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		<title>评估利比亚的可能性--情景2 溢出和分化加剧</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jon Mitchell (Ma)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 May 2017 11:02:59 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>推荐图片：海卫一行动》，作者 Tomh903 [CC BY 2.0]，通过维基媒体 我们在上一篇文章中讨论过，干预和溢出效应已经发生--因此我们确定在干预和溢出效应中发生三种分治情况的可能性极小。在本文中，我们将讨论组织、指标以及在分治和不分治的情况下发生各种外溢情况的可能性。在讨论可能的外溢方向时，北部指欧洲；东部指埃及；南部指尼日尔和乍得；西部指阿尔及利亚和突尼斯。注：在下面的文章中，我们将用 COR 代表国民议会（民族主义者），GNC 代表国民议会（伊斯兰主义者），...... </p>
<p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/05/09/%e8%af%84%e4%bb%b7%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af2%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7-%e5%a2%9e%e5%8a%a0%e6%ba%a2%e5%87%ba%e5%92%8c%e5%88%86%e5%8c%ba%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"评估利比亚的可能性--设想2增加溢出和分治"</span></a></p>
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