当一场通过信息、误导、操纵和欺骗来赢得人心的激烈战斗在叙利亚周围进行时，国际秩序正在从参与者之间的互动中发生变化。1945年后的秩序是否有足够的弹性，或者我们正在走向一个看起来更像19世纪欧洲的体系，或者我们将看到包括 "中世纪地缘政治和地缘战略 "元素在内的更复杂的东西出现？一方面，许多国家的公共财政状况十分糟糕，贫困和不平等现象并没有消失，许多西方国家普遍存在对政府的不信任，另一方面，叙利亚战争的演变，这些因素不应该被遗忘，相反，要在当前做出任何明智的决定，并试图对未来做出任何判断，这些都是综合因素。
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发布者：Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)
Helene Lavoix博士 is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France).
An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia.
She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics.
Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.
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