&lt;?xml version=&quot;1.0&quot; encoding=&quot;UTF-8&quot;?<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>“好战”档案 • The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
	<atom:link href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/tag/belligerent/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/标签/好战/</link>
	<description>战略前瞻与早期预警 ･ 政治与地缘政治风险 · 情景分析</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 30 May 2022 19:11:34 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>zh-Hans</language>
	<sy:updateperiod>
	每小时	</sy:updateperiod>
	<sy:updatefrequency>
	1	</sy:updatefrequency>
	

<image>
	<url>https://redanalysis.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/cropped-RTAS-Logo-Vectorise-Disque-Blanc-PNG-1000-x-1000-32x32.png</url>
	<title>“好战”档案 • The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
	<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/标签/好战/</link>
	<width>32</width>
	<height>32</height>
</image> 
<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">128105080</site>	<item>
		<title>叙利亚的情况 - 3.4.回到阿萨德时代的叙利亚？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/17/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e7%ac%ac3-4%e5%8f%b7%e6%96%b9%e6%a1%88-%e5%9b%9e%e5%88%b0%e5%ae%89-%e9%98%bf%e8%90%a8%e5%be%b7-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/17/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e7%ac%ac3-4%e5%8f%b7%e6%96%b9%e6%a1%88-%e5%9b%9e%e5%88%b0%e5%ae%89-%e9%98%bf%e8%90%a8%e5%be%b7-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Jun 2013 08:41:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alawite]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bashar al-Assad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belligerent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cleansing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[displacement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[emergency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fog of war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[integration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nationalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[population]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Refugee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social fabric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sunni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=4628</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[尽管支持阿萨德的团体最近在库塞尔取得了胜利，尽管该城具有战略意义，但在不久的将来，这种情况似乎不太可能发生，但并非不可能。为了取得全面胜利，我们可以假定巴沙尔-阿萨德政权将继续甚至加强其当前的战略。 <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/17/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e7%ac%ac3-4%e5%8f%b7%e6%96%b9%e6%a1%88-%e5%9b%9e%e5%88%b0%e5%ae%89-%e9%98%bf%e8%90%a8%e5%be%b7-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"叙利亚的情况 - 3.4.回到阿萨德的叙利亚？"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentrss>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/17/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e7%ac%ac3-4%e5%8f%b7%e6%96%b9%e6%a1%88-%e5%9b%9e%e5%88%b0%e5%ae%89-%e9%98%bf%e8%90%a8%e5%be%b7-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a/feed/</wfw:commentrss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4628</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>叙利亚的情况 - 3.3.2.一个真正的世俗化的叙利亚？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/10/sia-for-syria-9-scenario-3-a-secular-syria/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/10/sia-for-syria-9-scenario-3-a-secular-syria/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Jun 2013 07:53:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belligerent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fog of war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[integration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Movement for Building Civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim Brotherhood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nationalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salafi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sharia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sufi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sufism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sunni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=4599</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[这篇文章将概述叙利亚中短期内的最后一种情况，即交战双方中的一个团体取得真正的胜利而产生的 "一个世俗的叙利亚"。考虑到目前的状况，这种情况是不可能的，甚至是乌托邦。然而，对它的想象也会提出可能的政策和战略，从而改变胜算。过去几周构建的各种情景被总结在一张图表中，开始探索如何将各组情景作为一个系统和动态的整体来看待。]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentrss>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/10/sia-for-syria-9-scenario-3-a-secular-syria/feed/</wfw:commentrss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4599</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>叙利亚的情景3。一个民族主义的伊斯兰叙利亚还是穆斯林兄弟会的叙利亚？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/03/sia-for-syria-8-scenario-3-a-nationalist-islamic-syria-or-a-muslim-brotherhoods-syria/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/03/sia-for-syria-8-scenario-3-a-nationalist-islamic-syria-or-a-muslim-brotherhoods-syria/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Jun 2013 07:37:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belligerent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caliphate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conquest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fog of war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim Brotherhood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nationalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salafi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sharia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SIF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SILF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SLF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sunni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=4579</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[这篇文章继续探讨围绕 "在叙利亚取得真正的胜利 "这一主题的各种情况，首先是民族主义的伊斯兰叙利亚，然后是穆斯林兄弟会领导下的叙利亚。对于每种情况，将概述目前对可能性的估计，并提出一些影响概率的指标。]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentrss>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/06/03/sia-for-syria-8-scenario-3-a-nationalist-islamic-syria-or-a-muslim-brotherhoods-syria/feed/</wfw:commentrss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4579</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>叙利亚的情况 - 3.1:真正的胜利--伊斯兰的沙姆？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/05/27/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-7-%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af-3-1-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0-%e9%98%bf%e5%8b%92%e6%b2%99%e5%a7%86/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/05/27/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-7-%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af-3-1-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0-%e9%98%bf%e5%8b%92%e6%b2%99%e5%a7%86/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 May 2013 15:52:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al-Sham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belligerent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caliphate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conquest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fog of war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islamist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JAN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jihad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salafi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sharia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sunni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=4543</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[考虑到目前的形势，"情景 3：叙利亚的真正胜利 "及其子情景在短期内不太可能出现。然而，它们值得概述，因为它们带来了对动态和潜在战略的分析洞察力，以便根据利益倾向于或反击一种或另一种可能性，还因为它们可能与...... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/05/27/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-7-%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af-3-1-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0-%e9%98%bf%e5%8b%92%e6%b2%99%e5%a7%86/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"叙利亚的情景--3.1。真正的胜利--伊斯兰的沙姆？"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentrss>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/05/27/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-7-%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af-3-1-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0-%e9%98%bf%e5%8b%92%e6%b2%99%e5%a7%86/feed/</wfw:commentrss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4543</post-id>	</item>
	</channel>
</rss>