https://redanalysis.org/zh/2018/11/05/%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e5%92%8c%e4%b8%8d%e7%a1%ae%e5%ae%9a%e6%80%a7%e7%9a%84%e6%98%a0%e5%b0%84-1/
Modeling for Dynamic Risks and Uncertainties (1) : Mapping Risk and Uncertainty