{"id":8457,"date":"2014-11-13T15:12:20","date_gmt":"2014-11-13T14:12:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=8457"},"modified":"2023-04-14T10:10:41","modified_gmt":"2023-04-14T08:10:41","slug":"%c3%a9quipe-analyse-hebdomadaire-178","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/11\/13\/red-team-analysis-weekly-178\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Red Team Analysis Weekly 178 - Combattre la guerre des r\u00e9cits, d'AQ \u00e0 IS, l'Ukraine et la Russie"},"content":{"rendered":"

Chaque semaine, notre scan collecte des signaux faibles - et moins faibles -... Nous pr\u00e9sentons ci-dessous quelques-unes des caract\u00e9ristiques les plus int\u00e9ressantes ou pertinentes pour chaque section.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Monde<\/strong> (tout ce qui concerne la guerre, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale et nationale) - Notez un article tr\u00e8s int\u00e9ressant et excellent, faisant partie d'une \"s\u00e9rie sur les communications strat\u00e9giques, la narration et l'\u00c9tat islamique\" pour Le pont <\/em>(publication arr\u00eat\u00e9e) par le lieutenant-colonel Dean Case, officier des op\u00e9rations d'information de l'arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine, et Mikhail Grinberg, qui, en s'appuyant sur les enseignements tir\u00e9s de l'Irak, d\u00e9fend une strat\u00e9gie permettant de gagner la \"bataille de la l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9\" contre l'\u00c9tat islamique. Cet aspect peut \u00eatre d'autant plus important si l'on consid\u00e8re l'\"expansion\" du califat, en Libye et en \u00c9gypte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le lieutenant-colonel Case souligne notamment qu'\"un \u00e9l\u00e9ment essentiel de tous nos efforts de communication \u00e9tait la v\u00e9rit\u00e9. Pour gagner la bataille de la narration contre AQ, nous ne devions pas seulement raconter une meilleure histoire, nous devions la prouver\". C'est une le\u00e7on dont il faut et devrait se souvenir alors qu'avec l'aggravation de la tension dans l'est de l'Ukraine, nous sommes de retour \u00e0 une tr\u00e8s lourde campagne anti-russe, anti-Poutine. Une fois de plus, rien n'est \u00e9pargn\u00e9, jusqu'\u00e0 la mise en avant d'un \u00e9v\u00e9nement insignifiant en Chine, \u00e0 la limite de la diffamation (les faits \u00e9tant \u00e9videmment vrais mais la diffamation implicite nous faisant nous demander si l'histoire est vraiment meilleure, ou si elle ne rend pas plut\u00f4t m\u00e9prisable le c\u00f4t\u00e9 qui la met en avant). Pratiquement aucune voix - dans la sph\u00e8re des r\u00e9seaux sociaux anglophones - ne vient perturber la nouvelle doctrine. M\u00eame en utilisant le crowdsourcing multilingue, un seul article en espagnol sur ce qui se passe \u00e0 Luhansk a \u00e9t\u00e9 identifi\u00e9. Il sera donc \u00e0 nouveau extr\u00eamement difficile de trouver et d'\u00e9laborer une analyse objective. En attendant, si la politique n'est bas\u00e9e que sur des analyses biais\u00e9es, seules de mauvaises d\u00e9cisions sont susceptibles d'\u00eatre prises, ce qui, compte tenu des autres d\u00e9fis actuels, arriverait au pire moment. Il est int\u00e9ressant de noter que la Croix-Rouge internationale, qui a une politique de neutralit\u00e9, a \u00e9galement soulign\u00e9 le climat hautement polaris\u00e9 qui fait de l'Ukraine une crise tr\u00e8s complexe et tr\u00e8s difficile pour elle. Mais parce que le pr\u00e9sident du CICR, Peter Maurer exprim\u00e9<\/a> ces opinions dans une interview avec l'Agence russe Tass<\/em>nous devrions s\u00fbrement les rejeter comme de la propagande...<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il convient \u00e9galement de souligner l'importance cruciale du rapprochement, toujours difficile mais en cours, entre le Japon et la Chine, tandis que l'\u00e9volution de ces derniers mois tend \u00e0 montrer un Japon qui se rapproche lentement de la Russie, devenant ainsi moins fortement ancr\u00e9 dans le monde domin\u00e9 par les \u00c9tats-Unis. De mani\u00e8re positive, cela montre \u00e9galement que m\u00eame une forte escalade peut \u00eatre r\u00e9duite vers une stabilisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Technologie et armement<\/strong>s - A c\u00f4t\u00e9 de nombreux sujets sur les nouveaux contrats d'armement, la cybers\u00e9curit\u00e9 et le big data, l'article \"La m\u00e9decine cyborg de demain est \u00e0 l'int\u00e9rieur du v\u00e9t\u00e9ran d'aujourd'hui\" est particuli\u00e8rement int\u00e9ressant. On peut percevoir le sujet comme \u00e9tant non seulement effrayant mais aussi terriblement triste, par exemple lorsqu'on a vu la derni\u00e8re version du film Robocop<\/a> (2014, par le r\u00e9alisateur Jos\u00e9 Padilha - \u00e0 voir absolument pour comprendre de nombreuses questions en jeu ici), ou, alternativement, comme exaltant quand on croit au technologisme, \u00e0 l'\"am\u00e9lioration humaine\" et \u00e0 la \"singularit\u00e9\". Deux perspectives diff\u00e9rentes et r\u00e9cits<\/strong> sur le m\u00eame probl\u00e8me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique et environnementale<\/strong> - Un article particuli\u00e8rement stimulant souligne le retour d'information existant entre le guerres civiles ou inter\u00e9tatiques<\/strong> qui sont men\u00e9es dans les Moyen-Orient<\/strong>La Commission a \u00e9galement examin\u00e9 la question de l'impact de la guerre sur l'environnement, les dommages environnementaux qui y sont li\u00e9s et l'impact potentiel futur en termes de probabilit\u00e9 accrue de nouvelles guerres, de poursuite ou de reprise des guerres. L'article se concentre notamment sur les bombardements a\u00e9riens, les zones sismiques et l'impact sur eau<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Science<\/strong>  - Sans surprise, nous avons de nombreux articles sur \"l'atterrissage de la com\u00e8te par la mission Rosetta\". Outre l'impact et l'exploit scientifiques, il s'agit \u00e9galement d'un succ\u00e8s de l'Agence spatiale europ\u00e9enne, ce qui pourrait signifier que l'Europe n'est pas encore hors jeu, d'une part, et, d'autre part, notamment au vu des r\u00e9centes catastrophes impliquant des entreprises commerciales, que les efforts publics ou \u00e9tatiques ne sont, eux aussi, ni inefficaces ni d\u00e9fectueux, bien s\u00fbr lorsqu'ils sont mis en \u0153uvre correctement avec les bonnes personnes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c9conomie<\/strong> (cherchez ici les questions li\u00e9es aux crises \u00e9conomiques, \u00e0 la politique mon\u00e9taire, aux in\u00e9galit\u00e9s ou au d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire par exemple) - Un article \u00e0 lire absolument par le Pr John Clarke sur \"\u00e9conomies imagin\u00e9es<\/strong>\"permet aux lecteurs de prendre du recul et de mener une r\u00e9flexion critique sur les diff\u00e9rentes \"\u00e9conomies\" possibles, ce qui ram\u00e8ne \"l'\u00e9conomie\" \u00e0 sa v\u00e9ritable dimension de \"produit social et politique et donc ouvert \u00e0 l'action sociale et politique\", r\u00e9cits<\/strong> et la guerre et les batailles qui peuvent les entourer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ebola<\/strong> - Nous faisons \u00e0 nouveau le m\u00eame constat que pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment, l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie d'Ebola n'int\u00e9resse pratiquement personne. Le \"sentiment de foule\" pourrait avoir raison car, selon les derni\u00e8res donn\u00e9es de l'OMS, l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie d'Ebola n'int\u00e9resse pas grand monde. rapport de situation<\/a>Si l'on en croit le rapport de la Commission europ\u00e9enne, une certaine stabilisation pourrait \u00eatre \u00e0 l'\u0153uvre en Guin\u00e9e et au Liberia, mais pas en Sierra Leone, tandis que le Mali conna\u00eet d\u00e9sormais quatre cas et quatre d\u00e9c\u00e8s. Cependant, il est fort probable que le manque d'int\u00e9r\u00eat soit li\u00e9 \u00e0 l'absence de cas mortels en dehors de l'Afrique de l'Ouest, compte tenu de l'origine de la plupart des sources de crowdsourcing. Le danger pourrait \u00eatre que les efforts pour stopper l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie en soient affect\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Acc\u00e9der \u00e0 notre 13 novembre 2014 scan<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

L'hebdomadaire est le scan du Red Team Analysis Society et il se concentre sur les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale. Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 lanc\u00e9 \u00e0 titre exp\u00e9rimental avec Paper.li comme moyen de collecter des id\u00e9es, notamment via Twitter. Son succ\u00e8s et son utilit\u00e9 ont conduit \u00e0 sa poursuite.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les informations recueillies (crowdsourcced) ne signifient pas une approbation, mais indiquent des probl\u00e8mes et des questions nouveaux, \u00e9mergents, en progression ou stabilisants.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si vous souhaitez consulter le scan apr\u00e8s la fin de la semaine, utilisez les \"archives\" directement sur The Weekly.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Image en vedette : \"Antenne de radars en bande C\". Licence du domaine public via Wikimedia Commons.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chaque semaine, notre scan collecte des signaux faibles - et moins faibles -... Nous pr\u00e9sentons ci-dessous quelques-uns des \u00e9l\u00e9ments les plus int\u00e9ressants ou pertinents pour chaque section. Monde (tout ce qui concerne la guerre, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale et nationale) - A noter un article tr\u00e8s int\u00e9ressant et excellent, faisant partie d'une \"s\u00e9rie sur les communications strat\u00e9giques, la narration et l'Etat islamique\" pour The Bridge ... <\/p>\n

Continuer la lecture \" Le Red Team Analysis Weekly 178 - Combattre la guerre des r\u00e9cits, d'AQ \u00e0 IS, l'Ukraine et la Russie \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7831,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3249],"tags":[27,1628,1899,220,2067],"class_list":["post-8457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-weekly-scan","tag-bias","tag-islamic-state","tag-propaganda","tag-russia","tag-ukraine-issues","entry"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Red Team Analysis Weekly 178 \u2013 Fighting Wars of Narratives, from AQ to IS, Ukraine and Russia • The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Each week our scan collects weak and less weak signals. 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