{"id":6226,"date":"2014-01-27T18:36:15","date_gmt":"2014-01-27T17:36:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=6226"},"modified":"2022-05-30T17:37:23","modified_gmt":"2022-05-30T15:37:23","slug":"face-au-brouillard-de-la-guerre-pour-les-nationalistes-salafistes-a-venir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/01\/27\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\/","title":{"rendered":"Face au brouillard de la guerre en Syrie : la mont\u00e9e des nationalistes salafistes ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Depuis octobre 2013, beaucoup de choses se sont pass\u00e9es en Syrie. Nous allons d'abord passer en revue les changements majeurs dans l'\u00e9tat des lieux des acteurs syriens, en commen\u00e7ant par les groupes salafi-nationalistes, avant de r\u00e9\u00e9valuer nos sc\u00e9narios et leurs indicateurs \u00e0 la lumi\u00e8re des \u00e9v\u00e9nements r\u00e9cents, notamment Gen\u00e8ve 2. Comme cela \u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 en cours au mois de septembre, les diff\u00e9rents groupes d'opposition au r\u00e9gime de Bachar el-Assad ont poursuivi leur reconfiguration, tandis que les relations et les interactions entre eux ont \u00e9volu\u00e9. Le Front islamique Une \u00e9volution logique Si le \"cadre islamique\" (voir mise \u00e0 jour du 21 oct), cr\u00e9\u00e9 le 24 septembre 2013, a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9ph\u00e9m\u00e8re, comme le pr\u00e9voyaient de nombreux experts, il n'en a pas moins \u00e9t\u00e9 un indice important des changements en cours sur le terrain, tandis que sa composition m\u00eame annon\u00e7ait les ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/01\/27\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Face au brouillard de la guerre en Syrie : la mont\u00e9e en puissance des salafi-nationalistes ? \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=6226\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Depuis octobre 2013, beaucoup de choses se sont pass\u00e9es en Syrie. Nous allons d'abord passer en revue les changements majeurs dans l'\u00e9tat des lieux des acteurs syriens, en commen\u00e7ant par les groupes salafi-nationalistes, avant de r\u00e9\u00e9valuer nos sc\u00e9narios et leurs indicateurs \u00e0 la lumi\u00e8re des \u00e9v\u00e9nements r\u00e9cents, notamment Gen\u00e8ve 2. Comme cela \u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 en cours au mois de septembre, les diff\u00e9rents groupes d'opposition au r\u00e9gime de Bachar el-Assad ont poursuivi leur reconfiguration, tandis que les relations et les interactions entre eux ont \u00e9volu\u00e9. Le Front islamique Une \u00e9volution logique Si le \"cadre islamique\" (voir mise \u00e0 jour du 21 oct), cr\u00e9\u00e9 le 24 septembre 2013, a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9ph\u00e9m\u00e8re, comme le pr\u00e9voyaient de nombreux experts, il n'en a pas moins \u00e9t\u00e9 un indice important des changements en cours sur le terrain, tandis que sa composition m\u00eame annon\u00e7ait les ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/01\/27\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Face au brouillard de la guerre en Syrie : la mont\u00e9e en puissance des salafi-nationalistes ? \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=6226\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2499,252],"tags":[1599,1720,1650,1628,313,1747,1627,1808,2058,522],"class_list":["post-6226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-syria","tag-fog-of-war","tag-geneva-2","tag-isis","tag-islamic-state","tag-islamism","tag-nc","tag-salafi","tag-salafi-nationalist","tag-syria-issues","tag-war","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Facing the Fog of War in Syria: the Rise of the Salafi-Nationalists? &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/01\/27\/face-au-brouillard-de-la-guerre-pour-les-nationalistes-salafistes-a-venir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Facing the Fog of War in Syria: the Rise of the Salafi-Nationalists? &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Since October 2013, much has been going on in Syria. We shall first review major changes in the state of play for the Syrian actors, starting with the Salafi-Nationalist groups, before to re-evaluate our scenarios and their indicators in the light of recent events, notably Geneva 2. As was already underway during September, the various &hellip; Continuer la lecture \u00ab\u00a0Facing the Fog of War in Syria: the Rise of the Salafi-Nationalists?\u00a0\u00bbThis content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/01\/27\/face-au-brouillard-de-la-guerre-pour-les-nationalistes-salafistes-a-venir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-01-27T17:36:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-05-30T15:37:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/rocket-Army-of-Islam-2014.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"672\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"372\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/27\\\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/27\\\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Facing the Fog of War in Syria: the Rise of the Salafi-Nationalists?\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-01-27T17:36:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-30T15:37:23+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/27\\\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1610,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/27\\\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/rocket-Army-of-Islam-2014.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"fog of war\",\"Geneva 2\",\"ISIS\",\"Islamic state\",\"Islamism\",\"NC\",\"salafi\",\"salafi-nationalist\",\"Syria issues\",\"war\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Middle-East and North Africa\",\"Syria\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/27\\\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/27\\\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/27\\\/facing-the-fog-of-war-for-syrias-future-the-rise-of-the-salafi-nationalists\\\/\",\"name\":\"Facing the Fog of War in Syria: the Rise of the Salafi-Nationalists? 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