https://redanalysis.org/zh/2019/03/18/%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af-%e6%94%b9%e5%96%84%e9%a2%84%e8%a7%81%e6%80%a7%e7%9a%84%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d-%e6%84%9f%e8%b0%a2%e5%81%8f%e8%a7%81/
Scenarios: Improving the Impact of Foresight thanks to Biases