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北极变暖中的乌克兰战争--人类世战争5

乌克兰战争正在从俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的战争演变成一场涉及北约成员支持乌克兰战争努力的战争(Darlene Superville和Zeke Miller,"US Boosting Military Presence in Europe amid Russia Threat",APNews,2022年6月29日)。这种情况在北约和俄罗斯之间产生了战略紧张关系,并蔓延到......。

粮食安全。中国-俄罗斯和乌克兰-人类世的战争(4)

乌克兰战争和巨大的放大效应 自2022年2月24日俄罗斯开始进攻以来,来势汹汹的战争引发了对全球粮食和能源价格紧张的放大效应。由于西方的 "后",石油、天然气、煤炭和农产品的价格趋势已经在上升 ...

乌克兰战争、大干旱和即将到来的全球粮食危机--人类世战争(3)。

乌克兰战争是一场完美的风暴 乌克兰战争引发了一场涉及能源和粮食危机的全球旋风。后者非常奇特,因为它将战争对全球农业系统的影响与大规模的极端天气事件相结合,如美国中西部的特大干旱。战争是全球性的破坏 事实上,...

乌克兰的核战场--人类世的战争 (2)

一个核战区(艺术指导。Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli 图片。Recognize Productions via Pexels)。2022年2月24日,在俄罗斯对乌克兰的进攻一开始,经过两天的战斗,俄罗斯军队接管了切尔诺贝利发电厂,1986年在那里发生了历史性的核事故(Mary Kekatos, "Seizure of Chernobyl Plant ...

白俄罗斯和移民的武器化--人类世的战争(1)。

Belarus borders: theatre of operations Since July 2021, the Belarusian government literally projects migrants to the borders of Poland, Latvia and Lithuania. Those people come from Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Iran, Kurdistan, Afghanistan, Algeria, Morocco, the Republic of Congo, Cameroon and Venezuela (Yuras Karmanau, “Explainer: What’s behind the Belarus-Poland border crisis ?”, AP, November 11, 2021). …

"沙丘"--适应气候变化的动力策略

(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Photo: John Getchel) A movie and a thought experiment in strategic foresight The 2021 “Dune” movie by Denis Villeneuve is a deep reflexion about the future of political and strategic power (Denis Villeneuve, Dune, 2021). This movie explores the deep connections between the source and exercise of strategic power and the …

会不会有气候内战?

Towards climate civil wars? “Climate wars” will not “only” be interstate wars. In our precedent article, we saw that current conflicts are integrating climate related tensions. This process is literally transforming certain conflicts into “proto-climate wars” (Jean-Michel Valantin, “What are Climate Wars ?”, The Red Team Analysis Society, 2 November 2021). This transformation follows the …

什么是气候战争?

As climate change intensifies, a major issue is to understand how rapidly changing geophysics and war are intertwined. Since 2013, at the Red Team Analysis Society we study the way climate change, the military and geopolitics interact (Climate change security, The Red Team Analysis Society). Since then, things have changed dramatically. The complex relationship between …

军队与 "气候反扑"--2021年夏季(1)。

气候变化的影响正在加剧。其中一些是成倍增加的极端天气事件,如特大野火和巨大的洪水。这些事件的强度和规模现在对基础设施、生态系统和人类生活构成了严重的威胁,以至于需要越来越多地调动军事力量。因此,我们需要...

南极中国(1)。极寒之地的策略

                                                Going South While being under the increasing pressure of climate change, the Antarctic is attracting the strategic attention of China. Since 1983, China is a member of the 1959 international Antarctic treaty. This international treaty defines Antarctica as a scientific preserve and bans all military activity on the continent (The Antarctic Treaty). …

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