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		<title>乌克兰战争、2023 年超强厄尔尼诺现象和全球破坏--人类世战争 (8)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2023/05/09/%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-2023%e5%b9%b4-%e8%b6%85%e7%ba%a7%e5%a4%a7%e5%9b%bd-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%a0%b4%e5%9d%8f-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-8/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2023/05/09/%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-2023%e5%b9%b4-%e8%b6%85%e7%ba%a7%e5%a4%a7%e5%9b%bd-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%a0%b4%e5%9d%8f-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-8/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 May 2023 09:19:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=36619</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[自 2022 年 3 月爆发以来，乌克兰战争的地缘政治和经济影响已与气候变化的连带后果结合在一起（让-米歇尔-瓦朗坦，《乌克兰战争、美国巨旱和即将到来的全球粮食危机》，The Red Team Analysis Society，2022 年 5 月 1 日）。2023 年，很有可能...... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2023/05/09/%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-2023%e5%b9%b4-%e8%b6%85%e7%ba%a7%e5%a4%a7%e5%9b%bd-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%a0%b4%e5%9d%8f-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-8/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"乌克兰战争、2023 年超强厄尔尼诺现象和全球破坏--人类世战争（8）"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">36619</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>乌克兰、欧洲的战争和冬季的武器化--人类世的战争（7）。</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/12/12/%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2-%e6%ad%a6%e5%99%a8%e5%8c%96-%e5%86%ac%e5%ad%a3-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-7/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/12/12/%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2-%e6%ad%a6%e5%99%a8%e5%8c%96-%e5%86%ac%e5%ad%a3-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-7/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Dec 2022 10:49:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[strategy]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=35652</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术指导：自 2022 年 10 月以来，俄罗斯军方定期对乌克兰能源基础设施发动导弹和无人机袭击。(Greg Myre，"Russia strikes, Ukraine repairs, in a battle to survive the winter"，NPR，2022 年 11 月 25 日）。作为... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/12/12/%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2-%e6%ad%a6%e5%99%a8%e5%8c%96-%e5%86%ac%e5%ad%a3-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-7/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"乌克兰、欧洲的战争与冬季的武器化--人类世战争（7）"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">35652</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>乌克兰和俄罗斯之间战争的另一种红色方案</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/09/19/%e5%8f%a6%e7%b1%bb-%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/09/19/%e5%8f%a6%e7%b1%bb-%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Sep 2022 10:32:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=35371</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术指导：Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli）2022 年 9 月乌克兰对俄罗斯的反攻被誉为非常成功。乌克兰总统沃洛德梅尔-泽连斯基（Volodymyr Zelensky）感谢 "真正的英雄们"，是他们让 "东部（尤其是哈尔科夫州）和南部（尤其是赫尔松州）"在 22 年 9 月 14 日前 "迅速解放 "了 8000 平方公里。 <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/09/19/%e5%8f%a6%e7%b1%bb-%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"乌克兰和俄罗斯之间战争的另一种红色方案"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">35371</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>粮食安全。中国-俄罗斯和乌克兰-人类世的战争（4）</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/30/%e7%b2%ae%e9%a3%9f%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e5%92%8c%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-4/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/30/%e7%b2%ae%e9%a3%9f%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e5%92%8c%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-4/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 May 2022 09:19:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=34540</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[乌克兰战争和大放大效应 自 2022 年 2 月 24 日俄罗斯发动进攻以来，肆虐的战争引发了全球粮食和能源价格紧张局势的放大效应。石油、天然气、煤炭和农产品的价格趋势本已因西方 "后... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/30/%e7%b2%ae%e9%a3%9f%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e5%92%8c%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-4/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"粮食安全。中国-俄罗斯和乌克兰-人类世战争（4）"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">34540</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>信息战与乌克兰战争</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/24/%e4%bf%a1%e6%81%af%e6%88%98%e5%92%8c%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/24/%e4%bf%a1%e6%81%af%e6%88%98%e5%92%8c%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 May 2022 07:55:15 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=34502</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术设计：让-多米尼克-拉沃瓦-卡利（Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli），根据弗朗切斯科-昂加洛（Francesco Ungaro）的摄影作品） 乌克兰战争（*）正在以多种不同的方式加速国际政治的变化。这场冲突有可能演变成第三次世界大战，这对继续努力理解和适应战争起到了令人信服的推动作用。因此，相关的知情人士正试图... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/24/%e4%bf%a1%e6%81%af%e6%88%98%e5%92%8c%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"信息战与乌克兰战争"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">34502</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>乌克兰战争、大干旱和即将到来的全球粮食危机--人类世战争（3）。</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/01/%e6%97%b1%e7%81%be-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%b2%ae%e9%a3%9f%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-3/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/01/%e6%97%b1%e7%81%be-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%b2%ae%e9%a3%9f%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-3/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 May 2022 09:56:16 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=34200</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[乌克兰战争是一场完美风暴 乌克兰战争引发了一场涉及能源和粮食危机的全球旋风。后者非常独特，因为它将战争对全球农业系统的影响与大规模极端天气事件（如美国中西部大旱）结合在一起。战争引发全球混乱 事实上，... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/05/01/%e6%97%b1%e7%81%be-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%b2%ae%e9%a3%9f%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-3/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"乌克兰的战争、大干旱和即将到来的全球粮食危机--人类世的战争（3）"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">34200</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>乌克兰的核战场--人类世的战争 (2)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/04/25/%e6%a0%b8%e6%88%98%e5%9c%b0-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-2/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/04/25/%e6%a0%b8%e6%88%98%e5%9c%b0-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-2/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Apr 2022 09:26:39 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=34061</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[核战区（艺术指导：Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli 图片：Recognize Productions via Pexels）。2022 年 2 月 24 日，在俄罗斯对乌克兰发动进攻之初，经过两天的战斗，俄罗斯军队占领了切尔诺贝利核电站，1986 年在这里发生了历史性的核事故（玛丽-凯卡托斯，"查封切尔诺贝利核电站......"）。 <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/04/25/%e6%a0%b8%e6%88%98%e5%9c%b0-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-2/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"乌克兰的核战场--人类世的战争（2）"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">34061</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>中国，与俄罗斯一起还是反对俄罗斯？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/02/28/%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e4%b8%8e%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e6%88%96%e5%8f%8d%e5%af%b9%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/02/28/%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e4%b8%8e%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e6%88%96%e5%8f%8d%e5%af%b9%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Feb 2022 11:30:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=33653</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术设计：Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli）俄罗斯2022年2月24日对乌克兰的攻击正在深刻地改变国际秩序。这种冲击对欧盟成员国等国家来说尤其艰难，它们以为会永远处于和平状态。突然间，这些国家、它们的经济行为体和它们的公民重新发现了战争和... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/02/28/%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e4%b8%8e%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e6%88%96%e5%8f%8d%e5%af%b9%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"中国，与俄罗斯一起还是反对俄罗斯？"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">33653</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>关注乌克兰战争的资源</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/02/24/%e5%85%b3%e6%b3%a8%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e7%9a%84%e8%b5%84%e6%ba%90/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/02/24/%e5%85%b3%e6%b3%a8%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e7%9a%84%e8%b5%84%e6%ba%90/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Feb 2022 11:29:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=33525</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(最后更新于欧洲中部时间2月28日20:50：增加了对联合国大会现场的访问）格林尼治标准时间3:00，俄罗斯对乌克兰发动了攻击。俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔-普京将其称为 "特别军事行动"。随即，国际社会的一部分人谴责了这次袭击。当地正在发生什么？事件是如何发展的？如何... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/02/24/%e5%85%b3%e6%b3%a8%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e7%9a%84%e8%b5%84%e6%ba%90/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"关注乌克兰战争的资源"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">33525</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>乌克兰冲突的教训--地缘政治、不确定性和商业 (4)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2016/12/05/%e6%95%99%e8%ae%ad-%e5%86%b2%e7%aa%81-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e4%b8%8d%e7%a1%ae%e5%ae%9a%e5%9b%a0%e7%b4%a0-%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a-4/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Dec 2016 09:35:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis and Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communication of Strategic Foresight and Early Warning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategic Foresight and Geopolitics for Business]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=13338</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">本文指出了我们可以从乌克兰冲突对企业的影响中吸取的教训，正如《中国经济周刊》所介绍的那样。 <a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2016/11/28/%e5%86%b2%e7%aa%81%e5%9c%a8%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e7%9a%84%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d-%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e4%b8%8d%e7%a1%ae%e5%ae%9a%e6%80%a7%e5%92%8c%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a-3/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">第一部分</a>我们将继续加强对企业和企业界如何有效地预测或预见地缘政治和政治风险及不确定性的理解。</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">从如何确定哪些危机和地缘政治的不确定性可以--有时是出乎意料的--引起公司的关注（第1课）到开始预测过程的最佳时机（第2课），需要跳出意识形态的框框（第3课）和多维度的思考（第4课）以及理解 "国家利益 "及其演变（第5课），乌克兰战争的影响给我们带来了丰富的理解，指出了许多可能努力的必要甚至关键的改进。因此，这些将被添加到之前在""中确定的要点中。<a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2016/11/07/%e6%95%99%e8%ae%ad-%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e8%84%b1%e6%ac%a7-%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%86%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e4%b8%8d%e7%a1%ae%e5%ae%9a%e6%80%a7-%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a/">英国脱欧的经验教训--地缘政治、不确定性和商业</a> (2)"，在 "一般框架 "中定义了"(2) "之后。<a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2016/10/17/%e4%bc%81%e4%b8%9a-%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e9%99%b7%e5%85%a5%e6%bc%a9%e6%b6%a1/">企业与地缘政治。陷入漩涡？</a>” (1).</p>
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