https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/11/18/%e4%b8%9a%e5%8a%a1%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95%e5%ad%a6-%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8-%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81/
Towards an Operational Methodology to Analyze Future Security Threats and Political Risk (1)