https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/05/29/%e8%af%84%e4%bb%b7%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af32-%e6%80%bb%e8%83%9c%e5%88%a9%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7-1/
Evaluating Likelihoods for the Future of Libya – Scenarios of Victories (1)