https://redanalysis.org/zh/2017/06/19/%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-%e8%83%9c%e5%88%a9%e7%9a%84%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-2/
Evaluating Likelihoods for the Future of Libya - Scenarios of Victories (2)