Since its very outbreak in March 2022, the geopolitical and economic effects of the war in Ukraine have combined with the cascading consequences of climate change (Jean-Michel Valantin, “War in Ukraine, The U.S Mega drought and the Coming Global Food Crisis”, The Red Team Analysis Society, May 1, 2022). In 2023, it is very likely that …
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Foreseeing the Future with ChatGPT?
Discover how AI, particularly GPT-like models, can help anticipate the future, and why it matters in the fields of geopolitics and security. In this series of articles, we explore how to ensure technology remains a tool to serve us rather than becoming a slave to it. The first article looks at what GPT models are, why they matter in terms of jobs and occupations, and tests ChatGPT on a specific foresight question.
Get Strategic Foresight and Warning Scenarios with GPT-based AI – Initiation
Discover how AI ChatGPT can help you with actionable strategic foresight and warning by generating possible scenarios for your future concerns. Specify your concern, actor, area, and timeframe to get a precise strategic foresight and warning question and receive sample scenarios. Upgrade your scenarios with AI assistants Kai and Calvin, or learn more with AI assistant Regina or training solutions. Start planning ahead and transforming your concerns into proactive anticipation and prevention.
Scans for Weak Signals
A way to say good bye to the Weekly! Stay put, we are working on something new and exciting… Scans and signals Using horizon scanning, periodically, we can collect weak – and less weak – signals. The signals point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics …
China, Serbia, AI, and the Pincer Movement on Europe
(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) On 10 April 2022, six Chinese military heavy duty transport aircraft landed at Belgrade airport in Serbia. They were delivering the Chinese FK 3 export version of the HQ-22 surface-to-air weapons systems. This delivery deepens military ties between China and Serbia, following the delivery of 14 CH-92 combat drones in 2020 …
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China, Saudi Arabia and the Arab AI Rise
(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) On 7 December 2022, China’s president Xi Jinping received a royal welcome at his arrival in Saudi Arabia for a three days state visit. State visits between China and Saudi Arabia heads of state have taken place since 2016. In 2022, President Xi received a royal and considerably warmer welcome than …
Early Warning for Individuals and Small Businesses – Overcoming Energy Insecurity
(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) How can individuals and small business leaders protect themselves against the crises and upheavals that seem to be imposed on them? Can they take advantage of tools that are generally reserved for state actors, especially security forces, and sometimes for large companies? Can such a tool, early warning, be useful for …
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The ENA of Tunis – Training in Early Warning
In early December 2022, the Ecole Nationale d’Administration (National School of Administration -ENA) de Tunis and its Institute of Leadership Administratif invited the project supporting the rehabilitation of at-risk populations during and after their incarceration in Tunisia – READ of the Civipol expertise programme for the European Commission to provide a first initiation in Early …
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For the ESFSI and the Ministry of the Interior of Tunisia – Trainings in Early Warning
This Autumn 2022, from mid-November to early December, we were honoured to deliver various training programs in Early Warning and Indicators in Tunisia. This cooperation takes place within the framework of the support given to the Ministry of the Interior of Tunisia by the project supporting the rehabilitation of at-risk populations during and after their …
War in Ukraine, Europe, and the Weaponization of Winter – Anthropocene Wars (7)
(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli, Photo: durik1980, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons, colorised and cropped by RTAS) Since October 2022, the Russian military has regularly launched waves of missiles and drones strikes on the Ukrainian energy infrastructures. (Greg Myre, “Russia strikes, Ukraine repairs, in a battle to survive the winter”, NPR, 25 November 2022). As a …
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