date_gmt":"2013-07-11T02:48:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=4789"},"modified":"2023-04-14T10:12:11","modified_gmt":"2023-04-14T08:12:11","slug":"lanalyse-de-l%c3%a9quipe-rouge-hebdomadaire-no108-11-juillet-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/07\/11\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly n\u00b0108, 11 juillet 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Un aper\u00e7u de l'avenir ?<\/strong> Comme pr\u00e9vu la semaine derni\u00e8re, les \u00e9v\u00e9nements \u00e9gyptiens ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 avoir un impact sur le monde. L'influence augmente et diminue non seulement dans le monde arabe mais aussi au niveau international, avec ce qui semble \u00eatre une lutte am\u00e9ricaine pour donner un sens aux \u00e9v\u00e9nements et y r\u00e9pondre de mani\u00e8re ad\u00e9quate et une politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re russe ferme. La tension monte \u00e9galement avec les attaques dans le Sina\u00ef, tandis qu'une nouvelle perspective pour l'opposition syrienne pourrait bien se dessiner. Sur le plan int\u00e9rieur, l'approche Tamarod touche non seulement la Tunisie mais aussi la Libye. Entre-temps, sur Twitter, la connexion a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 se faire entre la Turquie et l'\u00c9gypte, chaque partie soutenant son homologue dans l'autre pays.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Les choses semblent cependant loin d'\u00eatre r\u00e9gl\u00e9es en Egypte, comme dans le reste du monde. Si le choix de M. El-Beblawi comme Premier ministre devait signifier aussi des rem\u00e8des du FMI ressemblant aux r\u00e9formes structurelles appliqu\u00e9es dans les ann\u00e9es 1980 ou plus r\u00e9cemment \u00e0 ce qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 fait \u00e0 la Gr\u00e8ce, alors la probabilit\u00e9 de voir de nouveaux soul\u00e8vements et troubles en \u00c9gypte augmenterait. En attendant, les citoyens grecs pourraient tr\u00e8s bien se tourner vers l'\u00c9gypte comme mod\u00e8le et r\u00e9interpr\u00e9ter le mouvement Tamarod et ce qui a suivi en fonction de leurs propres besoins. La crise \u00e9conomique sans fin, aggrav\u00e9e par les probl\u00e8mes de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 croissants li\u00e9s au changement climatique, pourrait \u00e9galement \u00e9tendre les troubles \u00e0 d'autres pays, maintenant qu'une solution en accord avec les valeurs d\u00e9mocratiques a \u00e9t\u00e9 trouv\u00e9e. En attendant, l'approche et les mouvements religieux pourraient \u00e9galement \u00eatre renforc\u00e9s et radicalis\u00e9s par les m\u00eames causes.<\/p>\n<p>Cliquez sur l'image ci-dessous pour lire sur Paper.Li<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/paper.li\/HLavoix\/1323337992?edition_id=b69550a0-e9fe-11e2-b45b-00259071bfec\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4790 noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4790\" alt=\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly 108\" src=\"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-108.jpg\" width=\"550\" height=\"529\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-108.jpg 550w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-108-250x240.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-108-300x288.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-108-311x300.jpg 311w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un aper\u00e7u de l'avenir ? Comme pr\u00e9vu la semaine derni\u00e8re, les \u00e9v\u00e9nements \u00e9gyptiens ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 avoir un impact sur le monde. L'influence augmente et diminue non seulement dans le monde arabe mais aussi au niveau international, avec ce qui semble \u00eatre une lutte am\u00e9ricaine pour donner un sens aux \u00e9v\u00e9nements et y r\u00e9pondre de mani\u00e8re ad\u00e9quate et une politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re russe ferme. La tension monte \u00e9galement avec les attaques dans le Sina\u00ef, tandis qu'une nouvelle perspective pour l'opposition syrienne pourrait bien se dessiner. Sur le plan int\u00e9rieur, l'approche Tamarod touche non seulement la Tunisie mais aussi la Libye. Entre-temps, sur Twitter, la connexion a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 se faire entre la Turquie et l'\u00c9gypte, chaque partie soutenant son homologue dans l'autre pays.<br \/>\nLes choses semblent cependant loin d'\u00eatre r\u00e9gl\u00e9es en Egypte, comme dans le reste du monde. Si le choix d'El-Beblawi...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3249],"tags":[61,576,289,89,442,1391,446,1569,2175],"class_list":["post-4789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-weekly-scan","tag-china","tag-crisis","tag-egypt","tag-greece","tag-imf","tag-tunisia","tag-turkey","tag-u-k","tag-u-s","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No108, 11 July 2013 &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/07\/11\/lanalyse-de-l\u00e9quipe-rouge-hebdomadaire-no108-11-juillet-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No108, 11 July 2013 &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A glimpse into the future? As expected last week, the Egyptian events have already started impacting the world. Influence is rising and falling not only within the Arab World but also internationally, with what appears to be an American struggle to make sense of the events and respond adequately and a steadfast Russian foreign policy. Tension also rises with attacks in the Sinai, while a new outlook for the Syrian opposition could well be emerging. Domestically, the Tamarod approach reaches not only Tunisia but also Libya. Meanwhile, on twitter, the connection has started being made between Turkey and Egypt, each side supporting its counterpart in the other country. Things seem however far from being settled in Egypt, as in the rest of the world. If the choice of El-Beblawi...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2013\/07\/11\/lanalyse-de-l\u00e9quipe-rouge-hebdomadaire-no108-11-juillet-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-07-11T02:48:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-04-14T08:12:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-108.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/11\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/11\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No108, 11 July 2013\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-07-11T02:48:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-04-14T08:12:11+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/11\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":259,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/11\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/The-Red-team-Analysis-Weekly-108.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"China\",\"crisis\",\"Egypt\",\"Greece\",\"IMF\",\"Tunisia\",\"Turkey\",\"U.K.\",\"U.S\"],\"articleSection\":[\"The Weekly Scan - Editorial Archives\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/11\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/11\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/11\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no108-11-july-2013\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No108, 11 July 2013 &#8226; 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Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4789","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4789"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4789\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4789"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4789"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4789"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}