{"id":8537,"date":"2014-11-20T15:11:44","date_gmt":"2014-11-20T14:11:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=8537"},"modified":"2023-04-14T10:10:41","modified_gmt":"2023-04-14T08:10:41","slug":"analyse-%c3%a9quipe-rouge-hebdomadaire-179-besoin-dargent-troupes-actuelles-menaces","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2014\/11\/20\/red-team-analysis-weekly-179-need-money-troops-todays-threats\/","title":{"rendered":"The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 179 - \"J'ai besoin de plus d'argent et de troupes pour les menaces actuelles\""},"content":{"rendered":"

Chaque semaine, notre analyse recueille des signaux faibles - et moins faibles... Nous pr\u00e9sentons ci-dessous quelques-unes des caract\u00e9ristiques les plus int\u00e9ressantes ou les plus pertinentes pour chaque section.<\/p>\n

Monde<\/strong> (toutes les questions li\u00e9es \u00e0 la guerre, \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale et nationale) - Une d\u00e9claration int\u00e9ressante du chef d'\u00e9tat-major de l'arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine r\u00e9sume bien la situation actuelle pour de nombreux pays : \"J'ai besoin de plus d'argent et de troupes pour faire face aux menaces actuelles\". Cette d\u00e9claration souligne le manque total de pr\u00e9voyance - et d'avertissement - dont souffrent nos soci\u00e9t\u00e9s, car la strat\u00e9gie et le budget d\u00e9sormais inad\u00e9quats auxquels fait r\u00e9f\u00e9rence le g\u00e9n\u00e9ral Odierno datent \u00e9galement de 2012, soit seulement deux ans plus tard.<\/p>\n

Cela souligne \u00e9galement l'\u00e9nigme des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s n\u00e9o-lib\u00e9rales. Tout d'abord, pour r\u00e9sumer bri\u00e8vement, elles ont tendance \u00e0 croire que le commerce et la mondialisation ont mis fin \u00e0 toutes les guerres, sinon \u00e0 l'histoire, alors que les d\u00e9penses de l'\u00c9tat doivent \u00eatre r\u00e9duites. Par cons\u00e9quent, comme pour toutes les id\u00e9ologies, \u00e0 mesure qu'elles deviennent des pr\u00e9jug\u00e9s, une analyse correcte, une pr\u00e9voyance ad\u00e9quate et des d\u00e9cisions ad\u00e9quates deviennent impossibles. Deuxi\u00e8mement, il y a la crise de fond qui ne cesse de s'\u00e9tendre ou de revenir (voir la section \u00e9conomie ci-dessous) et qui stoppe la croissance et donc l'augmentation automatique des ressources dont disposent les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s pour faire face aux menaces.<\/p>\n

Ces deux caract\u00e9ristiques se combinent pour rendre les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s incapables de mettre fin aux menaces en temps utile et de mani\u00e8re appropri\u00e9e - lorsqu'elles ne contribuent pas \u00e0 cr\u00e9er des menaces alors qu'il n'y en avait pas auparavant. Comme d'autres id\u00e9ologies (lire, par exemple, Chris Zappone \"Une nouvelle id\u00e9ologie de la guerre froide...<\/a>\") et les pr\u00e9jug\u00e9s, ainsi que les inefficacit\u00e9s pour ne rien dire de la promotion de la m\u00e9diocrit\u00e9 et de l'incomp\u00e9tence parmi les groupes d'\u00e9lite (voir, pour une explication, mat\u00e9riel<\/a> et les enjeux id\u00e9ologiques d'une vision du monde d\u00e9pass\u00e9e<\/a>) s'amalgament, les menaces, \u00e0 leur tour, se multiplient. Alors, un jour ou l'autre, il faut imp\u00e9rativement trouver des ressources, alors qu'elles sont encore moins disponibles qu'auparavant. Quelles sont les voies \u00e0 suivre ? Probablement, pendant un certain temps, la spirale descendante se poursuivra, jusqu'\u00e0 ce que le syst\u00e8me soit oblig\u00e9 de changer pour pouvoir faire face et r\u00e9pondre aux nouvelles menaces, avec l'espoir de gagner... sauf qu'ayant chang\u00e9, il aura de toute fa\u00e7on disparu. Mais n'est-ce pas ainsi que les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s ont chang\u00e9 et \u00e9volu\u00e9 au fil du temps ?<\/p>\n

Technologie et armement<\/strong>s - Entre autres, consultez les articles sur le d\u00e9fi de reconnaissance vocale de l'IARPA, le sommet Defense One de 2014 et les priorit\u00e9s cl\u00e9s de l'EPA du plan de d\u00e9veloppement des capacit\u00e9s r\u00e9vis\u00e9.<\/p>\n

S\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique et environnementale<\/strong> - Outre \"l'Allemagne pr\u00e9voit de se retirer des objectifs climatiques contraignants pour 2020\", ce qui signale (une fois de plus) le manque de pr\u00e9occupation r\u00e9elle des diff\u00e9rents gouvernements pour s'attaquer s\u00e9rieusement au changement climatique anthropique, et de nombreux articles sur les \u00e9nergies renouvelables, un rappel plus rare de l'importance cruciale de la biodiversit\u00e9 et plus sp\u00e9cifiquement des abeilles pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 alimentaire, puisque 70 des 100 esp\u00e8ces de cultures qui fournissent la nourriture 90% sont pollinis\u00e9es par les abeilles.<\/p>\n

Science<\/strong> \u00a0- Il est tr\u00e8s int\u00e9ressant d'utiliser les mesures de la r\u00e9silience, en opposant d'abord les approches de la r\u00e9silience et de l'\u00e9valuation des risques, puis en explorant comment la doctrine militaire et la recherche scientifique militaire peuvent aider \u00e0 d\u00e9finir des mesures de r\u00e9silience appropri\u00e9es, qui pourraient ensuite \u00eatre appliqu\u00e9es \u00e0 l'ensemble du gouvernement (et des organisations).<\/p>\n

\u00c9conomie<\/strong> (voir ici les questions li\u00e9es aux crises \u00e9conomiques, \u00e0 la politique mon\u00e9taire, aux in\u00e9galit\u00e9s ou au d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire par exemple) - De nombreux articles cette semaine portent sur les mauvaises donn\u00e9es concernant le Japon - ce \u00e0 quoi il fallait s'attendre, compte tenu notamment de l'ampleur \u00e9tonnante de son d\u00e9ficit public, m\u00eame si le moment reste un myst\u00e8re - ainsi que du ralentissement en Chine. Il est tr\u00e8s probable que cela signifie un retour de la crise mondiale, \u00e0 supposer qu'elle s'arr\u00eate un jour.<\/p>\n

Ebola<\/strong> - La bonne nouvelle cette semaine est que l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie semble se stabiliser au Liberia, compte tenu de l'afflux important de moyens. L'absence continue de contagion en dehors de la r\u00e9gion est \u00e9galement positive. La mauvaise nouvelle potentielle, outre l'absence d'am\u00e9lioration notamment en Sierra Leone, et les cas au Mali, est le d\u00e9c\u00e8s d'un patient rapatri\u00e9 aux \u00c9tats-Unis, malgr\u00e9 l'utilisation de Zdam. Selon le dernier rapport de l'OMS rapport de situation<\/a>Nous avons maintenant \"un total de 15113 cas confirm\u00e9s, probables et suspect\u00e9s d'EVD et 5406 d\u00e9c\u00e8s ... signal\u00e9s jusqu'\u00e0 la fin du 16 novembre 2014\".<\/p>\n

Lire le scan du 20 novembre \u2192<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

The Weekly est le scan de The Red (Team) Analysis Society et il se concentre sur les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et internationale. Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 lanc\u00e9 comme une exp\u00e9rience avec Paper.li pour collecter des id\u00e9es, notamment par le biais de Twitter. Son succ\u00e8s et son utilit\u00e9 ont conduit \u00e0 sa poursuite.<\/em><\/p>\n

Les informations recueillies (crowdsourcced) ne signifient pas une approbation, mais indiquent des probl\u00e8mes et des questions nouveaux, \u00e9mergents, en progression ou stabilisants.<\/em><\/p>\n

Si vous souhaitez consulter le scan apr\u00e8s la fin de la semaine, utilisez les \"archives\" directement sur The Weekly.<\/em><\/p>\n

Image en vedette : \"Antenne parabolique en bande C\". Licenci\u00e9e dans le domaine public via Wikimedia Commons<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chaque semaine, notre scan collecte des signaux faibles - et moins faibles -... Nous pr\u00e9sentons ci-dessous quelques-uns des \u00e9l\u00e9ments les plus int\u00e9ressants ou pertinents pour chaque section. Monde (tout ce qui concerne la guerre, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 internationale et nationale) - Une d\u00e9claration int\u00e9ressante du chef d'\u00e9tat-major de l'arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine r\u00e9sume bien la situation actuelle de nombreux pays : \"J'ai besoin de plus ... <\/p>\n

Continuer la lecture \" Analyse hebdomadaire 179 de l'(\u00e9quipe) rouge - \"J'ai besoin de plus d'argent et de troupes pour les menaces d'aujourd'hui\" \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7831,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3249],"tags":[1943,1944,1447,1941,1942],"class_list":["post-8537","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-weekly-scan","tag-budget","tag-defense-spending","tag-foresight","tag-threats","tag-troops","entry"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 179 \u2013 "I need more money and troops for today's threats" • The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our scan collects weak and less weak signals. 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