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		<title>利比亚未来的最终方案及其可能性</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/10/16/%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%80%e7%bb%88%e8%ae%be%e6%83%b3%e5%92%8c%e5%ae%83%e4%bb%ac%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/10/16/%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%80%e7%bb%88%e8%ae%be%e6%83%b3%e5%92%8c%e5%ae%83%e4%bb%ac%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jon Mitchell (Ma)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Oct 2017 09:19:13 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Libya and Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GNA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GNC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Haftar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libyan partition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libyan scenario]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libyan spillover]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libyan war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenario]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenario likelihood]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=16482</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[图片：民族和睦政府 Facebook 页面发布的 "七月停火"，2017 年 7 月 25 日 在评估了利比亚未来每种情景的可能性之后（详见此处），我们现在将提出最新的可能性，以考虑到自我们开始评估以来发生的变化。由于干预和溢出效应都已... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/10/16/%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%80%e7%bb%88%e8%ae%be%e6%83%b3%e5%92%8c%e5%ae%83%e4%bb%ac%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"利比亚未来的最终设想及其可能性"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<title>评估利比亚未来的可能性--情景1</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/02/13/%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7-libyas-%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-1/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jon Mitchell (Ma)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Feb 2017 11:37:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Libya and Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Scenario building]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitical uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[indicator]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libyan war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenario]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenario likelihood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=13919</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[在详细阐述了利比亚未来三至五年可能出现的各种情况之后，我们现在将根据这些情况的指标来评估其可能性。我们将使用红色（团队）分析协会在 Heuer（《评估情景的可能性》，载于《情报分析心理学》，......）的基础上开发的方法。 <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/02/13/%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7-libyas-%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-1/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"评估利比亚未来的可能性--情景1"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
		
		
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