The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 24 November 2022

This is the 24 November 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. The signals of this weekly are neither edited nor sorted out. They are the raw result of the algorithmic process and …

你能不偏不倚地分析吗?俄罗斯的核威胁

Starting in mid-September 2022, the Western media and political world has been abuzz with a Russian threat of nuclear Armageddon. Against such evil, the West, supporting Ukraine, may only show outrage, unveil the real malevolent nature of Russia and increase pressure to try to deter Russia, so runs the narrative. On 27 October 2022, reputable …

一个被排斥的俄罗斯?不适合亚洲--人类世的战争 (6)

(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) From 1 September to 16 September 22, Vladimir Putin, President of the Federation of Russia, presided the Russian military exercises Vostok 2022. Besides the Russian military, the exercise gathered troops from 14 countries, including India and China (Arang Shidore, “Vostok military exercises indicate that Russia is far from isolated”, Responsible Statecraft, …

乌克兰和俄罗斯之间战争的另一种红色方案

(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The September 2022 Ukrainian counter-offensive against Russia is hailed as very successful. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky thanked the “true heroes” who allowed for a “very rapid liberation” of 8000 sq km by 14 September 22 “in the east, notably in the Kharkiv Oblast, and the south, notably in the Kherson oblast”, …

中国和美国之间的战争--规范性问题

(艺术设计:Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli)整个世界都陷入了一场以美国为一方、以中国为另一方的巨人之战。这种对抗发生在不同的层面,通过各种形式和层面的力量。战争的升级正在进行中。战争不是不可避免的,但它是...

美国的国家利益

(艺术设计。Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli 美国还认为法国是他们的盟友吗?我们不得不思考这个问题,因为法国和澳大利亚之间签订的潜艇合同,在2021年9月被打破,对美国有利。如果一个国家从你那里拿了350亿欧元,可能重估为55 ...

粮食安全。中国-俄罗斯和乌克兰-人类世的战争(4)

乌克兰战争和巨大的放大效应 自2022年2月24日俄罗斯开始进攻以来,来势汹汹的战争引发了对全球粮食和能源价格紧张的放大效应。由于西方的 "后",石油、天然气、煤炭和农产品的价格趋势已经在上升 ...

信息战与乌克兰战争

(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli on a photo by Francesco Ungaro) The war(*) in Ukraine is hastening changes in international politics in many different ways. The possibility to see the conflict morphing into World War III acts as a convincing spur for continuing efforts at understanding and adapting. Concerned and informed actors are thus trying to …

乌克兰战争、大干旱和即将到来的全球粮食危机--人类世战争(3)。

乌克兰战争是一场完美的风暴 乌克兰战争引发了一场涉及能源和粮食危机的全球旋风。后者非常奇特,因为它将战争对全球农业系统的影响与大规模的极端天气事件相结合,如美国中西部的特大干旱。战争是全球性的破坏 事实上,...

预警系统和指标高级培训--突尼斯的ESFSI

(艺术设计:Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli)2022年3月底,突尼斯内政部的高等内部安全部队学校(ESFSI)组织了第四次关于预警系统和指标的强化培训。这是其 "社会冲突管理 "计划的一部分。这一次,我们与管理部门建立了合作关系。

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