https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/03/27/%e8%af%84%e4%bb%b7%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-2-%e5%b9%b2%e9%a2%84%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7/
Evaluating Likelihoods for Libya – Scenario 2 Intervention