{"id":9491,"date":"2015-04-13T10:51:58","date_gmt":"2015-04-13T08:51:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=9491"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:28:14","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:28:14","slug":"guerre-libye-avenir-tribal-dynamique-guerre-civile","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/04\/13\/war-libya-futures-tribal-dynamics-civil-war\/","title":{"rendered":"La guerre en Libye et son avenir - Dynamiques tribales et guerre civile (1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le tribalisme dans la guerre civile en Libye est une dynamique puissante qui doit \u00eatre analys\u00e9e et comprise avant d'essayer de faire de la prospective. La Libye comprend 140 tribus, dont on estime que 30 \u00e0 40 ont une influence politique, ce qui en fait \" l'une des nations les plus tribales du monde arabe \" (Kurczy et Hinshaw, The Christian Science Monitor, 24 f\u00e9vrier 2011 ; Varvelli, ISPI, mai 2013). Par cons\u00e9quent, si quelques-uns ou beaucoup d'entre eux se rangent du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de l'un ou l'autre des groupes bellig\u00e9rants, alors cela aura un impact sur la guerre. L'identit\u00e9 tribale et son produit de favoritisme sont des dynamiques qui peuvent avoir un effet profond sur les all\u00e9geances politiques (voir la section sur la cr\u00e9ation de griefs). Les tribus \u00e9tant inclusives et ayant souvent des liens familiaux \u00e9tendus, elles sont naturellement pr\u00e9dispos\u00e9es au favoritisme... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/04\/13\/war-libya-futures-tribal-dynamics-civil-war\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" La guerre en Libye et son avenir - Dynamique tribale et guerre civile (1) \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\tPour acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article, vous devez devenir l'un de nos <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/devenir-un-membre-de-la-equipe-danalyse-societe-rouge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>.\r\n\r\nVous pouvez \u00e9galement acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article par le biais de notre <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/pay-per-post-libyan-tribes-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration par poste<\/a> syst\u00e8me.\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/mon-compte\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=9491\">Se connecter<\/a> si vous \u00eates membre, ou si vous avez d\u00e9j\u00e0 achet\u00e9 cet article.\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le tribalisme dans la guerre civile en Libye est une dynamique puissante qui doit \u00eatre analys\u00e9e et comprise avant d'essayer de faire de la prospective. La Libye comprend 140 tribus, dont on estime que 30 \u00e0 40 ont une influence politique, ce qui en fait \" l'une des nations les plus tribales du monde arabe \" (Kurczy et Hinshaw, The Christian Science Monitor, 24 f\u00e9vrier 2011 ; Varvelli, ISPI, mai 2013). Par cons\u00e9quent, si quelques-uns ou beaucoup d'entre eux se rangent du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de l'un ou l'autre des groupes bellig\u00e9rants, alors cela aura un impact sur la guerre. L'identit\u00e9 tribale et son produit de favoritisme sont des dynamiques qui peuvent avoir un effet profond sur les all\u00e9geances politiques (voir la section sur la cr\u00e9ation de griefs). Les tribus \u00e9tant inclusives et ayant souvent des liens familiaux \u00e9tendus, elles sont naturellement pr\u00e9dispos\u00e9es au favoritisme... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/2015\/04\/13\/war-libya-futures-tribal-dynamics-civil-war\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \" La guerre en Libye et son avenir - Dynamique tribale et guerre civile (1) \"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\tPour acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article, vous devez devenir l'un de nos <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/devenir-un-membre-de-la-equipe-danalyse-societe-rouge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">membres<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Vous pouvez \u00e9galement acc\u00e9der \u00e0 cet article par le biais de notre <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/produit\/pay-per-post-libyan-tribes-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration par poste<\/a> syst\u00e8me.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/fr\/mon-compte\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=9491\">Se connecter<\/a> si vous \u00eates membre, ou si vous avez d\u00e9j\u00e0 achet\u00e9 cet article.\t\t    <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":19600,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[312],"tags":[166,2060,1998,1997,522],"class_list":["post-9491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-libya","tag-civil-war","tag-libyan-war","tag-tribal-dynamics","tag-tribes","tag-war","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>War in Libya and Its Futures - Tribal Dynamics and Civil War (1) &#8226; 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