由于美索不达米亚的伊斯兰国的绞索似乎正在慢慢收紧,因此考虑Khilafah的全球层面就显得更加重要。的确,所有的地理组成部分都有可能被伊斯兰国利用,以实现其反击和生存的意愿。一个强有力的迹象证实,全球...
继续阅读“At War against a Global Islamic State – from the Philippines and Indonesia to Bangladesh”。
由于美索不达米亚的伊斯兰国的绞索似乎正在慢慢收紧,因此考虑Khilafah的全球层面就显得更加重要。的确,所有的地理组成部分都有可能被伊斯兰国利用,以实现其反击和生存的意愿。一个强有力的迹象证实,全球...
继续阅读“At War against a Global Islamic State – from the Philippines and Indonesia to Bangladesh”。
既然我们已经确定并了解了利比亚内战中的行动者(见《事态》),我们可以概述一下未来三至五年内有关利比亚未来的各种情况。一场有两个敌对政府、武装联盟、圣战分子和各种部落的内战创造了一种复杂的气氛,我们初步构建了...
继续阅读“Scenarios for the Future of Libya within the Next Three to Five Years”。
关于 "伊斯兰国 "和战争演变的相互矛盾的信息每天都从媒体上出现,而分析家、评论家和官方声明也不乏摇摆不定。例如,2015年4月13日,"五角大楼发言人史蒂夫-沃伦上校 "强调,"伊斯兰国 "已经 "割让了5000至6000平方英里的领土",描绘出一幅 "更美好的画卷"。
继续阅读“Understanding the Islamic State’s System – Structure and Wilayat”。
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Read the 2 April scan → World – Three articles this week are particularly interesting, in themselves but also when read together. Amal Mudallali “Sorry, Obama: The Arab World No Longer Needs America” for The National Interest, focuses on the pride and “new Arab spirit” resulting from the Saudi-led …
继续阅读“The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 197 – Unstable Equilibrium in the Middle East”。
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Read the 26 March scan → World – As the world wonders about the motivation that could prompt the copilot of Germanwings to crash a plane, and while the hypothesis of a terrorist intention is most probably on everyone’s mind, a very large number of crowdsourced articles this week …
继续阅读“The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 196 – Yemen, towards the End of the U.N.?”。
As we work our way towards understanding the Islamic State psyops, and after having presented a framework where we notably looked at channels, products, and sources (note that the original text was updated to add Al-Itisam media as source), we shall now start analyzing the content of messages, focusing here on the executions of the Western hostages. Much has been written on those dreadful events already. Most of the time, articles and official statements always underline the barbarous character of the Islamic State. Yet, as seen, the beheadings are part of the Islamic State psyops. They were carefully staged and filmed, always by Al-Furqan Media Foundation, save in the case of Hervé Gourdel (see previous post). They are thus part of an attempt at influencing …
继续阅读“The Islamic State Psyops – The Making of the Crusaders”。
The Islamic State is one of the contemporary most serious and novel threats to the transitioning (or not) current world order. The fact that war is part and parcel of the Islamic State and its Caliphate or Khilafah (خلافة) very existence is only one of the many challenges and novelties that most of the rest of the world …
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… This week a very interesting article on Ukraine copycat war with Russia by a Kiev Post journalist (including the creation of a UT copied on Russian RT), a very complete health section devoted to Ebola, an article on “The Navy’s Future Fleet of Swarming Boat-Drones” …
社论--国家和国际安全的地平线扫描--本周看起来最令人吃惊的是对美国在世界舞台上加速衰落的看法。几个月前,我们警告说,与美元霸权有关的变化正在形成,即使它们很可能需要相对较长的时间才能......
继续阅读“The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 159 – An Accelerating U.S. Decline?”。