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	"人工智能军事化 - 中国 (1)」的评论	</title>
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	<description>战略前瞻与早期预警 ･ 政治与地缘政治风险 · 情景分析</description>
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		评论者：Gene V		</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2018/04/23/%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd%e7%9a%84%e5%86%9b%e4%ba%8b%e5%8c%96-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-1/#comment-4563</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Gene V]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Apr 2018 21:58:01 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Fascinating article on the Chinese approach to directing AI integration across military - geopolotical realms and the operational environments of Sea, Air, Land, Space and Ether.   It is obvious the Chinese are taking to heart the  commentary by B. H. Lidell Hart that, &quot;A complacent satisfaction with present knowledge is the chief bar to the pursuit of knowledge.&quot;

In the fast changing world and expanding operational environments, and facing some very significant demographic long term issues, the Chinese appear to be investing in and leveraging AI to enhance not only their productive capacity, but to also fulfill the historic role of the Asian masses in war as a counter balence to other great powers.

Both historic great power competitors to China, the United States and Russia, have different evolving approaches to the AI and Cyber realms.  Russia can trace its history back to perhaps the first &quot;Denial Of Service&quot; radio jamming attack by a spark gap radio operator at Port Arthur during the 1904 Japanese shelling who innovatively prevented Japanese spotters from transmitting corrections for the fire from the cruisers Kasuga and Nisshin.  

Since that time, of course, a variety of approaches to cyber warfare and attacks have been developed and fielded by a variety of Russian organizations, military, intelligence, and possibly criminal or commercial, to support military actions and influence political activity, from Estonia, Georgia, Ukraine, and other attacks timed to apparently shut down internet and financial infrastructures in conjunction with physical or political activites such as votes on topics of interest to Russia . 

In the U.S. as Dr. Valantin notes, commercial entities seem to lead the way, as offices of the military from the 24th Air Force to the Army Program Executive Office for Simulation, Training, and Instrumentation (PEO STRI) try approaches to better integrate commercial developments into military capability.  While the Anti-AI commentary from Elon Musk, Bill Gates and Stephen Hawking may slow some public efforts at AI development in the U.S., the enhancement in and catalytic synergy of machine learning, distributed systems, and big data with analytics are sure to result in incredible changes over the next 20 years.

As current great powers vie globally to define their space in these operational environments, and much of the world undergoes leap-frogging development induced by these technologies, these powers different approaches to human thought, decision making, artifical intelligences, and the ethical limits put on them will likely result in greatly differing outcomes.  This will show up especially in the complex global ecosystem as other powers bordering these three current powers try to survive and develop their own operational space.  

As more and more of our lives become virtual, communicating with &quot;friends&quot; around the world, handling wealth virtually, sourcing all kinds of logistics from food to software online, and achieving local transport via Uber, the ability to control this virtual infrastructure and links becomes more powerful in an interdependent linked world.  While these powerful technologies can greatly inprove quality of life and market effiecency, they also reduce distributed self-suffiecency.  The loss of this control can rapidly make a population feel helpless.  Again, as B.H. Liddell Hart stated, &quot;Helplessness induces hopelessness, and history attests that loss of hope and not loss of lives is what decides the issue of war.&quot;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fascinating article on the Chinese approach to directing AI integration across military &#8211; geopolotical realms and the operational environments of Sea, Air, Land, Space and Ether.   It is obvious the Chinese are taking to heart the  commentary by B. H. Lidell Hart that, &#8220;A complacent satisfaction with present knowledge is the chief bar to the pursuit of knowledge.&#8221;</p>
<p>In the fast changing world and expanding operational environments, and facing some very significant demographic long term issues, the Chinese appear to be investing in and leveraging AI to enhance not only their productive capacity, but to also fulfill the historic role of the Asian masses in war as a counter balence to other great powers.</p>
<p>Both historic great power competitors to China, the United States and Russia, have different evolving approaches to the AI and Cyber realms.  Russia can trace its history back to perhaps the first &#8220;Denial Of Service&#8221; radio jamming attack by a spark gap radio operator at Port Arthur during the 1904 Japanese shelling who innovatively prevented Japanese spotters from transmitting corrections for the fire from the cruisers Kasuga and Nisshin.  </p>
<p>Since that time, of course, a variety of approaches to cyber warfare and attacks have been developed and fielded by a variety of Russian organizations, military, intelligence, and possibly criminal or commercial, to support military actions and influence political activity, from Estonia, Georgia, Ukraine, and other attacks timed to apparently shut down internet and financial infrastructures in conjunction with physical or political activites such as votes on topics of interest to Russia . </p>
<p>In the U.S. as Dr. Valantin notes, commercial entities seem to lead the way, as offices of the military from the 24th Air Force to the Army Program Executive Office for Simulation, Training, and Instrumentation (PEO STRI) try approaches to better integrate commercial developments into military capability.  While the Anti-AI commentary from Elon Musk, Bill Gates and Stephen Hawking may slow some public efforts at AI development in the U.S., the enhancement in and catalytic synergy of machine learning, distributed systems, and big data with analytics are sure to result in incredible changes over the next 20 years.</p>
<p>As current great powers vie globally to define their space in these operational environments, and much of the world undergoes leap-frogging development induced by these technologies, these powers different approaches to human thought, decision making, artifical intelligences, and the ethical limits put on them will likely result in greatly differing outcomes.  This will show up especially in the complex global ecosystem as other powers bordering these three current powers try to survive and develop their own operational space.  </p>
<p>As more and more of our lives become virtual, communicating with &#8220;friends&#8221; around the world, handling wealth virtually, sourcing all kinds of logistics from food to software online, and achieving local transport via Uber, the ability to control this virtual infrastructure and links becomes more powerful in an interdependent linked world.  While these powerful technologies can greatly inprove quality of life and market effiecency, they also reduce distributed self-suffiecency.  The loss of this control can rapidly make a population feel helpless.  Again, as B.H. Liddell Hart stated, &#8220;Helplessness induces hopelessness, and history attests that loss of hope and not loss of lives is what decides the issue of war.&#8221;</p>
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