https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/02/04/%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0%e5%b9%b4%e7%bb%88%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b-1/
An Experiment in Assessing End of Year Predictions (1)