叙利亚战争:新阶段的开始

这篇(长)文章结束了目前关于叙利亚战争的系列更新。它侧重于全国联盟和最高军事委员会内部的演变,日内瓦会议的预期失败以及叙利亚战争新阶段的开始。这将使我们接下来能够最终转向对我们的设想和指标进行评估。全国联盟和最高军事委员会 秋季出现的最后一个联盟是2013年12月9日成立的叙利亚革命者阵线(SRF)(见Youtube视频),它由温和派或无意识形态动机的团体组成,正如伦德(2013年12月13日)所详述的那样,其地图如下(点击图片查看大图)。它是对萨拉菲-民族主义的一种反应。

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面对叙利亚的战争迷雾。库尔德斯坦的悲剧

This post is an update for the State of Play: The Kurds in the Syrian civil war. It can be read independently, but readers will be able to refer to the initial post for background. A general call to arms to fight Jihadis – Since first clashes erupted on 12 July 2013, intensifying on 16 July, notably over and in the city of Ras al-Ain, the YPG (The People’s Defence Units – see updated mapping of actors below) has been fighting Jahbat-al Nosra (JAN) and the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS or ISIL) (van Wilgenburg, Al-Monitor, July 16 2013). At the end of July, fighting was raging in the area of the oil fields of Rmeilan “around the …

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Scenario for Syria – 3.1: A Real Victory – an Islamic Al-Sham?

Considering the current state of play, scenario 3: A Real Victory in Syria, and its sub-scenarios are rather unlikely in the short-term. However, they are worth outlining because they bring analytical insight into dynamics and potential strategies to favour or counter one or the other possibility, according to interests, and because they could be relevant for the …

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