标签存档：治理

2213 - 2218 EVT - 经常账户有盈余？再想想吧!(Mamominarch)

Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies have transformed the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission into policies. They have thus started implementing the programme …

继续阅读“2213 – 2218 EVT – A Current Account Surplus? Think again! (Mamominarch)”

2212-2213年EVT--实施Mamominarch结论

Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, Everstate’s governing authorities decide to follow the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission that recommend to drastically reduce state expenditures. (The reader can …

继续阅读“2212-2213 EVT – Implementing the Mamominarch conclusions”

2212 EVT - 情景1 - Mamominarch。与国家决裂

Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Plagued with a deepening budget deficit and an increasing need for liquidity, a creeping appropriation of resources while the strength of central public power weakens to the profit of various elite groups …

继续阅读“2212 EVT – Scenario 1 – Mamominarch: Off with the State”

浏览Everstate的编年史

This page presents ways to follow and access the series of posts constituting The Chronicles of Everstate beyond usual linear menus.This idea, mapping the very posts of The Chronicles of Everstate, is a direct result of the interactive quality of this foresight experiment. One faithful reader, indeed, underlined that, as the number of posts increased, reading and understanding was becoming more complex, notably for newcomers. He suggested that a map would be very helpful to allow users and readers to navigate among posts. We then discussed various ways to implement this idea. Here are the results of this idea. The Chronicles of Everstate Mapped with PearltreesClick on the image to access the interactive map of the articles on Pearltrees. There, the …

继续阅读“Navigating the Chronicles of Everstate”

这篇文章的其余部分是为我们 成员 以及那些购买了特殊访问计划的人。确保你得到真正的分析，而不是意见，或者更糟的是，假新闻。 登录 并访问这篇文章。

2212 EVT：过时的世界观中的意识形态利害关系（《Everstate编年史》）。

Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. The increasing incapacity of the political authorities to deliver the security citizens seek increases the risks to the legitimacy of the whole system. The first two phenomena driving Everstatan political authorities’ incapacity to deliver …

继续阅读“2212 EVT: Ideological Stakes in an Outdated Worldview (The Chronicles of Everstate)”

2212 EVT：寻求安全(Everstate的编年史)

到目前为止，我们的情况总结。在2012年的EVT，在 Everstate创立的理想型与我们非常真实的国家相对应，以便 预知 的 现代民族国家的未来在这种情况下，人们的不满情绪会增加。由于各种压力和威胁，其中大部分是不可避免的，不完全确定的，不被理解的，所以它必然会继续这样做。事实上，常州人直接和间接地感受到这些压力的影响，这些压力影响了他们的安全感，从而产生了不满情绪（链接到 上一篇文章).

因此，现在，Everstatans继续寻求一种安全，而这种安全似乎越来越遥远，越来越难以捉摸.... 阅读全文

动态风险和不确定性的建模（2）：绘制动态网络图

返回到 第一部分

实际上，任何SF&W模型，因为它主要处理的是时间，应该是一个动态的网络。如果我们的理解模型是静态的，我们怎么能期望获得任何潜在的未来轮廓？

因此，我们的地图旨在代表政体的潜在动态。我们将特别使用 Ertman在过去的国家建设方面的工作，但使其能够适应现在和未来的条件。

这篇文章的其余部分是为我们 成员 以及那些购买了特殊访问计划的人。确保你得到真正的分析，而不是意见，或者更糟的是，假新闻。 登录 并访问这篇文章。

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