{"id":644,"date":"2018-11-05T10:47:33","date_gmt":"2018-11-05T09:47:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=644"},"modified":"2021-10-01T20:00:39","modified_gmt":"2021-10-01T18:00:39","slug":"cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/mapping-risk-and-uncertainty-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Mod\u00e9lisation des risques et des incertitudes dynamiques (1) : Cartographie des risques et des incertitudes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(Cet article est une version enti\u00e8rement mise \u00e0 jour de l'article original publi\u00e9 en novembre 2011 sous le titre \"Creating a Foresight and Warning Model : Cartographie d'un r\u00e9seau dynamique (I)\"). La cartographie des risques et des incertitudes est la deuxi\u00e8me \u00e9tape d'un processus appropri\u00e9 pour anticiper et g\u00e9rer correctement les risques et les incertitudes.  Cette \u00e9tape commence par la construction d'un mod\u00e8le qui, une fois achev\u00e9, d\u00e9crira et expliquera le probl\u00e8me ou la question en jeu, tout en permettant l'anticipation ou la pr\u00e9voyance. En d'autres termes, \u00e0 la fin de la premi\u00e8re \u00e9tape, vous avez s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9 un risque, une incertitude, ou une s\u00e9rie de risques et d'incertitudes, ou une question pr\u00e9occupante, avec son calendrier et sa port\u00e9e appropri\u00e9s, par exemple, quels sont les risques et les incertitudes pour ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/mapping-risk-and-uncertainty-1\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Mod\u00e9lisation pour les risques et incertitudes dynamiques (1) : Cartographie des risques et incertitudes \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=644\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Cet article est une version enti\u00e8rement mise \u00e0 jour de l'article original publi\u00e9 en novembre 2011 sous le titre \"Creating a Foresight and Warning Model : Cartographie d'un r\u00e9seau dynamique (I)\"). La cartographie des risques et des incertitudes est la deuxi\u00e8me \u00e9tape d'un processus appropri\u00e9 pour anticiper et g\u00e9rer correctement les risques et les incertitudes.  Cette \u00e9tape commence par la construction d'un mod\u00e8le qui, une fois achev\u00e9, d\u00e9crira et expliquera le probl\u00e8me ou la question en jeu, tout en permettant l'anticipation ou la pr\u00e9voyance. En d'autres termes, \u00e0 la fin de la premi\u00e8re \u00e9tape, vous avez s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9 un risque, une incertitude, ou une s\u00e9rie de risques et d'incertitudes, ou une question pr\u00e9occupante, avec son calendrier et sa port\u00e9e appropri\u00e9s, par exemple, quels sont les risques et les incertitudes pour ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/mapping-risk-and-uncertainty-1\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" Mod\u00e9lisation pour les risques et incertitudes dynamiques (1) : Cartographie des risques et incertitudes \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>Le reste de cet article est destin\u00e9 \u00e0 notre <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/adh%c3%a9sion-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>. Assurez-vous d'obtenir une v\u00e9ritable analyse et non une opinion ou, pire encore, une fausse nouvelle. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=644\">Se connecter<\/a> et acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19674,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3236],"tags":[188,54,27,1034,49,1031,200,76,1032,1789,1955,205,193,202,97,98,354,194,198,1210,2334,190,123,236,195,197,1035,1033,196],"class_list":["post-644","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-building-a-model","tag-analysis","tag-arab-spring","tag-bias","tag-critical-uncertainty","tag-customer","tag-driver","tag-dynamic-network","tag-dynamics","tag-factor","tag-featured","tag-future-of-nation-state","tag-governance","tag-graph","tag-ideal-type","tag-map","tag-mapping","tag-modern-nation-state","tag-network","tag-probability","tag-risk","tag-risk-management","tag-scenarios","tag-strategic-foresight","tag-strategic-warning","tag-structural-change","tag-time","tag-trend","tag-uncertainty","tag-variable","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Mapping a risk and uncertainty: what is it, how to do it and why it is useful for best risk management, anticipation and strategic foresight and warning.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mapping a risk and uncertainty: what is it, how to do it and why it is useful for best risk management, anticipation and strategic foresight and warning.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-11-05T09:47:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-01T18:00:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1038\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-11-05T09:47:33+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-01T18:00:39+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1854,\"commentCount\":10,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"analysis\",\"Arab Spring\",\"bias\",\"critical uncertainty\",\"customer\",\"driver\",\"dynamic network\",\"dynamics\",\"factor\",\"featured\",\"future of nation-state\",\"governance\",\"graph\",\"ideal-type\",\"map\",\"mapping\",\"modern nation-state\",\"network\",\"probability\",\"risk\",\"risk management\",\"scenarios\",\"strategic foresight\",\"strategic warning\",\"structural change\",\"time\",\"trend\",\"uncertainty\",\"variable\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Building a model\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/\",\"name\":\"Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-11-05T09:47:33+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-01T18:00:39+00:00\",\"description\":\"Mapping a risk and uncertainty: what is it, how to do it and why it is useful for best risk management, anticipation and strategic foresight and warning.\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/05\\\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg\",\"width\":1038,\"height\":576,\"caption\":\"mapping, external risk, risk, uncertainty, big data, analytics, risk management, strategic foresight and warning, graph, network\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"description\":\"Strategic Foresight &amp; Early Warning \uff65 Political &amp; Geopolitical Risk \u00b7 Scenarios\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/pages\\\/Red-Team-Analysis\\\/341280995886057\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/helenelavoix\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5403964\\\/admin\\\/dashboard\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\",\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"description\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","description":"Cartographie d'un risque et d'une incertitude : qu'est-ce que c'est, comment le faire et pourquoi c'est utile pour une meilleure gestion des risques, une anticipation et une pr\u00e9vision et une alerte strat\u00e9giques.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"Mapping a risk and uncertainty: what is it, how to do it and why it is useful for best risk management, anticipation and strategic foresight and warning.","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2018-11-05T09:47:33+00:00","article_modified_time":"2021-10-01T18:00:39+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1038,"height":576,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"9 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/"},"author":{"name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4"},"headline":"Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty","datePublished":"2018-11-05T09:47:33+00:00","dateModified":"2021-10-01T18:00:39+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/"},"wordCount":1854,"commentCount":10,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg","keywords":["analysis","Arab Spring","bias","critical uncertainty","customer","driver","dynamic network","dynamics","factor","featured","future of nation-state","governance","graph","ideal-type","map","mapping","modern nation-state","network","probability","risk","risk management","scenarios","strategic foresight","strategic warning","structural change","time","trend","uncertainty","variable"],"articleSection":["Building a model"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/","name":"Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg","datePublished":"2018-11-05T09:47:33+00:00","dateModified":"2021-10-01T18:00:39+00:00","description":"Cartographie d'un risque et d'une incertitude : qu'est-ce que c'est, comment le faire et pourquoi c'est utile pour une meilleure gestion des risques, une anticipation et une pr\u00e9vision et une alerte strat\u00e9giques.","inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2018\/11\/05\/cartographie-risque-et-incertitude-1\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg","width":1038,"height":576,"caption":"mapping, external risk, risk, uncertainty, big data, analytics, risk management, strategic foresight and warning, graph, network"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","description":"Prospective strat\u00e9gique et alerte pr\u00e9coce \uff65 Risques politiques et g\u00e9opolitiques \u00b7 Sc\u00e9narios","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization","name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Red Team Analysis Society"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/helenelavoix\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5403964\/admin\/dashboard\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4","name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","description":"est pr\u00e9sidente et fondatrice de The Red Team Analysis Society. Elle est titulaire d'un doctorat en \u00e9tudes politiques et d'une ma\u00eetrise en politique internationale de l'Asie (avec distinction) de la School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), Universit\u00e9 de Londres, ainsi que d'une ma\u00eetrise en finance (major de promotion, Grande \u00c9cole, France).\r\n\r\nExperte en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte pr\u00e9coce, notamment pour les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale, elle combine 30 ans d'exp\u00e9rience en relations internationales et pr\u00e8s de 20 ans en prospective strat\u00e9gique et en alerte. Elle a v\u00e9cu et travaill\u00e9 dans cinq pays, effectu\u00e9 des missions dans 16 autres et form\u00e9 des officiers de haut niveau dans le monde entier, par exemple \u00e0 Singapour et dans le cadre de programmes europ\u00e9ens en Tunisie et en Jordanie.\r\n\r\nElle a \u00e9t\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de cours (niveau Master) et a enseign\u00e9 la m\u00e9thodologie et la pratique de la prospective strat\u00e9gique et de l'alerte pr\u00e9coce dans des institutions prestigieuses telles que le RSIS \u00e0 Singapour, SciencesPo-PSIA, ou l'Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure en Tunisie et l'ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership.\r\nElle publie r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement sur les questions g\u00e9opolitiques, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des approvisionnements et de l'uranium, l'intelligence artificielle, l'ordre international, la mont\u00e9e en puissance de la Chine et d'autres sujets li\u00e9s \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale.\r\n\r\nEngag\u00e9e dans l'am\u00e9lioration continue des m\u00e9thodologies de prospective et d'alerte, Mme Lavoix combine expertise acad\u00e9mique et exp\u00e9rience de terrain pour anticiper les d\u00e9fis mondiaux de demain.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/brunier-fisheye2-cropped-1038-credit-2.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/644","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=644"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/644\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19674"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=644"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=644"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=644"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}