红队分析周刊 - 2022年5月19日

这是我们2022年5月19日的政治和地缘政治风险周报scan,或者更广泛地说,常规和非常规的国家和国际安全(开放访问)。向下滚动以访问scan。使用地平线scan宁,每周,我们收集弱--和不太弱--的信号。这些信号指向新的、正在出现的、升级的或 ...

红队分析周报 - 2021年11月4日

这是2021年11月4日的《政治和地缘政治风险周报》,或者更广泛地说,常规和非常规的国家和国际安全(开放访问)。向下滚动以访问本周报。社论。作为特色文章,本周,我们有令人恐惧的电子炸弹。然后,COVID-19大流行病又出现在了首位......

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 25 February 2021

This is the 25 February 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they …

Adapting to the Burning World?

Design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli A Bright and Burning Future Over the last years, each summer, tsunamis of fire surge in North America, Russia, Africa, South Asia, and Europe. Each year, they break former records and spread wider, while becoming much more intense. These fires define the parts of the world that are going to become a …

全球大火 (1)

(Credit Image: Pierre Markuse, CC BY 2.0) The global wildfire is engulfing the world. Throughout 2019, immense swaths of Australia, California, Alaska, Russia, central Africa, and the Amazon basin, were part of this immense bonfire. This conflagration took place after the historic fire seasons of 2018, 2017, 2016… (David Wallace Wells, The Uninhabitable Earth, Life …

人工智能、气候变化和美国军队

AI, AI Everywhere The Artificial Intelligence field (AI) is creating a continuity that encompasses climate change science and the preparedness of the U.S. military to climate risks. This continuity appears through the central role of AI in two apparently disconnected foresight civilian and military uses. AI and climate science Climate Central published in Nature a …

走向美中战争?(2)。北极变暖中的军事紧张局势

从2019年9月1日至28日,美国海军和美国海军陆战队的3000名男男女女正在参加 "北极远征能力演习"。美国印太司令部领导这次演习。演习在阿留申群岛、阿拉斯加和南加州进行("海军和海军陆战队在阿拉斯加进行北极远征能力演习",...

红色(团队)分析周刊--2019年7月25日

Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) Our weekly scan for geopolitical risks for 25 July 2019: from climate change to Iran through China, and Europe looking for its place in the world…. and more. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or …

中西部的炸弹旋风。洪水、贸易战和即将到来的农业超级风暴

Between 14 and 20 March 2019, a historically powerful “bomb cyclone”, combined with snowmelt devastated Colorado and the Central United States, especially the Midwest “farmbelt” of Iowa and Nebraska, South Dakota and Kansas. Consequently, it triggered immense floods, which wrecked more than a million of acres (405000 hectares). These floods have immediate direct consequences, because …

量子、人工智能和地缘政治(2)。量子计算的战场和未来

A race has started for quantum technologies or quantum information systems (QIS). Indeed, considering initially and notably the consequences in terms of cryptology – dubbed a “crypto-apocalypse” – no country may allow another state or a foreign company to be the first to develop quantum computing.

However, since the initial worry about cryptology somehow triggered the current quantum revolution, the situation has changed, discoveries have taken place… read more

ZH