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	"COVID-19疫苗，希望还是幻影？	</title>
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	<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hop-or-mirage/</link>
	<description>战略前瞻与早期预警 ･ 政治与地缘政治风险 · 情景分析</description>
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		评论者：Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)		</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hop-or-mirage/#comment-16075</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2021 15:11:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=28482#comment-16075</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[回复给 &lt;a href=&quot;https://redanalysis.org/zh/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hop-or-mirage/#comment-16018&quot;&gt;@Thl33&lt;/a&gt;。

Thank you so much Thierry. Indeed I concur as far as Manaus is concerned, and thanks again for the ref to Dr Piarroux. I had not heard what he stated.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>回复给 <a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hop-or-mirage/#comment-16018">@Thl33</a>。</p>
<p>Thank you so much Thierry. Indeed I concur as far as Manaus is concerned, and thanks again for the ref to Dr Piarroux. I had not heard what he stated.</p>
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		评论者：@Thl33		</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hop-or-mirage/#comment-16018</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[@Thl33]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2021 10:32:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=28482#comment-16018</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Excellent work as usual. 
As of 05/02 update, two qualified facts can be noted that reinforce your analysis:
- the case of Manaus, where the researchers estimated that in June, about two thirds of the city had been infected and where the estimate in November was about 76%, and which is nevertheless experiencing a second epidemic peak similar to the first; which casts doubt on the herd imunity
- the remark made by Dr Renaud Piarroux, paediatrician and biologist specialising in infectious and tropical diseases, head of department at the APHP and Professor at the Sorbonne University, who said that the delay in vaccination could &quot;lead to a selection of certain strains of the virus that are more resistant to vaccines&quot;.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Excellent work as usual.<br />
As of 05/02 update, two qualified facts can be noted that reinforce your analysis:<br />
&#8211; the case of Manaus, where the researchers estimated that in June, about two thirds of the city had been infected and where the estimate in November was about 76%, and which is nevertheless experiencing a second epidemic peak similar to the first; which casts doubt on the herd imunity<br />
&#8211; the remark made by Dr Renaud Piarroux, paediatrician and biologist specialising in infectious and tropical diseases, head of department at the APHP and Professor at the Sorbonne University, who said that the delay in vaccination could &#8220;lead to a selection of certain strains of the virus that are more resistant to vaccines&#8221;.</p>
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