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	<description>战略前瞻与早期预警 ･ 政治与地缘政治风险 · 情景分析</description>
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		<title>模式--更高的全球温度、更早的影响和页岩燃料的丰收</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2012/11/19/%e6%a8%a1%e5%bc%8f-%e9%a1%b5%e5%b2%a9%e7%87%83%e6%96%99-%e8%b5%8f%e9%87%91-%e6%9b%b4%e9%ab%98%e7%9a%84%e6%b8%a9%e5%ba%a6-%e6%9b%b4%e6%97%a9%e7%9a%84%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d-%e4%bb%a5%e5%8f%8a/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 11:31:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis and Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change and Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[citizens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earlier impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[environmental change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polarization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shale gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shale oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[temperature rise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. oil production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Bank]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>我们很可能需要准备好应对温度上升2℃及其对世界的严重影响，因为到本世纪末温度上升6℃--甚至更高--的可能性越来越大。事实上，利益和当前的挑战和紧张局势很可能有利于页岩燃料的生产和政策，并对 "绿色努力 "产生不利影响。对全球安全问题（如水和生物多样性）的其他生态不利影响可能会加强，必须予以监测。公民在这些问题上的动员可能会随着权衡的进行和影响的感受而发生变化。</p>
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